Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish (as of our 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), and we recently recommended buying the pullback on May 19.</li>
<li>Expect short-term support at 8-day EMAs on SPX and QQQ, has been the case since early-April; if 8-day EMAs break, expect ideal buy opportunities at 20-day MAs on SPX/QQQ</li>
<li>Downgrading Staples and Utilities to Underweight; Upgrading Services to Market Weight. Buys highlighted in Solar Energy, 3D Printing, Lidar Sensors, and AI Manufacturing Solutions</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish (as of our 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM), and we recently recommended buying the pullback on May 19.
Expect short-term support at 8-day EMAs on SPX and QQQ, has been the case since early-April; if 8-day EMAs break, expect ideal buy opportunities at 20-day MAs on SPX/QQQ
Downgrading Staples and Utilities to Underweight; Upgrading Services to Market Weight. Buys highlighted in Solar Energy, 3D Printing, Lidar Sensors, and AI Manufacturing Solutions


Downgrading Staples and Utilities to Underweight; Upgrading Services to Market Weight

Smartkarma's AI Co-Pilot, Smartkarma

αSK

Smartkarma's AI Co-Pilot

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
 <li>
<a href="https://smartkarma.com/entities/t1-energy-inc">T1 Energy</a> is a development-stage company rapidly scaling its U.S.-based solar module manufacturing, evidenced by a significant revenue ramp-up in the past year.</li>
 <li>Despite strong revenue growth and stock price momentum, the company remains deeply unprofitable with significant negative cash flows, posing considerable financial risk.</li>
 <li>The company's strategic position is heavily reliant on favorable U.S. industrial policy, such as tariffs and tax credits, which aim to bolster domestic solar manufacturing against foreign competition.</li>
</ul>This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.


  
T1 Energy is a development-stage company rapidly scaling its U.S.-based solar module manufacturing, evidenced by a significant revenue ramp-up in the past year.
  Despite strong revenue growth and stock price momentum, the company remains deeply unprofitable with significant negative cash flows, posing considerable financial risk.
  The company's strategic position is heavily reliant on favorable U.S. industrial policy, such as tariffs and tax credits, which aim to bolster domestic solar manufacturing against foreign competition.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

<ul>
<li>The WTR Sustainable Index was up 0.3% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 0.2%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 0.4%), and the Nasdaq Index (flat).</li>
<li>Energy Technology (13.4% of th  index) was down 3.0%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (47.7% of the index) was down 0.1%, ClimateTech Mining was down 0.3%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (20.8% of the index) was up 0.5%.</li>
<li>
Top 10 Performers: TMC, FGPHF, INVZ, GCEH, NXH, MP, WWR, PSIX, OUST, ADSE</li>
</ul>


The WTR Sustainable Index was up 0.3% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (down 0.2%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 0.4%), and the Nasdaq Index (flat).
Energy Technology (13.4% of th  index) was down 3.0%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (47.7% of the index) was down 0.1%, ClimateTech Mining was down 0.3%, and Advanced Transportation Solutions (20.8% of the index) was up 0.5%.

Top 10 Performers: TMC, FGPHF, INVZ, GCEH, NXH, MP, WWR, PSIX, OUST, ADSE


Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on T1 Energy (TE)

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We have discussed weekly since 10/14/25 how our near-term bullish outlook remains intact as long as SPX holds above the 3-month uptrend, coinciding with the 50-day MA; this remains true.</li>
<li>Gold (GLD) and silver (SLV) held above $358-$361 and $41.70 supports and appear ready to resume their long-term uptrends. Recently discussed we were buyers in our October 29th report</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We have discussed weekly since 10/14/25 how our near-term bullish outlook remains intact as long as SPX holds above the 3-month uptrend, coinciding with the 50-day MA; this remains true.
Gold (GLD) and silver (SLV) held above $358-$361 and $41.70 supports and appear ready to resume their long-term uptrends. Recently discussed we were buyers in our October 29th report


Upside Ahead for Gold and Silver; DXY Below $100.25; SPX Holding at 3+ Month Uptrend Support

<ul>
<li>After 5.5-months, SPX broke below its 20-dayMA in decisive fashion on Friday.6569 has been our level that needs to break in order for us to believe a pullback has begun</li>
<li>SPX made a low of 6551 on Friday (less than 20 points or 0.3% from our 6569 level), meaning it was NOT a decisive breakdown (in time or price).</li>
<li>As a result, our near-term bullish outlook since our 4/22/25 Compass remains intact, and it will stay that way as long as the SPX holds above 6550-6569.</li>
</ul>


After 5.5-months, SPX broke below its 20-dayMA in decisive fashion on Friday.6569 has been our level that needs to break in order for us to believe a pullback has begun
SPX made a low of 6551 on Friday (less than 20 points or 0.3% from our 6569 level), meaning it was NOT a decisive breakdown (in time or price).
As a result, our near-term bullish outlook since our 4/22/25 Compass remains intact, and it will stay that way as long as the SPX holds above 6550-6569.


6550-6569 S&P 500 Support Holding For Now; Still Bullish, But Late-October Consolidation Possible

United States

T1 Energy Inc. manufactures solar equipment. The CompT1 Energy Incany offers PV solar modules, cells, and panels, as well as builds solar and battery storage supply chain solutions. T1 Energy serves utility-scale, commercial, industrial, and residential markets worldwide.

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T1 Energy (TE US)

Downgrading Staples and Utilities to Underweight; Upgrading Services to Market Weight

Downgrading Staples $XLP and Utilities $XLU to Underweight; Upgrading Services to Market Weight; Bullish Outlook Intact. Charts: FSLR, NXT, ENLT,...

Vermilion Research

Primer: T1 Energy (TE US) - Dec 2025

T1 Energy is a development-stage company rapidly scaling its U.S.-based solar module manufacturing, evidenced by a significant revenue ramp-up...

αSK

Sustainable Investing Surveyor Focus on T1 Energy (TE)

The WTR Sustainable Index was up 0.3% W/W versus the S&P 500 Index (down 0.2%), the Russell 2000 Index (up 0.4%), and the Nasdaq Index (flat).

Water Tower Research

Upside Ahead for Gold and Silver; DXY Below $100.25; SPX Holding at 3+ Month Uptrend Support

More Upside Ahead for Gold $GLD and Silver $SLV Following Oct. 29 Buys; $DXY Below $100.25 a Risk-On Signal; Downgrading Services to Market Weight;...

Vermilion Research

6550-6569 S&P 500 Support Holding For Now; Still Bullish, But Late-October Consolidation Possible

6550-6569 $SPX Support Holding For Now; Still Bullish Near-Term and Intermediate-Term, But late-October Consolidation Possible Before Year-End...

Vermilion Research

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