IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/az-com-maruwa-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17280:1" rel="noopener">AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP)</a> has satisfied the precondition for its hostile <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chilled-frozen-logistics-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40987:1" rel="noopener">Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP)</a> JPY3,000 offer. The offer closes on 17 June (31 business days).</li>
<li>AZ-COM Maruwa has called the Board’s bluff by providing sufficient time (extending the offer period from 20 to 31 business days) for a white knight to lob a competing bidder.</li>
<li>While a bump is probable, the shares already factor in a significant bumpitrage premium. A potential bump has a good chance of being lower than the last close.</li>
</ul>



AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) has satisfied the precondition for its hostile Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) JPY3,000 offer. The offer closes on 17 June (31 business days).
AZ-COM Maruwa has called the Board’s bluff by providing sufficient time (extending the offer period from 20 to 31 business days) for a white knight to lob a competing bidder.
While a bump is probable, the shares already factor in a significant bumpitrage premium. A potential bump has a good chance of being lower than the last close.


Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): AZ-COM Maruwa Calls the Board’s Bluff, Launches the Offer

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chilled-frozen-logistics-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40987:1" rel="noopener">Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP)</a> Board has responded with several questions regarding <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/az-com-maruwa-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17280:1" rel="noopener">AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP)</a>’s pre-conditional hostile offer of JPY3,000 per share.</li>
<li>The Board questions the transaction’s schedule, terms and potential synergies. The Board has also used the ruse that due diligence access would justify a higher offer price.</li>
<li>Expect several rounds of Q&amp;A and a delay to the tender start. If shares continue trading through terms ahead of the tender start, AZ-COM Maruwa will likely have to bump. </li>
</ul>


The Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) Board has responded with several questions regarding AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP)’s pre-conditional hostile offer of JPY3,000 per share.
The Board questions the transaction’s schedule, terms and potential synergies. The Board has also used the ruse that due diligence access would justify a higher offer price.
Expect several rounds of Q&amp;A and a delay to the tender start. If shares continue trading through terms ahead of the tender start, AZ-COM Maruwa will likely have to bump. 


Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): Pass The🍿as the Board Responds to AZ-COM Maruwa (9090 JP)

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-suisan-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5095:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Suisan Kaisha (1332 JP)</a> reported 8% YoY revenue growth in 9MFY23, driven by 17% YoY growth in food products business on higher commercial volume and prices.</li>
<li>However, marine products profits tumbled 39% YoY on weakening fish prices and accounting adjustments.</li>
<li>The company raised FY23 sales and operating profit guidance to ¥825B (up 7% YoY) and ¥29B (up 18% YoY), respectively.</li>
</ul>



Nippon Suisan Kaisha (1332 JP) reported 8% YoY revenue growth in 9MFY23, driven by 17% YoY growth in food products business on higher commercial volume and prices.
However, marine products profits tumbled 39% YoY on weakening fish prices and accounting adjustments.
The company raised FY23 sales and operating profit guidance to ¥825B (up 7% YoY) and ¥29B (up 18% YoY), respectively.


Nippon Suisan Kaisha (1332 JP): Food Products Business to Drive Growth In Near Term, Guidance Raised

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/az-com-maruwa-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17280:1" rel="noopener">AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP)</a> has launched a pre-conditional hostile offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chilled-frozen-logistics-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40987:1" rel="noopener">Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP)</a> at JPY3,000 per share, a 47.0% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>The pre-conditions primarily relate to regulatory approvals. The tender is expected to start in early May. The Board responded that it will evaluate the offer.</li>
<li>The hostile offer was a reaction to the Board’s lack of engagement. The Board will struggle to reject an attractive offer, which is 37.5% higher than the all-time high. </li>
</ul>



AZ-Com Maruwa Holdings (9090 JP) has launched a pre-conditional hostile offer for Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP) at JPY3,000 per share, a 47.0% premium to the last close.
The pre-conditions primarily relate to regulatory approvals. The tender is expected to start in early May. The Board responded that it will evaluate the offer.
The hostile offer was a reaction to the Board’s lack of engagement. The Board will struggle to reject an attractive offer, which is 37.5% higher than the all-time high. 


Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): AZ-COM Maruwa (9090 JP)’s Hostile Offer

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nisshin-seifun-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:640:1" rel="noopener">Nisshin Seifun Group</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oji-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11348:1" rel="noopener">Oji Holdings</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-shinyaku-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6634:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Shinyaku</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cyberagent-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8197:1" rel="noopener">CyberAgent Inc</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ngk-insulators-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12580:1" rel="noopener">NGK Insulators</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lixil-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:454:1" rel="noopener">Lixil Group</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sharp-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:391:1" rel="noopener">Sharp Corp</a> have all underperformed the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> over the last 3-4 months.</li>
<li>The underperformance could lead to adjustments in global passive portfolios and liquidity events on some of the stocks.</li>
<li>Short interest has started to increase and there could be more pre-positioning yet to come over the next few weeks.</li>
</ul>



Nisshin Seifun Group, Oji Holdings, Nippon Shinyaku, CyberAgent Inc, NGK Insulators, Lixil Group and Sharp Corp have all underperformed the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) over the last 3-4 months.
The underperformance could lead to adjustments in global passive portfolios and liquidity events on some of the stocks.
Short interest has started to increase and there could be more pre-positioning yet to come over the next few weeks.


Japan - Increase in Shorts on Some Interesting Stocks

Japan

NICHIREI CORPORATION produces and distributes frozen food, ice, and meat products.  The Company also provides a variety of cold storage services, as well as manages leasing business for buildings and parking garages.

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Nichirei Corp (2871 JP)

Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): AZ-COM Maruwa Calls the Board’s Bluff, Launches the Offer

While a bump is probable, the shares already factor in a significant bumpitrage premium. A potential bump has a good chance of being lower than the...

Arun George

Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): Pass The🍿as the Board Responds to AZ-COM Maruwa (9090 JP)

Expect several rounds of Q&A and a delay to the tender start. AZ-COM Maruwa could eventually bump closer to the May tender start. However, as...

Arun George

Nippon Suisan Kaisha (1332 JP): Food Products Business to Drive Growth In Near Term, Guidance Raised

Nippon Suisan Kaisha sees 8% YoY revenue growth in 9MFY23, driven by strong food products business, but marine products profits drop 39% YoY....

Tina Banerjee

Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): AZ-COM Maruwa (9090 JP)’s Hostile Offer

The hostile offer was a reaction to the Board’s lack of engagement. The Board will struggle to reject an attractive offer, which is 37.5% higher...

Arun George

Japan - Increase in Shorts on Some Interesting Stocks

There are a bunch of stocks in Japan that have underperformed the NKY over the last few months and that could lead to a liquidity event due to the...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): AZ-COM Maruwa Calls the Board’s Bluff, Launches the Offer

While a bump is probable, the shares already factor in a significant bumpitrage premium. A potential bump has a good chance of being lower than the...

Arun George

Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): Pass The🍿as the Board Responds to AZ-COM Maruwa (9090 JP)

Expect several rounds of Q&A and a delay to the tender start. AZ-COM Maruwa could eventually bump closer to the May tender start. However, as...

Arun George

Nippon Suisan Kaisha (1332 JP): Food Products Business to Drive Growth In Near Term, Guidance Raised

​Nippon Suisan Kaisha sees 8% YoY revenue growth in 9MFY23, driven by strong food products business, but marine products profits drop 39% YoY....

Tina Banerjee

Chilled & Frozen Logistics (9099 JP): AZ-COM Maruwa (9090 JP)’s Hostile Offer

The hostile offer was a reaction to the Board’s lack of engagement. The Board will struggle to reject an attractive offer, which is 37.5% higher...

Arun George

Japan - Increase in Shorts on Some Interesting Stocks

There are a bunch of stocks in Japan that have underperformed the NKY over the last few months and that could lead to a liquidity event due to the...

Brian Freitas

Nippon Suisan Kaisha sees 8% YoY revenue growth in 9MFY23, driven by strong food products business, but marine products profits drop 39% YoY....