Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>MBK has made a legally binding bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a>. Stay long if you still hold or buy the dip. Buy at under ¥11,200.</li>
<li>Given the share price decline, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nufarm-ltd-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1128:1" rel="noopener">Nufarm (NUF AU)</a>'s board is under pressure to do "something". Nufarm would be better off selling its entire operations, as opposed to offloading divisions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dic-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7343:1" rel="noopener">Dic Corp (4631 JP)</a> is (also) under pressure from activist Oasis Management. Buy large dips rather than chase another day of a big gain.</li>
</ul>


MBK has made a legally binding bid for Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP). Stay long if you still hold or buy the dip. Buy at under ¥11,200.
Given the share price decline, Nufarm (NUF AU)'s board is under pressure to do "something". Nufarm would be better off selling its entire operations, as opposed to offloading divisions.

Dic Corp (4631 JP) is (also) under pressure from activist Oasis Management. Buy large dips rather than chase another day of a big gain.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Makino Milling Machine, Nufarm, Dic Corp, HKBN

<ul>
<li>I tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mac-copper-limited-6dcb19d0-2c56-496c-817a-5d64e48b3c5d" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45237:1" rel="noopener">MAC Copper (MAC AU)</a>and  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a>. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiyo-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15154:1" rel="noopener">Taiyo Holdings (4626 JP)</a> possibly in the crosshairs. </li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hkbn-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:289:1" rel="noopener">HKBN Ltd (1310 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/welcia-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20895:1" rel="noopener">Welcia Holdings (3141 JP)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tsuruha-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9536:1" rel="noopener">Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amara-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2692:1" rel="noopener">Amara Holdings (AMA SP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


I tally 44 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Two new deal were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Offers for MAC Copper (MAC AU)and  SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP). Taiyo Holdings (4626 JP) possibly in the crosshairs. 
Key updates/news took place on: HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP), Welcia Holdings (3141 JP)/Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP), and Amara Holdings (AMA SP). 


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: MAC Copper, SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Taiyo, HKBN, Welcia/Tsuruha, Amara

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>In December, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nidec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7245:1" rel="noopener">Nidec Corp (6594 JP)</a> made an unsolicited bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a>. Makino wanted more time. Nidec wanted to squeeze.  Makino proposed a poison pill.</li>
<li>Makino appeared to act slowly but white knight bidders were mooted in the media. Nidec launched, but apparently approvals may have been hard. They withdrew. Makino cancelled the poison pill. </li>
<li>Shares fell sharply. Yesterday, they rose because it appears Effissimo owns 3%. Today, we got news post-close that MBK may be close to making an ¥11,000+ bid.</li>
</ul>


In December, Nidec Corp (6594 JP) made an unsolicited bid for Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP). Makino wanted more time. Nidec wanted to squeeze.  Makino proposed a poison pill.
Makino appeared to act slowly but white knight bidders were mooted in the media. Nidec launched, but apparently approvals may have been hard. They withdrew. Makino cancelled the poison pill. 
Shares fell sharply. Yesterday, they rose because it appears Effissimo owns 3%. Today, we got news post-close that MBK may be close to making an ¥11,000+ bid.


[Japan M&A] Makino Milling (6135) - MBK as White Knight Appears To Have Made a Binding Bid

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>In response to a <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Business-deals/Asian-private-equity-firm-MBK-wins-first-negotiation-rights-for-Makino" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Nikkei</a> article, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/makino-milling-machine-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5200:1" rel="noopener">Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP)</a> confirmed it had received a legally binding acquisition proposal from MBK Partners. </li>
<li>The price is expected to exceed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nidec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7245:1" rel="noopener">Nidec Corp (6594 JP)</a> JPY11,000 hostile offer. On 8 May, Nidec withdrew its offer due to the Board’s proposed countermeasures. </li>
<li>My analysis suggests that MBK’s white knight bid could be JPY11,677 per share, 13.7% higher than the last close price of JPY10,270.</li>
</ul>


In response to a Nikkei article, Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP) confirmed it had received a legally binding acquisition proposal from MBK Partners. 
The price is expected to exceed Nidec Corp (6594 JP) JPY11,000 hostile offer. On 8 May, Nidec withdrew its offer due to the Board’s proposed countermeasures. 
My analysis suggests that MBK’s white knight bid could be JPY11,677 per share, 13.7% higher than the last close price of JPY10,270.


Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Relief as a White Knight Bidder Surfaces

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Trump whipping up interest in all things AI and data center over his state visit to Saudi.</li>
<li>Pharma giving back yesterdays rebound with risks remaining over Trump's planned pricing cuts.</li>
<li>Kokusai Electric may continue moving higher post-numbers  as a potential NKY225 inclusion candidate.</li>
</ul>


Trump whipping up interest in all things AI and data center over his state visit to Saudi.
Pharma giving back yesterdays rebound with risks remaining over Trump's planned pricing cuts.
Kokusai Electric may continue moving higher post-numbers  as a potential NKY225 inclusion candidate.


Japan Morning Connection: US Opening Doors to Greater UAE/Saudi Chip Sales Driving Tech and Semis

Japan

NIDEC CORPORATION is the world's leading manufacturer of small precision motors mainly used in HDD and optical disk drives. The company has extended its focus to the home appliance and automotive markets. NIDEC is active in M&A and its subsidiaries include the world's leading manufacturers of LCD panel handling robots and camera shutters.

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Nidec Corp (6594 JP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Makino Milling Machine, Nufarm, Dic Corp, HKBN

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: MAC Copper, SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Taiyo, HKBN, Welcia/Tsuruha, Amara

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

[Japan M&A] Makino Milling (6135) - MBK as White Knight Appears To Have Made a Binding Bid

This AM, it looked like Effissimo was on the Makino register end-March. This afternoon post-close, it looks like MBK has made a binding bid north...

Travis Lundy

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Relief as a White Knight Bidder Surfaces

With Nidec's hostile bid withdrawn, shareholders will be relieved that MBK has emerged as the preferred white knight bidder. My analysis suggests...

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: US Opening Doors to Greater UAE/Saudi Chip Sales Driving Tech and Semis

Trump's visit to Saudi Arabia sparks interest in AI and data centers, Pharma stocks drop after rebound, Kokusai Electric may rise further as...

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Last Week in Event SPACE: Makino Milling Machine, Nufarm, Dic Corp, HKBN

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: MAC Copper, SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Taiyo, HKBN, Welcia/Tsuruha, Amara

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

[Japan M&A] Makino Milling (6135) - MBK as White Knight Appears To Have Made a Binding Bid

This AM, it looked like Effissimo was on the Makino register end-March. This afternoon post-close, it looks like MBK has made a binding bid north...

Travis Lundy

Makino Milling Machine (6135 JP): Relief as a White Knight Bidder Surfaces

With Nidec's hostile bid withdrawn, shareholders will be relieved that MBK has emerged as the preferred white knight bidder. My analysis suggests...

Arun George

Japan Morning Connection: US Opening Doors to Greater UAE/Saudi Chip Sales Driving Tech and Semis

​Trump's visit to Saudi Arabia sparks interest in AI and data centers, Pharma stocks drop after rebound, Kokusai Electric may rise further as...

Andrew Jackson

Trump's visit to Saudi Arabia sparks interest in AI and data centers, Pharma stocks drop after rebound, Kokusai Electric may rise further as...