Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 5.8% in June 2016, similar to the rise recorded in May 2016 – the highest rate since August 2014. Inflation continued to be driven mainly by a significant rise in food prices, especially vegetables.Food prices increased 7.8% y-o-y in June 2016 compared to a 7.5% y-o-y rise in May 2016. The percentage point contribution of food &amp; beverages inflation to overall inflation increased from 3.4% in May 2016 to 3.5% in June 2016. This was largely due to a…

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 5.8% in June 2016, similar to the rise recorded in May 2016 – the highest rate since August 2014. Inflation continued to be driven mainly by a significant rise in food prices, especially vegetables.Food prices increased 7.8% y-o-y in June 2016 compared to a 7.5% y-o-y rise in May 2016. The percentage point contribution of food &amp; beverages inflation to overall inflation increased from 3.4% in May 2016 to 3.5% in June 2016. This was largely due to a…

INDIA: CPI Inflation at 22 Month High – Rate Cut Unlikely

Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance, Ecstrat

John-Paul Smith

Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
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More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

Cross Asset Strategy

In this brief piece we take a considered stance on the likelihood of Brexit actually proceeding in the wake of June’s referendum and examine some of the strategic implications for equity investors in terms of the potential shifts in sovereign and corporate governance.

In this brief piece we take a considered stance on the likelihood of Brexit actually proceeding in the wake of June’s referendum and examine some of the strategic implications for equity investors in terms of the potential shifts in sovereign and corporate governance.

As the global financial markets grapple with the decision taken by the UK to exit the EU, it is clear that the question of future referendums in other member countries and potential exits will likely dominate the headlines in the coming months. The Indian economy has seen its total exports decline for 18 straight months, hurt by an overvalued exchange rate as well as a weak global economy. The uncertainty that will likely unfold in the major EU countries and especially the Eurozone (EZ) will add…

As the global financial markets grapple with the decision taken by the UK to exit the EU, it is clear that the question of future referendums in other member countries and potential exits will likely dominate the headlines in the coming months. The Indian economy has seen its total exports decline for 18 straight months, hurt by an overvalued exchange rate as well as a weak global economy. The uncertainty that will likely unfold in the major EU countries and especially the Eurozone (EZ) will add…

Headwinds for India – Brexit and Its Impact Via Other Countries

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

There are a handful of listed banks in the UK. But there are nearly 300 UK banks in our SNL database, which include unlisted banks. These are mostly the subsidiaries of banks in other regions, including Asia. The immediate concern is how banks adjust their risk-weightings on their UK assets. S&amp;P and Moody's downgrades, will also affect UK bank counterparty risk. The more distant concern is the outlook for impairments on some of these assets, namely loans and corporate bonds. UK assets to group…

There are a handful of listed banks in the UK. But there are nearly 300 UK banks in our SNL database, which include unlisted banks. These are mostly the subsidiaries of banks in other regions, including Asia. The immediate concern is how banks adjust their risk-weightings on their UK assets. S&amp;P and Moody's downgrades, will also affect UK bank counterparty risk. The more distant concern is the outlook for impairments on some of these assets, namely loans and corporate bonds. UK assets to group…

EM PM, Ecstrat

Emad Mostaque

EM PM

In my last piece I discussed why I thought an actual Brexit was unlikely despite the result of the referendum last week. This piece answers some questions on some of the detail of the likely path ahead and some of the interesting elements around this.

In my last piece I discussed why I thought an actual Brexit was unlikely despite the result of the referendum last week. This piece answers some questions on some of the detail of the likely path ahead and some of the interesting elements around this.

India

The NIFTY 50 index is National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market. Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products (IISL), which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.

NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)

INDIA: CPI Inflation at 22 Month High – Rate Cut Unlikely

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation came in at 5.8% in June 2016, similar to the rise recorded in May 2016 – the highest rate since August 2014....

Rajan Govil

Brexit; Unintended Consequences

In this brief piece we take a considered stance on the likelihood of Brexit actually proceeding in the wake of June’s referendum and examine some...

John-Paul Smith

Headwinds for India – Brexit and Its Impact Via Other Countries

As the global financial markets grapple with the decision taken by the UK to exit the EU, it is clear that the question of future referendums in...

Rajan Govil

UK Subsidiaries of Asian Banks

There are a handful of listed banks in the UK. But there are nearly 300 UK banks in our SNL database, which include unlisted banks. These are...

Daniel Tabbush

The Path to No Brexit

In my last piece I discussed why I thought an actual Brexit was unlikely despite the result of the referendum last week. This piece answers some...

Emad Mostaque