Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anthem-biosciences" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44206:1" rel="noopener">Anthem Biosciences</a> raised INR 34bn (US$394m) in its IPO valuing the company at INR 320bn (US$3.7bn). The stock lists today.</li>
<li>The grey market premium is INR 132/share, so the stock could list 23.2% higher than the IPO price. That will help in getting larger index flows.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anthem-biosciences" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44206:1" rel="noopener">Anthem Biosciences</a> could be added to one global index in November while the stock price gain will determine whether the stock is added to the other global index in December.</li>
</ul>



Anthem Biosciences raised INR 34bn (US$394m) in its IPO valuing the company at INR 320bn (US$3.7bn). The stock lists today.
The grey market premium is INR 132/share, so the stock could list 23.2% higher than the IPO price. That will help in getting larger index flows.

Anthem Biosciences could be added to one global index in November while the stock price gain will determine whether the stock is added to the other global index in December.


Anthem Biosciences IPO: Lists Today; Index Inclusion Timing

Index Rebalance

Max Healthcare Institute / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/max-healthcare-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35275:1" rel="noopener">Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)</a> should replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> in September.</li>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance ends 31 July, the announcement of the changes will take place end August and implemented at the close of trading on 29 September.</li>
<li>While there has been a steady increase in cumulative excess volume for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/max-healthcare-institute-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35275:1" rel="noopener">Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN)</a>, there could be more room to run in the stock. </li>
</ul>



InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN) and Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN) should replace Indusind Bank (IIB IN) and Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) in the NIFTY Index in September.
The review period for the September rebalance ends 31 July, the announcement of the changes will take place end August and implemented at the close of trading on 29 September.
While there has been a steady increase in cumulative excess volume for Max Healthcare Institute (MAXHEALT IN), there could be more room to run in the stock. 


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Forecast Changes, Impact, Positioning

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: The 90-day pause on US reciprocal tariffs expires on July 9, 2025. Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and India, now face a return to steep US tariffs.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Markets reacted sharply to the original tariff announcement in April, with volatility peaking. While implied volatility eased in May, it has since climbed again, suggesting rising investor concern.</li>
<li>
Why Read: As markets face renewed risk of stress, this Insight helps investors understand which markets and sectors are most exposed, how volatility is evolving, and how best to position.</li>
</ul>



Context: The 90-day pause on US reciprocal tariffs expires on July 9, 2025. Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and India, now face a return to steep US tariffs.

Highlights: Markets reacted sharply to the original tariff announcement in April, with volatility peaking. While implied volatility eased in May, it has since climbed again, suggesting rising investor concern.

Why Read: As markets face renewed risk of stress, this Insight helps investors understand which markets and sectors are most exposed, how volatility is evolving, and how best to position.


Tariff Risk Returns: Market Signals and Asia’s Volatility Momentum

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>
Context: Central Bank rate decisions, index changes and political events can move markets and affect volatility. Exchange holidays and option expiration schedules might influence liquidity on these days.</li>
<li>
Highlights: The week of July 7 to July 11 is packed with the expiration of the pause on reciprocal tariffs, two Central Bank decisions, and options expiries.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.</li>
</ul>



Context: Central Bank rate decisions, index changes and political events can move markets and affect volatility. Exchange holidays and option expiration schedules might influence liquidity on these days.

Highlights: The week of July 7 to July 11 is packed with the expiration of the pause on reciprocal tariffs, two Central Bank decisions, and options expiries.

Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.


Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

<ul>
<li>Across markets realized volatility generally came in below implied, making June favorable for volatility sellers.</li>
<li>July has historically rewarded vol sellers; we reference a prior Insight on volatility during Trump’s first term highlighting a large deviation from average in July.</li>
<li>Average July returns are mixed, but there are clear standouts among the macro markets.</li>
</ul>


Across markets realized volatility generally came in below implied, making June favorable for volatility sellers.
July has historically rewarded vol sellers; we reference a prior Insight on volatility during Trump’s first term highlighting a large deviation from average in July.
Average July returns are mixed, but there are clear standouts among the macro markets.


Global Macro Outlook (July): Trump Volatility Playbook Offers Clues for July Positioning

India

The NIFTY 50 index is National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market. Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products (IISL), which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.

NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)

Anthem Biosciences IPO: Lists Today; Index Inclusion Timing

Anthem Biosciences raised US$394m in its IPO valuing the company at US$3.7bn. The stock lists today. No Fast Entry but the stock should be added to...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Forecast Changes, Impact, Positioning

There could be 2 changes for the NIFTY50 in September and passives will need to trade 5.3-14.9x ADV (11.2-23x delivery volume). Max Healthcare has...

Brian Freitas

Tariff Risk Returns: Market Signals and Asia’s Volatility Momentum

The 90-day pause on US reciprocal tariffs is set to expire, causing volatility in markets and raising investor concern about potential stress ahead.

Gaudenz Schneider

The Month Ahead: Key Events in July 2025

Market volatility can be influenced by Central Bank decisions, index changes, and political events. Plan ahead for investment and trading decisions.

Gaudenz Schneider

Global Macro Outlook (July): Trump Volatility Playbook Offers Clues for July Positioning

An in-depth look at price and volatilty across macro markets. July has historically been fertile ground for volatiilty sellers and we take a deeper...

John Ley

Anthem Biosciences IPO: Lists Today; Index Inclusion Timing

Anthem Biosciences raised US$394m in its IPO valuing the company at US$3.7bn. The stock lists today. No Fast Entry but the stock should be added to...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Forecast Changes, Impact, Positioning

There could be 2 changes for the NIFTY50 in September and passives will need to trade 5.3-14.9x ADV (11.2-23x delivery volume). Max Healthcare has...

Brian Freitas

Tariff Risk Returns: Market Signals and Asia’s Volatility Momentum

​The 90-day pause on US reciprocal tariffs is set to expire, causing volatility in markets and raising investor concern about potential stress ahead.

Gaudenz Schneider

The Month Ahead: Key Events in July 2025

​Market volatility can be influenced by Central Bank decisions, index changes, and political events. Plan ahead for investment and trading decisions.

Gaudenz Schneider

Global Macro Outlook (July): Trump Volatility Playbook Offers Clues for July Positioning

An in-depth look at price and volatilty across macro markets. July has historically been fertile ground for volatiilty sellers and we take a deeper...

John Ley

The 90-day pause on US reciprocal tariffs is set to expire, causing volatility in markets and raising investor concern about potential stress ahead.

Market volatility can be influenced by Central Bank decisions, index changes, and political events. Plan ahead for investment and trading decisions.