Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The "January Effect," where investors repurchase stocks previously sold for tax-loss harvesting purposes at the end of December creates demand.</li>
<li>The Nifty 50 has experienced the Santa Claus rally in 9 out of the past 10 years, averaging a 1.76% return during this period.</li>
<li>Government shutdown risks in the US, rising treasury yields, and concerns about overvalued markets could dampen investor enthusiasm in 2024</li>
</ul>


The "January Effect," where investors repurchase stocks previously sold for tax-loss harvesting purposes at the end of December creates demand.
The Nifty 50 has experienced the Santa Claus rally in 9 out of the past 10 years, averaging a 1.76% return during this period.
Government shutdown risks in the US, rising treasury yields, and concerns about overvalued markets could dampen investor enthusiasm in 2024


Is the Santa Claus Rally a Myth or Market Reality?

<ul>
<li>Inflation spiked in late 2024 due to food price pressures but is projected to average 4.8% in FY25, with moderation expected from a strong rabi season and seasonal corrections.</li>
<li>Weights of commodities experiencing inflation over 4% in the CPI basket, reduced from 79.0% in August 2022 to 41.6% in November 2024.</li>
<li>Inflation is expected to moderate with a strong rabi season, record kharif production, and seasonal corrections in vegetable prices. However, risks from rising edible oil prices, and global factors persist</li>
</ul>


Inflation spiked in late 2024 due to food price pressures but is projected to average 4.8% in FY25, with moderation expected from a strong rabi season and seasonal corrections.
Weights of commodities experiencing inflation over 4% in the CPI basket, reduced from 79.0% in August 2022 to 41.6% in November 2024.
Inflation is expected to moderate with a strong rabi season, record kharif production, and seasonal corrections in vegetable prices. However, risks from rising edible oil prices, and global factors persist


Charted Insights: India's Inflation Outlook for 2025; More Chances of Downside, Rather Than Upside

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Event-Driven

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
As the year comes to its end, the trading calendar is impacted by two shortened weeks, with the Christmas holiday and New Year’s Day both falling midweek.</li>
<li>Holidays market trends can be affected by various non-market factors but it's always good to check the indexes probability of trend reversals, to avoid surprises.
</li>
<li>In this insight, we’ll take a quick look at the major Asia-Pacific market indices—a 'Christmas Carousel of Odds' for Asian markets, if you will.</li>
</ul>



As the year comes to its end, the trading calendar is impacted by two shortened weeks, with the Christmas holiday and New Year’s Day both falling midweek.
Holidays market trends can be affected by various non-market factors but it's always good to check the indexes probability of trend reversals, to avoid surprises.

In this insight, we’ll take a quick look at the major Asia-Pacific market indices—a 'Christmas Carousel of Odds' for Asian markets, if you will.


HSI, Nikkei 225, NIFTY 50, Kospi 200, ASX 200, CSI 300: Year-End Trends and Holiday Market Moves!

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> has been rallying more than 5% since its bottom 4 weeks ago. However the index has not returned to its all time high (26277).</li>
<li>Our models indicate that the index is starting to be overbought, but is not yet super-overbought, so the question is: will it continue higher? Or will it pullback soon?</li>
<li>This coming week will be crucial to sustain momentum and possibly accelerate, our models say that when this pattern is encountered the index can rally up to 7-8 weeks.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index has been rallying more than 5% since its bottom 4 weeks ago. However the index has not returned to its all time high (26277).
Our models indicate that the index is starting to be overbought, but is not yet super-overbought, so the question is: will it continue higher? Or will it pullback soon?
This coming week will be crucial to sustain momentum and possibly accelerate, our models say that when this pattern is encountered the index can rally up to 7-8 weeks.


EQD | NIFTY at a Fork: Is the Rally Over? or Can It Stretch for 3 More Weeks?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44148:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics India (123D IN)</a> is looking to list on the exchanges by selling 101.8m shares at a valuation of around US$12-13bn and raising around US$1.8bn in its IPO.</li>
<li>The draft RHP was filed on 6 December, so the IPO could complete in the first quarter of 2025.</li>
<li>The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances could commence in June/September next year depending on when the stock lists.</li>
</ul>



LG Electronics India (123D IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling 101.8m shares at a valuation of around US$12-13bn and raising around US$1.8bn in its IPO.
The draft RHP was filed on 6 December, so the IPO could complete in the first quarter of 2025.
The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances could commence in June/September next year depending on when the stock lists.


LG Electronics India: IPO Details & Index Entry Timing

India

The NIFTY 50 index is National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market. Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products (IISL), which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.

NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)

Is the Santa Claus Rally a Myth or Market Reality?

Investors repurchasing stocks in January after tax-loss harvesting, Nifty 50's Santa Claus rally, but 2024 faces risks of government shutdown,...

Nimish Maheshwari

Charted Insights: India's Inflation Outlook for 2025; More Chances of Downside, Rather Than Upside

Inflation spiked in late 2024 due to food price pressures, but projected to average 4.8% in FY25 with moderation expected from strong rabi season...

Nimish Maheshwari

HSI, Nikkei 225, NIFTY 50, Kospi 200, ASX 200, CSI 300: Year-End Trends and Holiday Market Moves!

Trading calendar has 2 upcoming shortened weeks, this insight is offer analysis of the major Asia/Pacific indices to highlight potential sudden...

Nico Rosti

EQD | NIFTY at a Fork: Is the Rally Over? or Can It Stretch for 3 More Weeks?

The NIFTY 50 this week broke through the support level at 24407 (50% probability of reversal) and got closer to the 23718 level (75% probability of...

Nico Rosti

LG Electronics India: IPO Details & Index Entry Timing

LG Electronics is looking to raise US$1.8bn via an OFS of 101.8m shs of LG Elec India, valuing the co at US$12bn. No Fast Entry in global indices;...

Brian Freitas

Is the Santa Claus Rally a Myth or Market Reality?

​Investors repurchasing stocks in January after tax-loss harvesting, Nifty 50's Santa Claus rally, but 2024 faces risks of government shutdown,...

Nimish Maheshwari

Charted Insights: India's Inflation Outlook for 2025; More Chances of Downside, Rather Than Upside

​Inflation spiked in late 2024 due to food price pressures, but projected to average 4.8% in FY25 with moderation expected from strong rabi season...

Nimish Maheshwari

HSI, Nikkei 225, NIFTY 50, Kospi 200, ASX 200, CSI 300: Year-End Trends and Holiday Market Moves!

​Trading calendar has 2 upcoming shortened weeks, this insight is offer analysis of the major Asia/Pacific indices to highlight potential sudden...

Nico Rosti

EQD | NIFTY at a Fork: Is the Rally Over? or Can It Stretch for 3 More Weeks?

The NIFTY 50 this week broke through the support level at 24407 (50% probability of reversal) and got closer to the 23718 level (75% probability of...

Nico Rosti

LG Electronics India: IPO Details & Index Entry Timing

LG Electronics is looking to raise US$1.8bn via an OFS of 101.8m shs of LG Elec India, valuing the co at US$12bn. No Fast Entry in global indices;...

Brian Freitas

Investors repurchasing stocks in January after tax-loss harvesting, Nifty 50's Santa Claus rally, but 2024 faces risks of government shutdown,...

Inflation spiked in late 2024 due to food price pressures, but projected to average 4.8% in FY25 with moderation expected from strong rabi season...

Trading calendar has 2 upcoming shortened weeks, this insight is offer analysis of the major Asia/Pacific indices to highlight potential sudden...