Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-housing-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43675:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN)</a> is looking to list on the exchanges by selling INR 65.6bn of stock at a valuation rumoured to be between INR 560-590bn.</li>
<li>The anchor allocations will be completed later this week, and the stock is expected to start trading on 16 September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bajaj-housing-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43675:1" rel="noopener">Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN)</a>'s maximum float will be around 10% and that will limit inclusion to just one global index in the following 6 months. </li>
</ul>



Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling INR 65.6bn of stock at a valuation rumoured to be between INR 560-590bn.
The anchor allocations will be completed later this week, and the stock is expected to start trading on 16 September.

Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN)'s maximum float will be around 10% and that will limit inclusion to just one global index in the following 6 months. 


Bajaj Housing Finance IPO: Offering Details & Index Inclusion

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> has a market cap of over US$27bn but is not a member of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index</a> since it is not an F&amp;O member.</li>
<li>Once SEBI's proposed and enhanced stock inclusion thresholds are implemented, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> should be added to the F&amp;O segment of the market.</li>
<li>Passive <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index</a> will have to buy a lot of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato</a> stock at subsequent rebalances. The impact will be higher given the lower real float.</li>
</ul>



Zomato (ZOMATO IN) has a market cap of over US$27bn but is not a member of the NIFTY Index and S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index since it is not an F&amp;O member.
Once SEBI's proposed and enhanced stock inclusion thresholds are implemented, Zomato (ZOMATO IN) should be added to the F&amp;O segment of the market.
Passive NIFTY Index and S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index will have to buy a lot of Zomato stock at subsequent rebalances. The impact will be higher given the lower real float.


Zomato: Index Inclusions & Passive Impact (Once Added to F&O)

Index Rebalance

Bharat Heavy Electricals / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 27 September. Changes are on expected lines.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> is 19.6% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 63.64bn (US$759m). Many stocks have over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes this year but there has been big underperformance over the last month as stocks expected to benefit from rural spending have rallied.</li>
</ul>


There are 7 changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 27 September. Changes are on expected lines.
Estimated one-way turnover for the Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) is 19.6% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 63.64bn (US$759m). Many stocks have over 1x ADV to trade.
The adds have outperformed the deletes this year but there has been big underperformance over the last month as stocks expected to benefit from rural spending have rallied.


NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: 7 Changes on Expected Lines

Head of Trading/ Partner, AceGama Advisors

Sankalp Singh

Head of Trading/ Partner

Proprietary Trading Desk

AceGama Advisors

Trading desk specializing in the Listed & OTC options strategies for risk management & investment purposes.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>IVs have moved to new lows for the summer, breaking below the floor set through June &amp; July. Nifty50 IVs now trading at 11.0% levels.</li>
<li>Spectacular turnaround in IVs since early-August vol-spike. In spite of this, Vol Regime remains steady in its "High &amp; Down" vol-state.  </li>
<li>Nifty50 Vol surface characteristics have compressed for Monthly-expiry contracts. Smile &amp; Skew for Quarterly contracts remain unchanged.</li>
</ul>


IVs have moved to new lows for the summer, breaking below the floor set through June &amp; July. Nifty50 IVs now trading at 11.0% levels.
Spectacular turnaround in IVs since early-August vol-spike. In spite of this, Vol Regime remains steady in its "High &amp; Down" vol-state.  
Nifty50 Vol surface characteristics have compressed for Monthly-expiry contracts. Smile &amp; Skew for Quarterly contracts remain unchanged.


EQD / NSE Vol Update / Smile & Skew Compress as Vols Trade to New Summer Lows

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent (TRENT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ltimindtree-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22778:1" rel="noopener">LTIMindtree (LTIM IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/divi-s-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4871:1" rel="noopener">Divi's Laboratories (DIVI IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> at the close on 27 September.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade at least 5 days of ADV and over 11 days of delivery volume in the stocks.</li>
<li>All the index changes are also changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> and there will be opposing flows (though much smaller in size) for the stocks.</li>
</ul>



Trent (TRENT IN) and Bharat Electronics (BHE IN) will replace LTIMindtree (LTIM IN) and Divi's Laboratories (DIVI IN) in the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) at the close on 27 September.
Passive trackers will need to trade at least 5 days of ADV and over 11 days of delivery volume in the stocks.
All the index changes are also changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) and there will be opposing flows (though much smaller in size) for the stocks.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Trent, BEL to Replace Divi's Lab, LTIMindtree

India

The NIFTY 50 index is National Stock Exchange of India's benchmark stock market index for Indian equity market. Nifty is owned and managed by India Index Services and Products (IISL), which is a wholly owned subsidiary of the NSE Strategic Investment Corporation Limited.

NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)

Bajaj Housing Finance IPO: Offering Details & Index Inclusion

Bajaj Housing Finance is looking to list by selling INR 65.6bn of stock in its IPO. Valuations are expensive compared to peers but there will be...

Brian Freitas

Zomato: Index Inclusions & Passive Impact (Once Added to F&O)

Inclusion in the F&O segment will see Zomato added to the NIFTY and SENSEX and deleted from the NIFTYJR. Passives will need to buy a lot of real...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: 7 Changes on Expected Lines

There are 7 changes for the NIFTY Next50 Index. Estimated 1-way turnover is 19.6% resulting in a 1-way trade of INR 63.64bn (US$759m). There are...

Brian Freitas

EQD / NSE Vol Update / Smile & Skew Compress as Vols Trade to New Summer Lows

Nifty50 IVs hit new summer lows at 11.0%, despite early-August spike. Volatility regime remains steady in "High & Down" state. Smile/ Skew...

AceGama Advisors

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Trent, BEL to Replace Divi's Lab, LTIMindtree

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace LTIM and Divi Lab in the NIFTY50. There is over 5x ADV/11x delivery volume to trade in the stocks. There...

Brian Freitas

Bajaj Housing Finance IPO: Offering Details & Index Inclusion

Bajaj Housing Finance is looking to list by selling INR 65.6bn of stock in its IPO. Valuations are expensive compared to peers but there will be...

Brian Freitas

Zomato: Index Inclusions & Passive Impact (Once Added to F&O)

Inclusion in the F&O segment will see Zomato added to the NIFTY and SENSEX and deleted from the NIFTYJR. Passives will need to buy a lot of real...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY NEXT50 Index Rebalance: 7 Changes on Expected Lines

There are 7 changes for the NIFTY Next50 Index. Estimated 1-way turnover is 19.6% resulting in a 1-way trade of INR 63.64bn (US$759m). There are...

Brian Freitas

EQD / NSE Vol Update / Smile & Skew Compress as Vols Trade to New Summer Lows

​Nifty50 IVs hit new summer lows at 11.0%, despite early-August spike. Volatility regime remains steady in "High & Down" state. Smile/ Skew...

AceGama Advisors

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance: Trent, BEL to Replace Divi's Lab, LTIMindtree

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace LTIM and Divi Lab in the NIFTY50. There is over 5x ADV/11x delivery volume to trade in the stocks. There...

Brian Freitas

Nifty50 IVs hit new summer lows at 11.0%, despite early-August spike. Volatility regime remains steady in "High & Down" state. Smile/ Skew...