Equity/Index & Cross Asset Volatility Specialist, Cameron Design

Jay Cameron

Equity/Index & Cross Asset Volatility Specialist

Cameron Design

We specialize in financial products and volatility. Our strategies balance speed, data, and risk control to capture opportunities across global markets. Our research leverages AI and data analytics to continuously refine our algorithms and adapt to evolving market dynamics.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Sustained pressure from the JPX initiative targeting firms trading below P/B is forcing enhanced capital returns (buybacks and dividends), creating opportunity across both indices.</li>
<li>BoJ's shift to a positive rate environment is fundamentally restoring Net Interest Income and profitability to the Financials sector, positioning the TOPIX, in particular, for outperformance.</li>
<li>AI/Tech Sector Dominance: The Nikkei 225 is driven by high-tech firms. This concentration, led by high-priced high weighted stocks like Advantest and Softbank Group, provides high-beta AI exposure</li>
</ul>


Sustained pressure from the JPX initiative targeting firms trading below P/B is forcing enhanced capital returns (buybacks and dividends), creating opportunity across both indices.
BoJ's shift to a positive rate environment is fundamentally restoring Net Interest Income and profitability to the Financials sector, positioning the TOPIX, in particular, for outperformance.
AI/Tech Sector Dominance: The Nikkei 225 is driven by high-tech firms. This concentration, led by high-priced high weighted stocks like Advantest and Softbank Group, provides high-beta AI exposure


2026 High Conviction - Japan's Triple Play: How PBR Reform, AI, and Banks Unlock Alpha

<ul>
<li>Gold's outlook is strongly supported by a dovish Federal Reserve, structural de-dollarization trends, and increasing central bank demand for a strategic stagflation hedge.</li>
<li>The Nikkei 225's high is vulnerable to concentrated risk in the technology sector and geopolitical volatility, necessitating a tactical approach to portfolio protection.</li>
<li>Deep dive into a two-part portfolio-defensive structure, pairing a strategic long-term inflation asset with a short-term volatility hedge on a key equity index.</li>
</ul>


Gold's outlook is strongly supported by a dovish Federal Reserve, structural de-dollarization trends, and increasing central bank demand for a strategic stagflation hedge.
The Nikkei 225's high is vulnerable to concentrated risk in the technology sector and geopolitical volatility, necessitating a tactical approach to portfolio protection.
Deep dive into a two-part portfolio-defensive structure, pairing a strategic long-term inflation asset with a short-term volatility hedge on a key equity index.


A Global Portfolio Inflation-Stagflation Hedge: Gold and NK Index Volatility

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

<ul>
<li>
Japan's Q3 GDP shrank 1.8% vs forecast 2.5% (annualised), while consumption slowed to 0.1%. This is the first contraction in six quarter.
</li>
<li>
The cause is the drop in exports in the face of U.S. tariffs, automakers in particular plummeted, following a period of hiking exports before tariffs came into effect.</li>
<li>We've consistently flagged the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> as overbought. This tactical short-term analysis pinpoints critical support (and resistance, but we think the index may fall).</li>
</ul>



Japan's Q3 GDP shrank 1.8% vs forecast 2.5% (annualised), while consumption slowed to 0.1%. This is the first contraction in six quarter.


The cause is the drop in exports in the face of U.S. tariffs, automakers in particular plummeted, following a period of hiking exports before tariffs came into effect.
We've consistently flagged the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) as overbought. This tactical short-term analysis pinpoints critical support (and resistance, but we think the index may fall).


Nikkei 225 (NKY) Tactical Outlook After Japan's Economy Contracts on Tariff Hit

<ul>
<li>A look at our probabilistic tactical models for US and Asian Equities: comparing which stocks are overbought and which ones are oversold.</li>
<li>Most of the U.S. and Asian stocks we track are overbought, with Asian markets showing the strongest overbought conditions. 
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta (META US)</a>  and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300)</a>  offer bargain-hunting opportunities for tactical investors.
</li>
</ul>


A look at our probabilistic tactical models for US and Asian Equities: comparing which stocks are overbought and which ones are oversold.
Most of the U.S. and Asian stocks we track are overbought, with Asian markets showing the strongest overbought conditions. 


Meta (META US)  and the CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300)  offer bargain-hunting opportunities for tactical investors.



Cross-Market Outlook: US Vs Asia — Who’s Overbought, Who’s Oversold?(Nov 4, 2025)

<ul>
<li>As reported by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/brian-freitas" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:4091" rel="noopener">Brian Freitas</a>, the JPX on Oct 27 suddenly announced that Nidec Corp (6594 JP) would be deleted from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a> and replaced by Ibiden (4062 JP).</li>
<li>The date  of replacement is November 5, the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei</a> will experience passive flows, in this insight we want to have a look at the possible moves caused by this catalyst.</li>
<li>At the moment the index is overbought, according to our models.</li>
</ul>


As reported by Brian Freitas, the JPX on Oct 27 suddenly announced that Nidec Corp (6594 JP) would be deleted from the Nikkei 225 and replaced by Ibiden (4062 JP).
The date  of replacement is November 5, the Nikkei will experience passive flows, in this insight we want to have a look at the possible moves caused by this catalyst.
At the moment the index is overbought, according to our models.


Nikkei 225 (NKY) Outlook After Surprise Nov 5 Rebalance

Japan

The Nikkei-225 Stock Average is a price-weighted average of 225 top-rated Japanese companies listed in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The Nikkei Stock Average was first published on May 16, 1949, where the average price was ¥176.21 with a divisor of 225. 

Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)

2026 High Conviction - Japan's Triple Play: How PBR Reform, AI, and Banks Unlock Alpha

JPX initiative pressures firms to enhance capital returns, BoJ's positive rate shift boosts Financials, Nikkei 225 driven by high-tech firms for...

Jay Cameron

A Global Portfolio Inflation-Stagflation Hedge: Gold and NK Index Volatility

Gold's outlook is reinforced by dovish Fed, de-dollarization trends, central bank demand. Nikkei vulnerability in tech sector risk and...

Jay Cameron

Nikkei 225 (NKY) Tactical Outlook After Japan's Economy Contracts on Tariff Hit

Japan's Q3 GDP shrank to 1.8% due to drop in exports from U.S. tariffs, this is the first contraction in six quarters. The Nikkei 225 was...

Nico Rosti

Cross-Market Outlook: US Vs Asia — Who’s Overbought, Who’s Oversold?(Nov 4, 2025)

Our probabilistic analysis shows extreme overbought conditions across both US and Asian equities, with Asia being the most overheated. META and CSI...

Nico Rosti

Nikkei 225 (NKY) Outlook After Surprise Nov 5 Rebalance

JPX announced Ibiden will replace Nidec Corp in Nikkei 225 on Nov 5, this will generate passive flows and move the index: currently overbought...

Nico Rosti

2026 High Conviction - Japan's Triple Play: How PBR Reform, AI, and Banks Unlock Alpha

​JPX initiative pressures firms to enhance capital returns, BoJ's positive rate shift boosts Financials, Nikkei 225 driven by high-tech firms for...

Jay Cameron

A Global Portfolio Inflation-Stagflation Hedge: Gold and NK Index Volatility

​Gold's outlook is reinforced by dovish Fed, de-dollarization trends, central bank demand. Nikkei vulnerability in tech sector risk and...

Jay Cameron

Nikkei 225 (NKY) Tactical Outlook After Japan's Economy Contracts on Tariff Hit

​Japan's Q3 GDP shrank to 1.8% due to drop in exports from U.S. tariffs, this is the first contraction in six quarters. The Nikkei 225 was...

Nico Rosti

Cross-Market Outlook: US Vs Asia — Who’s Overbought, Who’s Oversold?(Nov 4, 2025)

Our probabilistic analysis shows extreme overbought conditions across both US and Asian equities, with Asia being the most overheated. META and CSI...

Nico Rosti

Nikkei 225 (NKY) Outlook After Surprise Nov 5 Rebalance

​JPX announced Ibiden will replace Nidec Corp in Nikkei 225 on Nov 5, this will generate passive flows and move the index: currently overbought...

Nico Rosti

JPX initiative pressures firms to enhance capital returns, BoJ's positive rate shift boosts Financials, Nikkei 225 driven by high-tech firms for...

Gold's outlook is reinforced by dovish Fed, de-dollarization trends, central bank demand. Nikkei vulnerability in tech sector risk and...

Japan's Q3 GDP shrank to 1.8% due to drop in exports from U.S. tariffs, this is the first contraction in six quarters. The Nikkei 225 was...

JPX announced Ibiden will replace Nidec Corp in Nikkei 225 on Nov 5, this will generate passive flows and move the index: currently overbought...