Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

Japan's relative outperform is coming to a close given the dual highs at Nikkei 23,000 and an expected USD/JPY decline to break rising wedge support. We have held a hedge short from 22,965 and just added a tranche at 21,910. Momentum selling below 22,000 was viewed as a critical turning point in the tactical cycle. We have also identified a high confidence topping signals in the USD/JPY that will add pressure to the Nikkei support break and more importantly signal increasing DM equity risk.A…

Japan's relative outperform is coming to a close given the dual highs at Nikkei 23,000 and an expected USD/JPY decline to break rising wedge support. We have held a hedge short from 22,965 and just added a tranche at 21,910. Momentum selling below 22,000 was viewed as a critical turning point in the tactical cycle. We have also identified a high confidence topping signals in the USD/JPY that will add pressure to the Nikkei support break and more importantly signal increasing DM equity risk.A…

Nikkei and USD/JPY Short for Late July Low and Muddy September

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Technical Analysis

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img class="editor-image img-responsive" src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/055/660/original/CP%20header.jpg?1529578972" data-smartkarma-image-id="55660"></figure>This webcast runs through our short positioning in Asia and where we are adding short exposure.Asian bear pressure has notched higher amid the call for broader USD strength and trade friction. Last week, we noted increased odds of selling pressure due to redemptions/outflows which will have a lingering impact.S&amp;P 2,800 fade hit our 2,745 short to long turn target. The rise toward 2,800 resistance is an opportunity to place a fresh short hedge on our long tech positioning. We placed a short at…

This webcast runs through our short positioning in Asia and where we are adding short exposure.Asian bear pressure has notched higher amid the call for broader USD strength and trade friction. Last week, we noted increased odds of selling pressure due to redemptions/outflows which will have a lingering impact.S&amp;P 2,800 fade hit our 2,745 short to long turn target. The rise toward 2,800 resistance is an opportunity to place a fresh short hedge on our long tech positioning. We placed a short at…

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist, LightStream Research

Campbell Gunn

'Quantamental' Japan Specialist

ja research

ja research is an independent research platform focused exclusively on Japanese equities. Leveraging data and graphic analysis provided by Japan Analytics, we provide insights on small and medium-sized companies that have been ignored by the sell-side as well as challenging conventional wisdom on larger companies. We also offer analyst and corporate access, the latter with translation if required. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/053/460/original/2018-05-26_13-44-33.png?1527309910" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="53460"></figure><div class="content-caption">Source: Japan Analytics</div>THREE-MONTH % CHANGE IN SECTOR WEIGHTS - This regular insight focuses on the percentage change in each sectors' weight in the market composite over the last three months and provides a quick snapshot of current market trends.  DOMESTIC SECTORS LEAD - Domestic sectors continue to lead in Japan and are the only sectors to have seen gains over the period. Over the last week, the significant gainers have been Information Technology, Commercial Services, Transportation and Inte…

Source: Japan AnalyticsTHREE-MONTH % CHANGE IN SECTOR WEIGHTS - This regular insight focuses on the percentage change in each sectors' weight in the market composite over the last three months and provides a quick snapshot of current market trends.  DOMESTIC SECTORS LEAD - Domestic sectors continue to lead in Japan and are the only sectors to have seen gains over the period. Over the last week, the significant gainers have been Information Technology, Commercial Services, Transportation and Inte…

Japan 3M Sector Weight % Changes - Domestic Sectors▲ Global Cyclicals▼ as Global Trade Slows

Chief Economist, Aletheia Capital

Dr. Jim Walker

Chief Economist

Independent and original Asian investment research

Aletheia Capital

Aletheia Capital (HK) Ltd. (previously known as Asianomics) combines the extensive knowledge of its experienced team with technology and regulatory changes to disrupt Global Markets business in Asia. The firm is completely independent with no conflicts of interest either on Investment Banking advisory or Capital Markets execution.

Macroeconomics

Abenomics has been an abject failure. The first quarter GDP contraction would appear to ratify that view. Moreover, the policies have certainly not benefitted ordinary people and all arrows have pointed to failure in their underlying stated goals. Stated goals is the key - the reality of Abenomics' actual goal is quite different.

Abenomics has been an abject failure. The first quarter GDP contraction would appear to ratify that view. Moreover, the policies have certainly not benefitted ordinary people and all arrows have pointed to failure in their underlying stated goals. Stated goals is the key - the reality of Abenomics' actual goal is quite different.

The two factors in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/asianomics-investment-strategy-for-2018" target="_blank">Asianomics Investment Strategy for 2018</a> which influenced our decision to go overweight Japanese equities were improvements in our Austrian indicators: the Japanese investment cycle and a significant turnaround in the amount and direction of broad money growth. But that was before we had full year 2017 information on corporate earnings. When full year RoE data became available in February, we realised that had we known then what we know now, Japan would have made our strongest conviction overweight call. The country's full year returns are better than they ever were, meaning so is Japan’s profit cycle.

The two factors in Asianomics Investment Strategy for 2018 which influenced our decision to go overweight Japanese equities were improvements in our Austrian indicators: the Japanese investment cycle and a significant turnaround in the amount and direction of broad money growth. But that was before we had full year 2017 information on corporate earnings. When full year RoE data became available in February, we realised that had we known then what we know now, Japan would have made our strongest conviction overweight call. The country's full year returns are better than they ever were, meaning so is Japan’s profit cycle.

Japan

The Nikkei-225 Stock Average is a price-weighted average of 225 top-rated Japanese companies listed in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The Nikkei Stock Average was first published on May 16, 1949, where the average price was ¥176.21 with a divisor of 225. 

Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)

Nikkei and USD/JPY Short for Late July Low and Muddy September

Japan's relative outperform is coming to a close given the dual highs at Nikkei 23,000 and an expected USD/JPY decline to break rising wedge...

Thomas Schroeder

Tactical Short Targets in Asia

This webcast runs through our short positioning in Asia and where we are adding short exposure.Asian bear pressure has notched higher amid the call...

Thomas Schroeder

Japan 3M Sector Weight % Changes - Domestic Sectors▲ Global Cyclicals▼ as Global Trade Slows

THREE-MONTH % CHANGE IN SECTOR WEIGHTS - This regular insight focuses on the percentage change in each sectors' weight in the market composite over...

Campbell Gunn

Abenomics and the End of Honesty

Abenomics has been an abject failure. The first quarter GDP contraction would appear to ratify that view. Moreover, the policies have certainly not...

Dr. Jim Walker

Japan's Profit Cycle - Better Than Ever

The two factors in Asianomics Investment Strategy for 2018 which influenced our decision to go overweight Japanese equities were improvements...

Dr. Jim Walker