Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

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<li>There are 36 adds and 34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. Some of the changes are interesting.</li>
<li>Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 4.75% and a two-way trade of JPY 444.45bn (US$3.3bn).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a> is a delete from the JPX Nikkei 400 Index but a high probability inclusion to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> at the September rebalance.</li>
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There are 36 adds and 34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. Some of the changes are interesting.
Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 4.75% and a two-way trade of JPY 444.45bn (US$3.3bn).

Oriental Land (4661 JP) is a delete from the JPX Nikkei 400 Index but a high probability inclusion to the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) at the September rebalance.


JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: Some Biggish Impact Stocks

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

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Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

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<li>The SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,600/1,611 points (200-day EMA) and the support at 1,587/1,580 points.</li>
<li>We suggest trading buy on GULF, BEM and OTO.</li>
<li>Technically, the index is likely to correct in the short term before testing the major resistance at 1,611 points next week. </li>
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The SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,600/1,611 points (200-day EMA) and the support at 1,587/1,580 points.
We suggest trading buy on GULF, BEM and OTO.
Technically, the index is likely to correct in the short term before testing the major resistance at 1,611 points next week. 






<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance at 1,600/1,607 points and the support at 1,583/1,573 points.</li><li>We recommend trading buy on COM7, FORTH and SNNP.</li><li>Technically, the index may move up to test 1,600 points; if it manages to close above this level, there will be more buying signs. </li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance at 1,600/1,607 points and the support at 1,583/1,573 points.We recommend trading buy on COM7, FORTH and SNNP.Technically, the index may move up to test 1,600 points; if it manages to close above this level, there will be more buying signs. 

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>The SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,600/1,607 points and the support at 1,583/1,573 points.</li><li>We recommend trading buy on BCH, PTG and BAM.</li><li>Technically, the index is expected to swing in a narrow range after investors sold to take profit at the major resistance at 1,600 points; in the short term, the index may move in the range of 1,583-1,600 points. </li></ul></div></div></div></div>

The SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,600/1,607 points and the support at 1,583/1,573 points.We recommend trading buy on BCH, PTG and BAM.Technically, the index is expected to swing in a narrow range after investors sold to take profit at the major resistance at 1,600 points; in the short term, the index may move in the range of 1,583-1,600 points. 

<ul><li>The SET Index is expected to gain, with the resistance at 1,600/1,607 points and the support at 1,583/1,573 points.</li><li>We recommend trading buy on BEC, AMANAH and GPSC.</li><li>Technically, the index is expected to gain to test the resistance at around 1,600/1,607 points. </li></ul>

The SET Index is expected to gain, with the resistance at 1,600/1,607 points and the support at 1,583/1,573 points.We recommend trading buy on BEC, AMANAH and GPSC.Technically, the index is expected to gain to test the resistance at around 1,600/1,607 points. 

Japan

The Nikkei-225 Stock Average is a price-weighted average of 225 top-rated Japanese companies listed in the First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. The Nikkei Stock Average was first published on May 16, 1949, where the average price was ¥176.21 with a divisor of 225. 

Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: Some Biggish Impact Stocks

There are 36 adds & 34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index at the August rebalance leading to an estimated one way turnover of 4.75% and a two-way...

Brian Freitas

Zoom - August 5, 2022

The SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,600/1,611 points (200-day EMA) and the support at 1,587/1,580 points.

Krungthai XSpring

Zoom - August 4, 2022

The SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with the resistance at 1,600/1,607 points and the support at 1,583/1,573 points.

Krungthai XSpring

Zoom - Market Outlook - August 3, 2022

The SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the resistance at 1,600/1,607 points and the support at 1,583/1,573 points.

Krungthai XSpring

Zoom - Market Outlook

The SET Index is expected to gain, with the resistance at 1,600/1,607 points and the support at 1,583/1,573 points. We recommend trading buy on...

Krungthai XSpring