Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.</li>
<li>The changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50</a> and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.</li>
<li>Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.</li>
</ul>


The FRTIB benchmark switch from the EAFE Index to the ACWI IMI ex-USA ex-China ex-Hong Kong Index will result in a round trip trade of around US$56bn.
The changes for the CSI 300, CSI 500, STAR50, SSE50 and a bunch of other mainland China indices will be announced after market close on Friday.
Relatively quiet week for ETF flows with no major creations or redemptions during the week.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

CNGR Advanced Material / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cngr-advanced-material-co-ltd-47ff2856-4dc1-492a-8394-03d69de02ce4" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45994:1" rel="noopener">CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK)</a>'s IPO price was fixed at the low end at HK$34.00. However, valuation is inexpensive, and initial price weakness is a long-term opportunity.</li>
<li>Three groups of close peers, including nickel-related companies, mining companies, and lithium/battery companies, trade on average FY26F PER of 21x, vs. CNGR's 12.5x.</li>
<li>By parking it with the steepest HA discount of its peers (26.2%), CNGR will be valued at HK$40.07, as its IPO price implies a massive 37.4% discount.</li>
</ul>



CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK)'s IPO price was fixed at the low end at HK$34.00. However, valuation is inexpensive, and initial price weakness is a long-term opportunity.
Three groups of close peers, including nickel-related companies, mining companies, and lithium/battery companies, trade on average FY26F PER of 21x, vs. CNGR's 12.5x.
By parking it with the steepest HA discount of its peers (26.2%), CNGR will be valued at HK$40.07, as its IPO price implies a massive 37.4% discount.


CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK): Opportunity Is Out There

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 2Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows in 2Q2025 were US$6,431 million and holdings were US$320 billion.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Wuliangye.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 2Q2025 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the inflows in 2Q2025 were US$6,431 million and holdings were US$320 billion.
We highlight flows for Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Wuliangye.


Northbound Flows (2Q2025): Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 500 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Henan Shenhuo Coal &amp; Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery, Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy, Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Shenergy, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel, Yonghui Superstores.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 500 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Henan Shenhuo Coal &amp; Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery, Inner Mongolia Dian Tou Energy, Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing, Shenergy, Maanshan Iron &amp; Steel, Yonghui Superstores.


CSI 500 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 4Q2023 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the outflows in 4Q2023 were US$20,921 million and holdings were US$302 billion.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, Yangtze Power, Catl, Gree Electric Appliances, Sungrow Power Supply.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 4Q2023 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the outflows in 4Q2023 were US$20,921 million and holdings were US$302 billion.
We highlight flows for Moutai, Yangtze Power, Catl, Gree Electric Appliances, Sungrow Power Supply.


Northbound Flows (4Q2023): $20bn Outflows in 4Q

China

Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. produces and sells lithium battery electrode materials. The Company manufactures and sells lithium nickel cobalt manganese oxide and other related products. Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Technology markets its products throughout China.

Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Techn (688005 CH)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Techn (688005 CH)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK): Opportunity Is Out There

CNGR Advanced Material's IPO price fixed at low end due to lukewarm response, but valuation seen as inexpensive compared to close peers in nickel,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Northbound Flows (2Q2025): Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for June and highlighted flows for Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI 500 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery

We analyzed CSI 500's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power (000933 CH), Guangxi Liugong Machinery...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (4Q2023): $20bn Outflows in 4Q

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 4Q2023 and highlight flows for Moutai, Yangtze Power, Catl, Gree Electric Appliances, Sungrow Power Supply.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: FRTIB, Japan, CSI300, CSI500, STAR50, WuXi XDC, Asahi

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

CNGR Advanced Material (2579 HK): Opportunity Is Out There

​CNGR Advanced Material's IPO price fixed at low end due to lukewarm response, but valuation seen as inexpensive compared to close peers in nickel,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Northbound Flows (2Q2025): Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for June and highlighted flows for Catl, Moutai, Midea, Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine, Wuliangye.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI 500 Index Earning Revision (Jun): Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power, Guangxi Liugong Machinery

We analyzed CSI 500's consensus for Jun 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Henan Shenhuo Coal & Power (000933 CH), Guangxi Liugong Machinery...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (4Q2023): $20bn Outflows in 4Q

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 4Q2023 and highlight flows for Moutai, Yangtze Power, Catl, Gree Electric Appliances, Sungrow Power Supply.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CNGR Advanced Material's IPO price fixed at low end due to lukewarm response, but valuation seen as inexpensive compared to close peers in nickel,...