Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

United Nova Technology   / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 9 changes for the STAR100 Index. Implementation will take place at the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-nova-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40389:1" rel="noopener">United Nova Technology (688469 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/biwin-storage-technology-co-lt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40391:1" rel="noopener">Biwin Storage Technology (688525 CH)</a> were not added at the March rebalance since they were consistently loss-making. But they have been added this time.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-nova-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40389:1" rel="noopener">United Nova Technology (688469 CH)</a> had been trading poorly and then the stock dropped further after non-inclusion in March. That could change now with inclusion confirmed.</li>
</ul>


There are 3 changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 9 changes for the STAR100 Index. Implementation will take place at the close on 14 June.

United Nova Technology (688469 CH) and Biwin Storage Technology (688525 CH) were not added at the March rebalance since they were consistently loss-making. But they have been added this time.

United Nova Technology (688469 CH) had been trading poorly and then the stock dropped further after non-inclusion in March. That could change now with inclusion confirmed.


STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance: Index Committee Flip-Flops on Profitability

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>In my last insight (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-star-50-jun-24-3-adds-dels-possible-but-should-be-monitored-closely" target="_blank" rel="noopener">link</a>), I discussed how the rankings had to be monitored closely before finalizing the index change expectations for the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Now that the reference period is complete, I have discussed my final expectations for the June 2024 review. The official index changes will be announced later this month.</li>
</ul>


STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
In my last insight (link), I discussed how the rankings had to be monitored closely before finalizing the index change expectations for the June 2024 index rebal event.
Now that the reference period is complete, I have discussed my final expectations for the June 2024 review. The official index changes will be announced later this month.


Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Jun 24: SHORTs Down 12% Vs Peers in 1 Month; Final Ranks & New Trade

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance ended 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 31 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>We forecast 9 changes for the index, including migrations between the STAR 100 Index and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a>.</li>
<li>The outright inclusions have outperformed the outright deletions by 9% over the last month and by 20% over the last 3 months.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance ended 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 31 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 14 June.
We forecast 9 changes for the index, including migrations between the STAR 100 Index and the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX).
The outright inclusions have outperformed the outright deletions by 9% over the last month and by 20% over the last 3 months.


STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continue to Push Higher

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we forecast 3 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> in June. All changes are migrations from/to the STAR 100 Index.</li>
<li>One way turnover is estimated at 3.4% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 4.5bn (US$630m). There is a lot to trade from passive trackers, especially on the inclusions.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletions by ~18% over the last month with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hangzhou-ezviz-network-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41299:1" rel="noopener">Hangzhou EZVIZ Network (688475 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apt-medical-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40838:1" rel="noopener">APT Medical (688617 CH)</a> moving higher.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we forecast 3 changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) in June. All changes are migrations from/to the STAR 100 Index.
One way turnover is estimated at 3.4% resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 4.5bn (US$630m). There is a lot to trade from passive trackers, especially on the inclusions.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletions by ~18% over the last month with Hangzhou EZVIZ Network (688475 CH) and APT Medical (688617 CH) moving higher.


STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Steamroll Deletes

Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology / Index Rebalance

Hainan Jinpan Smart Technology (688676 CH)

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance ends 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 31 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>We forecast 10 changes for the index, including migrations between the STAR 100 Index and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>Excluding the migrations, the potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last few months and that could continue as we head to the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance ends 30 April. We expect the changes to be announced 31 May with the implementation taking place after the close on 14 June.
We forecast 10 changes for the index, including migrations between the STAR 100 Index and the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX). 
Excluding the migrations, the potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes over the last few months and that could continue as we head to the end of the review period.


STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes as Potential Adds Outperform

China

Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. produces and sells lithium battery electrode materials. The Company manufactures and sells lithium nickel cobalt manganese oxide and other related products. Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Technology markets its products throughout China.

Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Techn (688005 CH)

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Ningbo Ronbay New Energy Techn (688005 CH)

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance: Index Committee Flip-Flops on Profitability

There are 3 changes for the STAR50 index and 9 for the STAR100. Some stocks will have same way flows from other index trackers. United Nova Tech is...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Jun 24: SHORTs Down 12% Vs Peers in 1 Month; Final Ranks & New Trade

I see 3 expected ADDs/DELs for the June 2024 review and I believe the expected ADDs will outperform the expected DELs over the next few weeks.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Continue to Push Higher

There could be 9 changes for the STAR100 Index in June of which 3 are migrations with the STAR50. The outright adds have outperformed the outright...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Steamroll Deletes

There could be 3 changes for the STAR50 Index in June. The impact on the potential adds varies from 8-14x ADV. The potential adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: 10 Changes as Potential Adds Outperform

Excluding the migrations to/from the STAR50 Index, there has been strong outperformance over the recent past and that could continue for the next...

Brian Freitas

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