Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Ningbo Shuanglin Auto Parts / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.</li>
<li>We see 3 changes for the ChiNext index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 index in the next index rebal event.</li>
</ul>


The ChiNext index represents the performance of the 100 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the ChiNext Market of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.
The ChiNext 50 index is a subset of the ChiNext Index and it consists of the top 50 names in the ChiNext index with the highest daily average turnover.
We see 3 changes for the ChiNext index and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 index in the next index rebal event.


Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: ~US$600mn Collective One-Way Flows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank / Index Rebalance

Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank (601825 CH)

<ul>
<li>There are 7 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a>, 50 changes for the CSI 500 Index and 100 changes for the CSI1000 Index that will be implemented on 13 June.</li>
<li>There are 240 unique names that are adds or deletes and the round-trip trade across all 3 indices is close to US$12bn.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> and the CSI 1000 Index but underperformed for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 7 changes for the CSI 300 Index, 50 changes for the CSI 500 Index and 100 changes for the CSI1000 Index that will be implemented on 13 June.
There are 240 unique names that are adds or deletes and the round-trip trade across all 3 indices is close to US$12bn.
The adds have outperformed the deletes for the CSI 300 Index and the CSI 1000 Index but underperformed for the CSI 500 Index.


CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: Changes Lead to US$12bn Trade

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be 50 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index</a> and 100 changes for the CSI 1000 Index in June.</li>
<li>There are a lot of migrations expected between the two indices and the impacts for those stocks are lower with much of the flow cancelling out.</li>
<li>The outright adds have outperformed the outright deletes over the last few months with the profit-taking in March giving way to renewed outperformance in April.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be 50 changes for the CSI Smallcap 500 Index and 100 changes for the CSI 1000 Index in June.
There are a lot of migrations expected between the two indices and the impacts for those stocks are lower with much of the flow cancelling out.
The outright adds have outperformed the outright deletes over the last few months with the profit-taking in March giving way to renewed outperformance in April.


CSI 500/1000 Index Rebalance Preview: Strong Near-Term Outperformance

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tong Yang Industry is now seeing record profit in FY23 and this appears to be in place to continue during FY24</li>
<li>The automobile and motorcycle parts manufacturing company is seeing strong growth in the US market</li>
<li>Electric vehicle parts R&amp;D is well underway and this should support continued growth in coming years</li>
</ul>


Tong Yang Industry is now seeing record profit in FY23 and this appears to be in place to continue during FY24
The automobile and motorcycle parts manufacturing company is seeing strong growth in the US market
Electric vehicle parts R&amp;D is well underway and this should support continued growth in coming years


Tong Yang Industry - Record Profit With Improving Financial Position

China

Ningbo Shuanglin Auto Parts Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures automobile spare parts and mold.  The Company's product include vehicle driver, car door, potentiometer.

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Ningbo Shuanglin Auto Parts (300100 CH)

Quiddity Leaderboard ChiNext & ChiNext 50 Dec25: ~US$600mn Collective One-Way Flows

We see US$366mn and US$231mn one-way flows for the ChiNext and ChiNext 50 rebalance events respectively. The ChiNext expected ADDs have strong...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI300/CSI500/CSI1000 Index Rebalance: Changes Lead to US$12bn Trade

The 314 changes to the CSI300/500/1000 indices lead to 240 unique names. The round-trip trade across all three indices is around US$12bn. Some...

Brian Freitas

CSI 500/1000 Index Rebalance Preview: Strong Near-Term Outperformance

We forecast 50/100 changes for the CSI500/1000 indices in June. The net passive trade is estimated at US$4.6bn. The outright adds have outperformed...

Brian Freitas

Tong Yang Industry - Record Profit With Improving Financial Position

Strong 2Q24 results just out: NTD1.04bn vs NTD758m net profit. Continues to shows ongoing earnings strength, even after exceptional 1Q24.

Daniel Tabbush

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