Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 4+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. Remain aggressively long/continue to expect more upside into year-end and the early2026.</li>
<li>Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking out from its 7-month base, above the crucial 5500 level, and RS is attempting to reverse its 5-month downtrend -- buy.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
Our bullish near-term outlook will remain in place as long as the 4+ month uptrend continues on ACWI-US. Remain aggressively long/continue to expect more upside into year-end and the early2026.
Europe's EURO STOXX 50 is breaking out from its 7-month base, above the crucial 5500 level, and RS is attempting to reverse its 5-month downtrend -- buy.


Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-sanhua-intelligent-controls" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45277:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$22.53 to raise HK$9,336 million (US$1.2 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sanhua-intelligent-controls-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:189460" rel="noopener">Sanhua Intelligent Controls H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a>.</li>
<li>Sanhua had the highest international oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. Despite the weak price momentum, the AH discount is attractive.</li>
</ul>



Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK) priced its H Share at HK$22.53 to raise HK$9,336 million (US$1.2 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in Sanhua Intelligent Controls H Share Listing: The Investment Case.
Sanhua had the highest international oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. Despite the weak price momentum, the AH discount is attractive.


Sanhua Intelligent Controls H Share Listing (2050 HK): Trading Debut

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-sanhua-intelligent-controls" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45277:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK)</a> has launched its H Share listing at HK$21.21 to HK$22.53 per H Share. Pricing will be on 19 June.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sanhua-intelligent-controls-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:189460" rel="noopener">Sanhua Intelligent Controls H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a>.</li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 20.2%-24.9% (based on 12 June A Share price) is attractive and I would participate in the H Share listing.</li>
</ul>



Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK) has launched its H Share listing at HK$21.21 to HK$22.53 per H Share. Pricing will be on 19 June.
I discussed the H Share listing in Sanhua Intelligent Controls H Share Listing: The Investment Case.
The proposed AH discount of 20.2%-24.9% (based on 12 June A Share price) is attractive and I would participate in the H Share listing.


Sanhua Intelligent Controls H Share Listing (2050 HK): Valuation Insights

Zhejiang Sanhua Intellignt Controls / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-sanhua-intellignt-controls-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12940:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Sanhua Intellignt Controls Co., Ltd. (002050 CH)</a>, the world’s largest refrigeration and air-conditioning control component manufacturer, has filed its PHIP for a H Share listing to raise US$1.0-1.5 billion.     </li>
<li>Sanhua's market share in the global refrigeration and air-conditioning control component market was 45.5% in terms of revenue in 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>The fundamentals are good, with the positives (refrigeration and aircon rising growth, stable margin, and cash generation) outweighing the negatives (automotive declining growth, US tariffs overhang). </li>
</ul>



Zhejiang Sanhua Intellignt Controls Co., Ltd. (002050 CH), the world’s largest refrigeration and air-conditioning control component manufacturer, has filed its PHIP for a H Share listing to raise US$1.0-1.5 billion.     
Sanhua's market share in the global refrigeration and air-conditioning control component market was 45.5% in terms of revenue in 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
The fundamentals are good, with the positives (refrigeration and aircon rising growth, stable margin, and cash generation) outweighing the negatives (automotive declining growth, US tariffs overhang). 


Sanhua Intelligent Controls H Share Listing: The Investment Case

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 13th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,898.6 million, led by industrials, information technology, and offset by consumer discretionary, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Longi Green, China Tourism, Iflytek, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 13th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,898.6 million, led by industrials, information technology, and offset by consumer discretionary, health care.
We highlight flows for Longi Green, China Tourism, Iflytek, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows (Oct 13th): Longi Green, China Tourism, Iflytek, Ping An Insurance

China

Ningbo Tuopu Group Co., Ltd. is a multipurpose enterprise specializing in R&D, manufacturing, and sales of auto parts. The Company produces vibration-control mechanisms, molding, suspension, and other equipment for the international auto industry.

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Ningbo Tuopu Group (601689 CH)

Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Europe EURO $STOXX 50 Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan $EWT, China $MCHI, Korea $EWY, and the U.S. $SPX; Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Northbound Flows (Oct 13th): Longi Green, China Tourism, Iflytek, Ping An Insurance

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Longi Green, China Tourism, Iflytek, Ping An...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Europe Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan, China, Korea, and the U.S.

Europe EURO $STOXX 50 Breaking Out From 7-Month Base -- Buy; Remain Overweight Taiwan $EWT, China $MCHI, Korea $EWY, and the U.S. $SPX; Bullish...

Vermilion Research

Sanhua Intelligent Controls H Share Listing (2050 HK): Trading Debut

Sanhua had the highest international oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. Despite the weak price momentum, the AH discount is...

Arun George

Sanhua Intelligent Controls H Share Listing (2050 HK): Valuation Insights

The proposed AH discount of 20.2%-24.9% (based on 12 June A Share price) is attractive and I would participate in the H Share listing.

Arun George

Sanhua Intelligent Controls H Share Listing: The Investment Case

The fundamentals are good, with the positives (refrigeration and aircon rising growth, stable margin, and cash generation) outweighing the...

Arun George

Northbound Flows (Oct 13th): Longi Green, China Tourism, Iflytek, Ping An Insurance

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Longi Green, China Tourism, Iflytek, Ping An...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM