External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, Xiaomi etc reported their Apr 2024 sales volumes on 1 May 2024.</li><li>Total sales volume combined rose 43% YoY (ranging from -31% to +546%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -14% to +32%).</li><li>Li Auto, Xpeng miss, NIO beat. It appears to us that the weak sales of the Mega has spread into Li Auto’s other models.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, Xiaomi etc reported their Apr 2024 sales volumes on 1 May 2024.Total sales volume combined rose 43% YoY (ranging from -31% to +546%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -14% to +32%).Li Auto, Xpeng miss, NIO beat. It appears to us that the weak sales of the Mega has spread into Li Auto’s other models.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Apr NEV sales beat; Price war continues

<ul><li>Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Oct 2023 sales volumes on 1 Nov 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 54% YoY (ranging from -33% to +302%) and 6% MoM (ranging from -20% to 112%) in Oct.</li><li>Seven out of the 11 automakers posted their all-time high sales volume in Oct.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Oct 2023 sales volumes on 1 Nov 2023.Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 54% YoY (ranging from -33% to +302%) and 6% MoM (ranging from -20% to 112%) in Oct.Seven out of the 11 automakers posted their all-time high sales volume in Oct.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – NEV sales push at month-end leads to Oct beat

<ul><li>Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall Motor, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their Aug 2023 sales volumes on 1 Sep 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 68% YoY (ranged from -50% to +1,218%) and 5% MoM (ranged from -9% to +24%) in Aug 2023.</li><li>NEV trio largely in line. Li Auto’s recorded a sales volume of almost 35,000 units in Aug 2023, with all three models surpassing 10,000 units. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall Motor, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their Aug 2023 sales volumes on 1 Sep 2023.Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 68% YoY (ranged from -50% to +1,218%) and 5% MoM (ranged from -9% to +24%) in Aug 2023.NEV trio largely in line. Li Auto’s recorded a sales volume of almost 35,000 units in Aug 2023, with all three models surpassing 10,000 units. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – In-line Aug NEV retail sales volume

<ul>
<li>We summarize the Jun 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li>
<li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.</li>
<li>We are of the view that Tesla is still resilient, while NIO’s key metrics in Jun were below our expectation.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


We summarize the Jun 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.
Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.
We are of the view that Tesla is still resilient, while NIO’s key metrics in Jun were below our expectation.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Jun leading indicators: NIO weaker than expected

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. We project NIO’s net loss in 2Q23E to be similar to 1Q23, at around RMB 4.9bn.</li><li>We estimate that its recent price cuts on margin dent to be limited in FY23E but more severe in FY24-25E.</li><li>Such price cuts could also make its new brand less differentiated from the NIO brand, in our view.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. We project NIO’s net loss in 2Q23E to be similar to 1Q23, at around RMB 4.9bn.We estimate that its recent price cuts on margin dent to be limited in FY23E but more severe in FY24-25E.Such price cuts could also make its new brand less differentiated from the NIO brand, in our view.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Margin dent from price cuts lingers into FY24-25

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

NIO (9866 HK)

Auto - Apr NEV sales beat; Price war continues

Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, Xiaomi etc reported their Apr 2024 sales volumes on 1 May...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – NEV sales push at month-end leads to Oct beat

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Oct 2023 sales...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – In-line Aug NEV retail sales volume

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall Motor, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Aito, Neta and Leap reported their Aug 2023...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Jun leading indicators: NIO weaker than expected

We summarize the Jun 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Margin dent from price cuts lingers into FY24-25

Maintain HOLD. We project NIO’s net loss in 2Q23E to be similar to 1Q23, at around RMB 4.9bn. We estimate that its recent price cuts on margin dent...

CMB International