External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. NIO’s 2Q23 earnings missed our prior forecast on lower GPM, higher R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses.</li><li>Its 3Q23 sales guidance may imply that the sales boost from the previous price cuts could be short-lived, or at least lower than some investors’ expectation.</li><li>More importantly, we have not seen its profitability turnaround signals, as losses from other revenue continue with the prior price cut and no signs to scale back its R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. NIO’s 2Q23 earnings missed our prior forecast on lower GPM, higher R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses.Its 3Q23 sales guidance may imply that the sales boost from the previous price cuts could be short-lived, or at least lower than some investors’ expectation.More importantly, we have not seen its profitability turnaround signals, as losses from other revenue continue with the prior price cut and no signs to scale back its R&amp;D and SG&amp;A expenses.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Little Sign of Profit Turnaround After 2Q23 Miss

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. We project NIO’s net loss in 2Q23E to be similar to 1Q23, at around RMB 4.9bn.</li><li>We estimate that its recent price cuts on margin dent to be limited in FY23E but more severe in FY24-25E.</li><li>Such price cuts could also make its new brand less differentiated from the NIO brand, in our view.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. We project NIO’s net loss in 2Q23E to be similar to 1Q23, at around RMB 4.9bn.We estimate that its recent price cuts on margin dent to be limited in FY23E but more severe in FY24-25E.Such price cuts could also make its new brand less differentiated from the NIO brand, in our view.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Margin dent from price cuts lingers into FY24-25

<ul><li>We downgrade NIO’s rating to HOLD from Buy as heightened competition drags its sales growth more severely than expected.</li><li>NIO could face more challenges than its peers when its sales growth slows, amid its heavy investments, including battery swap, chips, mobile phones etc.</li><li>We are of the view that its decision making to cut non-core projects is too slow. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We downgrade NIO’s rating to HOLD from Buy as heightened competition drags its sales growth more severely than expected.NIO could face more challenges than its peers when its sales growth slows, amid its heavy investments, including battery swap, chips, mobile phones etc.We are of the view that its decision making to cut non-core projects is too slow. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Premiumization No Longer Stands for High Margin

<ul><li>NIO’s 4Q22 earnings missed our prior forecast on inventory provision, R&amp;D and SG&amp;A.</li><li>We are of the view that NIO’s 1Q23E sales and margin weakness should be largely priced in.</li><li>Sales in 2H23E could be crucial as supply chain constraints should no longer be an excuse for sales miss. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO’s 4Q22 earnings missed our prior forecast on inventory provision, R&amp;D and SG&amp;A.We are of the view that NIO’s 1Q23E sales and margin weakness should be largely priced in.Sales in 2H23E could be crucial as supply chain constraints should no longer be an excuse for sales miss. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – 4Q22 miss; 5 new models in the next 5 months

<ul><li>We project NIO’s 4Q22E net loss to narrow QoQ, despite sales volume miss.</li><li>We project NIO’s sales volume to rise 63% YoY to 200,000 units in FY23E.</li><li>We are more conservative about NIO’s breakeven point than consensus, as we believe it may need mass-market brand to achieve it given its heavy investments in R&amp;D and infrastructure.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We project NIO’s 4Q22E net loss to narrow QoQ, despite sales volume miss.We project NIO’s sales volume to rise 63% YoY to 200,000 units in FY23E.We are more conservative about NIO’s breakeven point than consensus, as we believe it may need mass-market brand to achieve it given its heavy investments in R&amp;D and infrastructure.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – 4Q22E loss to narrow; FY23 sales to outperform

China

NIO Inc. manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company offers electric vehicles and parts, as well as provides battery charging services. NIO serves customers worldwide.

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NIO (NIO US)

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Little Sign of Profit Turnaround After 2Q23 Miss

Its 3Q23 sales guidance may imply that the sales boost from the previous price cuts could be short-lived, or at least lower than some investors’...

CMB International

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Margin dent from price cuts lingers into FY24-25

Maintain HOLD. We project NIO’s net loss in 2Q23E to be similar to 1Q23, at around RMB 4.9bn. We estimate that its recent price cuts on margin dent...

CMB International

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – Premiumization No Longer Stands for High Margin

We downgrade NIO’s rating to HOLD from Buy as heightened competition drags its sales growth more severely than expected.

CMB International

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – 4Q22 miss; 5 new models in the next 5 months

NIO’s 4Q22 earnings missed our prior forecast on inventory provision, R&D and SG&A. We are of the view that NIO’s 1Q23E sales and margin weakness...

CMB International

NIO Inc. (NIO US) – 4Q22E loss to narrow; FY23 sales to outperform

We project NIO’s 4Q22E net loss to narrow QoQ, despite sales volume miss. We project NIO’s sales volume to rise 63% YoY to 200,000 units in FY23E.

CMB International

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