Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX flat on the day as catalysts lacking; Tech down ahead Wed's  CPI as momentum builds for rate hike;  Broad strength in cyclicals - underlying economic strength?</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY  133.7;Buffet says he looking to raise Japan equity weighting; MHI awarded big defense contract for missiles: Denso gears up for EV transition </li>
<li>NUGGET.  Toyota gets serious in BEVs - we are excited about the prospects for the supply chain, particularly Denso and Panasonic </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX flat on the day as catalysts lacking; Tech down ahead Wed's  CPI as momentum builds for rate hike;  Broad strength in cyclicals - underlying economic strength?
JAPAN. NKY Futs +0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY  133.7;Buffet says he looking to raise Japan equity weighting; MHI awarded big defense contract for missiles: Denso gears up for EV transition 
NUGGET.  Toyota gets serious in BEVs - we are excited about the prospects for the supply chain, particularly Denso and Panasonic 


Good Morning Japan |No Catalysts-Equities Flat; NUGGET - Toyota Gets Serious, Watch the Supply Chain

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  Shares of US regional banks crash; Flight to safe haven assets as US2Yr yield crash; Also, strong Yen bid; Nomura expects Fed to CUT next (now that's original).</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash; USDJPY strengthens to 133.21; Masatoshi Ito - founder of Ito-Yokado dies at 98; Nidec -Leadership Transition take shape; Japan Post Bank priced; Komatsu upgrade</li>
<li>NUGGET.  JAL EXCEEDS union demands with wage settlement.  Inflation may act as the slayer of inefficient companies as weaker companies will just not be able to keep up.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  Shares of US regional banks crash; Flight to safe haven assets as US2Yr yield crash; Also, strong Yen bid; Nomura expects Fed to CUT next (now that's original).
JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash; USDJPY strengthens to 133.21; Masatoshi Ito - founder of Ito-Yokado dies at 98; Nidec -Leadership Transition take shape; Japan Post Bank priced; Komatsu upgrade
NUGGET.  JAL EXCEEDS union demands with wage settlement.  Inflation may act as the slayer of inefficient companies as weaker companies will just not be able to keep up.


Good Morning Japan |US Bank Turmoil Spur Safe Haven Bid; NUGGET:Japan Wage Hikes - Something Special

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  Back to Macro US Equities Refocus on Rate rises; SPX breaches 4100 support; US 2Yr Yields hit 2.5% - need to watch this;  TESLA back as shares Px doubles! </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 131.62; New BOJ Governor nominees  by Feb 14; Apple/Google warned  by Japan FTC;  Earnings Festival: Positive TEL; Renesas; Nippon Steel </li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET. Chart of the Day: Tokyo Electron(8035) share price has underperformed vs US Peer AMAT. BTE Results could close the Gap</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  Back to Macro US Equities Refocus on Rate rises; SPX breaches 4100 support; US 2Yr Yields hit 2.5% - need to watch this;  TESLA back as shares Px doubles! 
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 131.62; New BOJ Governor nominees  by Feb 14; Apple/Google warned  by Japan FTC;  Earnings Festival: Positive TEL; Renesas; Nippon Steel 
DAILY NUGGET. Chart of the Day: Tokyo Electron(8035) share price has underperformed vs US Peer AMAT. BTE Results could close the Gap


Good Morning Japan |Equity Losses Again on Rate Hike Refocus;Japan Earnings Deluge>500 Stocks on Tap

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX Pulls Back for 2nd day as Spy Balloons dominate - mkts just stretched;  Google responds to ChatGPT with BARD; Dell cuts headcount as PC struggle continues</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Fut flat vs Cash; USDJPY 132.63; Govt denies BOJ-Amamiya claim(really !); Son to skip Softban earnings call; Masa Takafumi wins Grammy with Sakura!</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET. MHI  formalizes exit from Spacejet. No surprise as it has been on ice for 2 years.   Opportunity to put a positive spin on the $7bn failure.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX Pulls Back for 2nd day as Spy Balloons dominate - mkts just stretched;  Google responds to ChatGPT with BARD; Dell cuts headcount as PC struggle continues
JAPAN. NKY Fut flat vs Cash; USDJPY 132.63; Govt denies BOJ-Amamiya claim(really !); Son to skip Softban earnings call; Masa Takafumi wins Grammy with Sakura!
DAILY NUGGET. MHI  formalizes exit from Spacejet. No surprise as it has been on ice for 2 years.   Opportunity to put a positive spin on the $7bn failure.


Good Morning Japan | Spy Balloons?? SPX Holds; Google Responds with BARD; BOJ AMAMIYA Story Refuted!

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Major breakouts for UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50, and Germany's DAX (among others) continue to support our belief that non-U.S. equities are likely to outperform in the months/years ahead.</li>
<li>We continue to recommend adding exposure to China/Hong Kong, and to add exposure/remain overweight Europe and the UK; these remain our favorite areas to invest in the year ahead.</li>
<li>The UK/Europe and Hong Kong/China make up the majority of today's individual stock buy recommendations. Industrials, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary Sectors are all bullish and highlighted today -- add exposure.</li>
</ul>


Major breakouts for UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50, and Germany's DAX (among others) continue to support our belief that non-U.S. equities are likely to outperform in the months/years ahead.
We continue to recommend adding exposure to China/Hong Kong, and to add exposure/remain overweight Europe and the UK; these remain our favorite areas to invest in the year ahead.
The UK/Europe and Hong Kong/China make up the majority of today's individual stock buy recommendations. Industrials, Materials, and Consumer Discretionary Sectors are all bullish and highlighted today -- add exposure.


UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50 Breaking Out; Non-U.S. Outperformance to Continue, Buys in Cyclicals

Japan

Nippon Steel Corp is an integrated steel maker. The Company produces various types of steel products used for industrial machinery & equipment and exports them worldwide.  Nippon Steel provides plant construction and urban development and also develops new businesses such as chemicals, ceramics, electronic equipment and information & communication systems.

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Nippon Steel Corporation (5401 JP)

Good Morning Japan |No Catalysts-Equities Flat; NUGGET - Toyota Gets Serious, Watch the Supply Chain

While the US market looks for direction, in Japan, some positive headlines with help underline our bullish outlook. First, Warren Buffet in an...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |US Bank Turmoil Spur Safe Haven Bid; NUGGET:Japan Wage Hikes - Something Special

NKY Futures are set for more losses at the open, driven by the safe-haven bid for the yen. Surely, this macro-driven sell-off is a buying opportunity?

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |Equity Losses Again on Rate Hike Refocus;Japan Earnings Deluge>500 Stocks on Tap

INFLATION FEARS (AGAIN) ; New BOJ Governor nominees to be presented on Feb 14 ; Apple/Google warned by Japan FTC; Earnings Festival: Positive...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | Spy Balloons?? SPX Holds; Google Responds with BARD; BOJ AMAMIYA Story Refuted!

NKY Fut flat vs Cash; USDJPY 132.63; Govt denies BOJ-Amamiya claim(really !); Son to skip Softban earnings call; Masa Takafumi wins Grammy with...

Mark Chadwick

UK's FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50 Breaking Out; Non-U.S. Outperformance to Continue, Buys in Cyclicals

Recent major breakouts for the FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 50, and Germany's DAX (among others) continue to support our belief that non-U.S. equities...

Vermilion Research

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