Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Last May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-yusen-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12285:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Yusen Kk (9101 JP)</a> announced buybacks of ¥200bn over 2 years. In August, they changed it to say  ¥200bn in the next nine months.</li>
<li>That helped support the stock through early March. It was big, and a decent percentage of ADV. Today, they announced earnings and guidance and another ¥100bn buyback through April 2025.</li>
<li>Earnings were OK. Guidance is a little low vs the Street. The stock popped 5% from where it was trading. Lower impact vs 2023. More cross-holder overhang consideration. </li>
</ul>


Last May, Nippon Yusen Kk (9101 JP) announced buybacks of ¥200bn over 2 years. In August, they changed it to say  ¥200bn in the next nine months.
That helped support the stock through early March. It was big, and a decent percentage of ADV. Today, they announced earnings and guidance and another ¥100bn buyback through April 2025.
Earnings were OK. Guidance is a little low vs the Street. The stock popped 5% from where it was trading. Lower impact vs 2023. More cross-holder overhang consideration. 


Nippon Yusen (9101) - Another Big Buyback Announced, But Details Matter

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>This may get squeezy after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-yusen-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12285:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Yusen Kk (9101 JP)</a> announced a ¥200bn over 9mos. Do not be short. Be long. </li>
<li>On an implied stub and simple ratio, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/takara-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11074:1" rel="noopener">Takara Holdings (2531 JP)</a> is trading rich to 60.9%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/takara-bio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10766:1" rel="noopener">Takara Bio Inc (4974 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Remain bullish <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kawasaki-kisen-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3548:1" rel="noopener">Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)</a> vs TOPIX, especially near-term. But this is a much less exciting and squeeze-able opportunity than before,</li>
</ul>


This may get squeezy after Nippon Yusen Kk (9101 JP) announced a ¥200bn over 9mos. Do not be short. Be long. 
On an implied stub and simple ratio, Takara Holdings (2531 JP) is trading rich to 60.9%-held Takara Bio Inc (4974 JP). 
Remain bullish Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP) vs TOPIX, especially near-term. But this is a much less exciting and squeeze-able opportunity than before,


Last Week in Event SPACE: Nippon Yusen, Takara, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, PCCW/HKT, ANZ

<ul>
<li>In March, NYK announced a new Mid-Term Management Plan discussed in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/nippon-yusen-new-midtermplan-new-shareholder-return-policy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:97501" rel="noopener">Nippon Yusen - New MidTermPlan = New Shareholder Return Policy</a>. They promised a full Shareholder Return Policy in May. </li>
<li>There was limited new SRP discussion in the 9 May earnings announcement. The MTMP suggested ¥200bn over 2yrs. The (Japanese) earnings announcement did too. Then May ended. </li>
<li>Now the Buyback Plan is out. ¥200bn over 9mos. That is different. This could move. </li>
</ul>


In March, NYK announced a new Mid-Term Management Plan discussed in Nippon Yusen - New MidTermPlan = New Shareholder Return Policy. They promised a full Shareholder Return Policy in May. 
There was limited new SRP discussion in the 9 May earnings announcement. The MTMP suggested ¥200bn over 2yrs. The (Japanese) earnings announcement did too. Then May ended. 
Now the Buyback Plan is out. ¥200bn over 9mos. That is different. This could move. 


Nippon Yusen (9101) BIG Buyback Announced

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>So far in 2023 TS Lines has sold off close to one quarter of its shipping capacity</li>
<li>In the company's core market, Intra-Asia, it appears rates have bottomed out here in Q323</li>
<li>We also review Q2 financial results from TS Lines' main comp, Wan Hai Lines (WHL)</li>
</ul>


So far in 2023 TS Lines has sold off close to one quarter of its shipping capacity
In the company's core market, Intra-Asia, it appears rates have bottomed out here in Q323
We also review Q2 financial results from TS Lines' main comp, Wan Hai Lines (WHL)


TS Lines Pre-IPO | Slimming Down Fleet | Intra-Asia Market Update | Latest From Key Comp Wan Hai

Equity Bottom-Up

AP Moeller - Maersk A/S / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Rates remain depressed but stable, and easier Y/Y comps will arrive in late Summer</li>
<li>Fuel costs should be a tailwind in Q2 results; Danish giant Maersk reports on August 4th</li>
<li>We expect Q2/H1 results to support our view that the worst of the storm has passed</li>
</ul>


Rates remain depressed but stable, and easier Y/Y comps will arrive in late Summer
Fuel costs should be a tailwind in Q2 results; Danish giant Maersk reports on August 4th
We expect Q2/H1 results to support our view that the worst of the storm has passed


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rates Depressed, Stable | Worst of 'Storm' Passed (July 2023)

Japan

Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Kaisha mainly provides marine transportation services and transportation management solution from international hub ports to both domestic and international ports. The Company operates container transportation, tramp and specialized carriers, and logistics and cruise lines. Nippon Yusen offers scheduled and unscheduled transportation services around the world.

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Nippon Yusen Kk (9101 JP)

Nippon Yusen (9101) - Another Big Buyback Announced, But Details Matter

Nippon Yusen today announced erns, guidance, a div hike, and an added buyback to last year's new MTMP. The stock reacted well. The buyback is...

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: Nippon Yusen, Takara, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, PCCW/HKT, ANZ

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Nippon Yusen (9101) BIG Buyback Announced

NYK has surprised the market with a larger-than-expected buyback. It was supposed to be 200bn yen over 2yrs. It is now 200bn over 9mos. Real World...

Travis Lundy

TS Lines Pre-IPO | Slimming Down Fleet | Intra-Asia Market Update | Latest From Key Comp Wan Hai

So far in 2023 TS Lines has exited trades and sold off a chunk of its fleet. Intra-Asian market conditions may have bottomed, and we will know soon...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Rates Depressed, Stable | Worst of 'Storm' Passed (July 2023)

Our research tracking container rates and profitability suggests that the worst of the storm has passed, and that we should see easier Y/Y comps...

Tracking Traffic

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