IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (1700674D IN)</a>, the largest Indian player in electric two-wheel vehicles (E2W), is seeking to raise up to US$734 million. </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ola-electric-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:123749" rel="noopener">Ola Electric IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ola-electric-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:123960" rel="noopener">Ola Electric IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ola-electric-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:153269" rel="noopener">Ola Electric IPO: The Investment Case</a>. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range of Rs72-76 per share is attractive. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric (1700674D IN), the largest Indian player in electric two-wheel vehicles (E2W), is seeking to raise up to US$734 million. 
We previously discussed the IPO in Ola Electric IPO: The Bull Case, Ola Electric IPO: The Bear Case and Ola Electric IPO: The Investment Case. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range of Rs72-76 per share is attractive. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (1700674D IN)</a>, the largest Indian player in electric two-wheel vehicles (E2W), will launch a US$660 million IPO at a lower US$4.5 billion valuation (vs. the previous US$7-8bn target). </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ola-electric-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:123749" rel="noopener">Ola Electric IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ola-electric-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:123960" rel="noopener">Ola Electric IPO: The Bear Case</a>. In this note, we examine the latest updates in the RHP. </li>
<li>The investment case rests on rising market share in a growing market, rapid growth aided by product diversification, path to profitability supported by lower losses and declining cash burn.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric (1700674D IN), the largest Indian player in electric two-wheel vehicles (E2W), will launch a US$660 million IPO at a lower US$4.5 billion valuation (vs. the previous US$7-8bn target). 
We previously discussed the IPO in Ola Electric IPO: The Bull Case and Ola Electric IPO: The Bear Case. In this note, we examine the latest updates in the RHP. 
The investment case rests on rising market share in a growing market, rapid growth aided by product diversification, path to profitability supported by lower losses and declining cash burn.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (1700674D IN)</a>, the largest Indian electric two-wheel vehicles (E2W) player, is seeking US$660 million from a primary raise along with a secondary raise at a US$7-8 billion valuation.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/ola-electric-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:123749" rel="noopener">Ola Electric IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on high R&amp;D capitalization, ongoing losses, high attrition, declining contract liabilities, cash burn and deteriorating balance sheet. </li>
</ul>



Ola Electric (1700674D IN), the largest Indian electric two-wheel vehicles (E2W) player, is seeking US$660 million from a primary raise along with a secondary raise at a US$7-8 billion valuation.
In Ola Electric IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on high R&amp;D capitalization, ongoing losses, high attrition, declining contract liabilities, cash burn and deteriorating balance sheet. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (1700674D IN)</a>, the largest Indian electric two-wheel vehicles (E2W) player, is seeking US$660 million from a primary raise along with a secondary raise at a US$7-8 billion valuation. </li>
<li>Ola is the best-selling E2W brand in India in terms of monthly E2W registrations on the VAHAN Portal of the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways.</li>
<li>The bull case rests on rising market share in a growing market, a rapid growth phase, increasing gross margin and a favourable cash conversion cycle.   </li>
</ul>



Ola Electric (1700674D IN), the largest Indian electric two-wheel vehicles (E2W) player, is seeking US$660 million from a primary raise along with a secondary raise at a US$7-8 billion valuation. 
Ola is the best-selling E2W brand in India in terms of monthly E2W registrations on the VAHAN Portal of the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways.
The bull case rests on rising market share in a growing market, a rapid growth phase, increasing gross margin and a favourable cash conversion cycle.   


Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>Luyuan Group, a pioneer in the e-bike industry in China, set terms for an upcoming IPO. The company offers ~106.7M shares at the expected price range of HK$6.00 to HK$8.00.</li>
<li>The IPO price range implies a market cap of roughly HK$3B at the midpoint. Cornerstone investors have agreed to subscribe and purchase ~71% of the Offer Shares.</li>
<li>Shares will begin trading on the HKSE next week. I believe the IPO will be priced at the low end of the range as e-bikes sales have slowed in Asia. </li>
</ul>


Luyuan Group, a pioneer in the e-bike industry in China, set terms for an upcoming IPO. The company offers ~106.7M shares at the expected price range of HK$6.00 to HK$8.00.
The IPO price range implies a market cap of roughly HK$3B at the midpoint. Cornerstone investors have agreed to subscribe and purchase ~71% of the Offer Shares.
Shares will begin trading on the HKSE next week. I believe the IPO will be priced at the low end of the range as e-bikes sales have slowed in Asia. 


Luyuan Group IPO: Likely To Be Priced At The Low-End Of Range As E-Bikes Sales Have Slowed in Asia

China

Niu Technologies designs, manufactures, and distributes e-mobility solutions. The Company offers smart electric two-wheeled vehicles. Niu Technologies markets its products worldwide.

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Niu Technologies (NIU US)

Ola Electric IPO: Valuation Insights

Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range of Rs72-76 per share is attractive. Therefore, we would participate in the IPO.

Arun George

Ola Electric IPO: The Investment Case

The investment case rests on rising market share in a growing market, rapid growth aided by product diversification, path to profitability...

Arun George

Ola Electric IPO: The Bear Case

The bear case rests on high R and D capitalization, ongoing losses, high attrition, declining contract liabilities, cash burn and deteriorating...

Arun George

Ola Electric IPO: The Bull Case

The bull case rests on rising market share in a growing market, a rapid growth phase, increasing gross margin and a favourable cash conversion cycle.

Arun George

Luyuan Group IPO: Likely To Be Priced At The Low-End Of Range As E-Bikes Sales Have Slowed in Asia

Luyuan Group, a founder-led pioneer in e-bike industry in China, is expected to IPO in Hong Kong. My target valuation of ~HK$4.3B implies a ~45%...

Andrei Zakharov

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