Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • NN Group | OGC beats consensus; S-II ratio above 150-200% comfort range • SBM Offshore | guidance up, share price down • ForFarmers | post earnings call comment • bpostgroup | 2Q25 beats consensus thanks to strong performance 3PL and Cross-border</li></ul>

In this edition: • NN Group | OGC beats consensus; S-II ratio above 150-200% comfort range • SBM Offshore | guidance up, share price down • ForFarmers | post earnings call comment • bpostgroup | 2Q25 beats consensus thanks to strong performance 3PL and Cross-border

What's News in Amsterdam - 8 August 2025 (NN Group | SBMO | ForFarmers | bpostgroup)

<ul><li>In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | Jumbo to largely discontinue collaboration with European buying organisations • AkzoNobel | Carlyle leading the race to buy BASF Coatings • NN Group | settlement on unit-linked insurance products now final • PostNL | minimum delivery quality thresholds for D+2 and D+3 • E-commerce & Logistics | Belgium considering EUR 2 levy on non-EU parcels</li></ul>

In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | Jumbo to largely discontinue collaboration with European buying organisations • AkzoNobel | Carlyle leading the race to buy BASF Coatings • NN Group | settlement on unit-linked insurance products now final • PostNL | minimum delivery quality thresholds for D+2 and D+3 • E-commerce & Logistics | Belgium considering EUR 2 levy on non-EU parcels

Deutsche Post AG - What's News in Amsterdam

<ul><li>In today's edition: • SBM Offshore | ABS grants approval in principle to SBMO for blue ammonia concept • Dutch banks/insurers | Dutch mortgage market continues to show healthy growth</li></ul>

In today's edition: • SBM Offshore | ABS grants approval in principle to SBMO for blue ammonia concept • Dutch banks/insurers | Dutch mortgage market continues to show healthy growth

What's News in Amsterdam - 12 September (SBMO | Dutch financials)

<ul><li>In this edition: • NN Group | to present its new medium-term targets at today’s CMD • Shell / SBM Offshore | FPSO Alexandre de Gusmão produces first oil • Fugro | to perform geotechnical surveys at Morgan and Mona offshore wind sites • PostNL | DHL e-Commerce Netherlands buys De Buren</li></ul>

In this edition: • NN Group | to present its new medium-term targets at today’s CMD • Shell / SBM Offshore | FPSO Alexandre de Gusmão produces first oil • Fugro | to perform geotechnical surveys at Morgan and Mona offshore wind sites • PostNL | DHL e-Commerce Netherlands buys De Buren

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 27 May (NN Group | Shell / SBMO | Fugro | PostNL)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass when we discussed SPX 5110-5120 as a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.</li>
<li>Possible that major lows are in at 4800-4820 SPX and $402-$412 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), as discussed in 4/10/25 Int'l Compass. For now we want to remain near-term bullish</li>
<li>200-Day MAs on ACWI-US and SPX are spots where they <em>could</em> roll over. This is just a lean; if we see no reason to sell at those levels, we won't.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass when we discussed SPX 5110-5120 as a bounce spot and a level to trade [long] against.
Possible that major lows are in at 4800-4820 SPX and $402-$412 on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), as discussed in 4/10/25 Int'l Compass. For now we want to remain near-term bullish
200-Day MAs on ACWI-US and SPX are spots where they could roll over. This is just a lean; if we see no reason to sell at those levels, we won't.


Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO STOXX 50 and TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels

Netherlands

NN Group N.V. operates as an insurance and investment management company. The Company offers life and non-life, group and individual, motor, transport, fire, liability, travel, and income insurance. NN Group serves customers in the Netherlands.

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NN Group NV (NN NA)

What's News in Amsterdam - 8 August 2025 (NN Group | SBMO | ForFarmers | bpostgroup)

In this edition: • NN Group | OGC beats consensus; S-II ratio above 150-200% comfort range • SBM Offshore | guidance up, share price...

The IDEA!

Deutsche Post AG - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • Ahold Delhaize | Jumbo to largely discontinue collaboration with European buying organisations • AkzoNobel | Carlyle leading...

The IDEA!

What's News in Amsterdam - 12 September (SBMO | Dutch financials)

In today's edition: • SBM Offshore | ABS grants approval in principle to SBMO for blue ammonia concept • Dutch banks/insurers | Dutch mortgage...

The IDEA!

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 27 May (NN Group | Shell / SBMO | Fugro | PostNL)

In this edition: • NN Group | to present its new medium-term targets at today’s CMD • Shell / SBM Offshore | FPSO Alexandre de Gusmão produces...

The IDEA!

Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO STOXX 50 and TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels

Invest As If the Lows Are In; EURO $STOXX 50 and $TOPIX Reclaim Key Levels; Still near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass report. Possible...

Vermilion Research

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