US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kering" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21492:1" rel="noopener">Kering (KER FP)</a> is the main candidate for direct deletion as it is the only constituent below the exit threshold. Forecasted supply is $750m and 9.7 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dsm-firmenich-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43730:1" rel="noopener">DSM-Firmenich (DSFIR NA)</a> is the main candidate for addition replacing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kering" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21492:1" rel="noopener">Kering (KER FP)</a> as it is the highest ranked non-constituent. Forecasted demand is $1.3bn and 22.5 ADV.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nokia-oyj" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21754:1" rel="noopener">Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/volkswagen-ag-2754ab9c-fd60-43d7-a087-b4ce4465a0eb" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:734:1" rel="noopener">Volkswagen (Pref) (VOW3 GR)</a> are only 2% above the exit threshold. Potential replacements are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/engie-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21449:1" rel="noopener">Engie SA (ENGI FP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/argenx-se" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28604:1" rel="noopener">Argenx SE (ARGX US)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Kering (KER FP) is the main candidate for direct deletion as it is the only constituent below the exit threshold. Forecasted supply is $750m and 9.7 ADV.

DSM-Firmenich (DSFIR NA) is the main candidate for addition replacing Kering (KER FP) as it is the highest ranked non-constituent. Forecasted demand is $1.3bn and 22.5 ADV.

Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH) and Volkswagen (Pref) (VOW3 GR) are only 2% above the exit threshold. Potential replacements are Engie SA (ENGI FP) and Argenx SE (ARGX US).


EURO STOXX 50: Kering Out of Fashion with $750M Deletion. DSM-Firmenich In with $1.3B Addition.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cap-gemini-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21411:1" rel="noopener">Cap Gemini SA (CAP FP)</a> is estimated to be excluded from the selection list in the long-run due to being pushed way above 60% coverage in the Technology sector.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merck-kgaa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21676:1" rel="noopener">Merck KGaA (MRK GR)</a> switches between in and out of the selection list because it fluctuates close to the 60% coverage of the Health Care sector.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nokia-oyj" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21754:1" rel="noopener">Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH)</a> has a higher probability of deletion from SX5E if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merck-kgaa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21676:1" rel="noopener">Merck KGaA (MRK GR)</a>  qualifies to the selection list. Forecasted passive fund supply is  ~15 ADV.   </li>
</ul>



Cap Gemini SA (CAP FP) is estimated to be excluded from the selection list in the long-run due to being pushed way above 60% coverage in the Technology sector.

Merck KGaA (MRK GR) switches between in and out of the selection list because it fluctuates close to the 60% coverage of the Health Care sector.

Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH) has a higher probability of deletion from SX5E if Merck KGaA (MRK GR)  qualifies to the selection list. Forecasted passive fund supply is  ~15 ADV.   


Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in Europe and the annual index review takes place in September every year.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's estimation of the latest ranks of potential ADDs and DELs for the upcoming index rebal event in September 2024.</li>
<li>We have been tracking these movements for several months and it seemed like index changes were unlikely to take place but our expectations have changed now.</li>
</ul>


The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in Europe and the annual index review takes place in September every year.
In this insight, we take a look at Quiddity's estimation of the latest ranks of potential ADDs and DELs for the upcoming index rebal event in September 2024.
We have been tracking these movements for several months and it seemed like index changes were unlikely to take place but our expectations have changed now.


Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: Billion Dollar Flows Now in the Money

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Nokia Corporation's engagement in the second quarter of 2024 revolved around significant developments amid a transitory, challenging market environment.</li><li>The company announced two crucial transactions: the proposed acquisition of Infinera, a North American optical networking entity, and Nokia's plan to divest its submarine networks business to the French State.</li><li>The acquisition of Infinera is expected to boost Nokia's Optical Networks business by quickening innovation for customers and strengthening Nokia's position in North America.</li></ul>

Nokia Corporation's engagement in the second quarter of 2024 revolved around significant developments amid a transitory, challenging market environment.The company announced two crucial transactions: the proposed acquisition of Infinera, a North American optical networking entity, and Nokia's plan to divest its submarine networks business to the French State.The acquisition of Infinera is expected to boost Nokia's Optical Networks business by quickening innovation for customers and strengthening Nokia's position in North America.

Nokia Corporation (NOK): The Story Of The Expansion Into The 5G Core Network Market! - Major Drivers

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nokia-oyj" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21754:1" rel="noopener">Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH)</a> is currently the lowest ranked security in SX5E but still above the exit threshold. Its potential deletion can cause the addition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dsm-firmenich-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43730:1" rel="noopener">DSM-Firmenich (DSFIR NA)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/deutsche-post-ag" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21608:1" rel="noopener">Deutsche Post (DHL GR)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reckitt-benckiser-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22105:1" rel="noopener">Reckitt Benckiser (RKT LN)</a> are below the SX5P exit threshold. Their deletion can cause the addition of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intesa-sanpaolo-spa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21200:1" rel="noopener">Intesa Sanpaolo (ISP IM)</a> &amp; <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banco-bilbao-vizcaya-argentari" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21251:1" rel="noopener">Banco Bilbao (BBVA SM)</a> .</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cap-gemini-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21411:1" rel="noopener">Cap Gemini SA (CAP FP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/compass-group-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21880:1" rel="noopener">Compass (CPG LN)</a> are examples of companies with significant market caps which are excluded due to supersector coverage. </li>
</ul>



Nokia OYJ (NOKIA FH) is currently the lowest ranked security in SX5E but still above the exit threshold. Its potential deletion can cause the addition of DSM-Firmenich (DSFIR NA). 

Deutsche Post (DHL GR) &amp; Reckitt Benckiser (RKT LN) are below the SX5P exit threshold. Their deletion can cause the addition of Intesa Sanpaolo (ISP IM) &amp; Banco Bilbao (BBVA SM) .

Cap Gemini SA (CAP FP) and Compass (CPG LN) are examples of companies with significant market caps which are excluded due to supersector coverage. 


STOXX 50: First September Forecasts for Europe and Eurozone

Finland

Nokia Oyj is a global communications company. The Company produces a broad range of technological devices and software, and operates networks, sales ,and communication channels worldwide.

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Nokia Oyj (NOK US)

EURO STOXX 50: Kering Out of Fashion with $750M Deletion. DSM-Firmenich In with $1.3B Addition.

DSM-Firmenich (DSFIR NA) is forecasted to be added to SX5E with a demand of $1.3B as a replacement of Kering (KER FP) with a forecasted supply of...

Dimitris Ioannidis

EURO STOXX 50: Exclusion by Sector

Merck KGaA's fluctuating ranking in the Health Care sector impacts the probability of Nokia's deletion from EURO STOXX 50 which can cause a passive...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: Billion Dollar Flows Now in the Money

There could be 23 days of volume to buy in DSM-Firmenich and 15 days of volume to sell in Nokia as things stand. However, this is a low-conviction...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Nokia Corporation (NOK): The Story Of The Expansion Into The 5G Core Network Market! - Major Drivers

Nokia Corporation's engagement in the second quarter of 2024 revolved around significant developments amid a transitory, challenging market...

Baptista Research

STOXX 50: First September Forecasts for Europe and Eurozone

In SX5E, Nokia might be replaced by DSM-Firmenich, while in SX5P Reckitt Benckiser and Deutsche Post may be replaced by Intesa Sanpaolo and Banco...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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P/E

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EURO STOXX 50: Kering Out of Fashion with $750M Deletion. DSM-Firmenich In with $1.3B Addition.

DSM-Firmenich (DSFIR NA) is forecasted to be added to SX5E with a demand of $1.3B as a replacement of Kering (KER FP) with a forecasted supply of...

Dimitris Ioannidis

EURO STOXX 50: Exclusion by Sector

Merck KGaA's fluctuating ranking in the Health Care sector impacts the probability of Nokia's deletion from EURO STOXX 50 which can cause a passive...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: Billion Dollar Flows Now in the Money

There could be 23 days of volume to buy in DSM-Firmenich and 15 days of volume to sell in Nokia as things stand. However, this is a low-conviction...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Nokia Corporation (NOK): The Story Of The Expansion Into The 5G Core Network Market! - Major Drivers

Nokia Corporation's engagement in the second quarter of 2024 revolved around significant developments amid a transitory, challenging market...

Baptista Research

STOXX 50: First September Forecasts for Europe and Eurozone

​In SX5E, Nokia might be replaced by DSM-Firmenich, while in SX5P Reckitt Benckiser and Deutsche Post may be replaced by Intesa Sanpaolo and Banco...

Dimitris Ioannidis

In SX5E, Nokia might be replaced by DSM-Firmenich, while in SX5P Reckitt Benckiser and Deutsche Post may be replaced by Intesa Sanpaolo and Banco...