Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The changes to the CSI All Share Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage Index were announced after market close on 30 May and will be implemented at the close on 13 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northeast-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6022:1" rel="noopener">Northeast Securities (000686 CH)</a> will be added to the index while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/harbin-hatou-investment-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13056:1" rel="noopener">Harbin Hatou Investment Co, Ltd. (600864 CH)</a> will be deleted.</li>
<li>There is over 2.5x ADV to trade in both stocks and much smaller impact of funding/capping flows on the other index constituents.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the CSI All Share Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage Index were announced after market close on 30 May and will be implemented at the close on 13 June.

Northeast Securities (000686 CH) will be added to the index while Harbin Hatou Investment Co, Ltd. (600864 CH) will be deleted.
There is over 2.5x ADV to trade in both stocks and much smaller impact of funding/capping flows on the other index constituents.


CSI All Share IB & Brokerage Index Rebalance: Northeast Replaces Harbin Hatou

Guotai Junan Securities   / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5665:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities (H) (6837 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haitong-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:166:1" rel="noopener">Haitong Securities (A) (600837 CH)</a> shares will stop trading after 5 February following the merger with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>There will be small buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a> at the close on 5 February and there should be more buying in the A-shares and H-shares in March.</li>
<li>There will also be a stock added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> to bring the number of index constituents back to 300.</li>
</ul>



Haitong Securities (H) (6837 HK) and Haitong Securities (A) (600837 CH) shares will stop trading after 5 February following the merger with Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK). 
There will be small buying in Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) at the close on 5 February and there should be more buying in the A-shares and H-shares in March.
There will also be a stock added to the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) to bring the number of index constituents back to 300.


Guotai Junan/Haitong Sec Merger: The Many Index Flows Around the Corner

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Beijing Strong Biotechnolo-A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We have already discussed our flow expectations for the mainstream indices in the CSI family such as CSI300/500, SSE50/100, and the STAR50/100 for the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our flow expectations for the ADDs/DELs involved in the rebalance of some of the lesser known indices in the CSI family.</li>
<li>The indices covered in this insight are All Share Brokerage, China Internet, Medical Devices, National Defense, and Livestock Breeding indices.</li>
</ul>


We have already discussed our flow expectations for the mainstream indices in the CSI family such as CSI300/500, SSE50/100, and the STAR50/100 for the June 2024 index rebal event.
In this insight, we take a look at our flow expectations for the ADDs/DELs involved in the rebalance of some of the lesser known indices in the CSI family.
The indices covered in this insight are All Share Brokerage, China Internet, Medical Devices, National Defense, and Livestock Breeding indices.


CSI Esoteric Index Rebals Jun 24: All Share Brokerage, China Internet, Medical, Defense, & Livestock

<ul>
<li>The changes to the CSI All Share Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage Index were announced after market close on 31 May and will be implemented at the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guosen-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27486:1" rel="noopener">Guosen Securities (002736 CH)</a> will be added to the index while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northeast-securities-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6022:1" rel="noopener">Northeast Securities (000686 CH)</a> will be deleted from the index.</li>
<li>There is a lot of flow and impact for both stocks and the stocks could outperform/underperform their peers over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the CSI All Share Investment Banking &amp; Brokerage Index were announced after market close on 31 May and will be implemented at the close on 14 June.

Guosen Securities (002736 CH) will be added to the index while Northeast Securities (000686 CH) will be deleted from the index.
There is a lot of flow and impact for both stocks and the stocks could outperform/underperform their peers over the next couple of weeks.


CSI All Share IB & Brokerage Index Rebalance: Couple of Large Flow & Impact Names

Zhejiang Longsheng Group Co., / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 50 changes a side for the CSI 500 Index at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 December.</li>
<li>One-Way turnover at the rebalance is estimated at 12.64% leading to a one-way trade of CNY 9.3bn. The Materials, Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors are net gainers.</li>
<li>9 adds to the CSI 500 Index are deletes from the CSI 300 Index while 7 deletes from the CSI 500 Index are adds to the CSI 300 Index.</li>
</ul>


There are 50 changes a side for the CSI 500 Index at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 9 December.
One-Way turnover at the rebalance is estimated at 12.64% leading to a one-way trade of CNY 9.3bn. The Materials, Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors are net gainers.
9 adds to the CSI 500 Index are deletes from the CSI 300 Index while 7 deletes from the CSI 500 Index are adds to the CSI 300 Index.


CSI 500 Index Rebalance: 50 Changes a Side Leads to 12%+ One-Way Turnover

China

Northeast Securities Co., Ltd. provides securities brokerage, trading, underwriting, asset management, investment consulting, and other financial services.

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Northeast Securities (000686 CH)

Guotai Junan/Haitong Sec Merger: The Many Index Flows Around the Corner

Haitong Sec stops trading after 5 Feb. There will be passive flows for Guotai Junan in Feb and index inclusions in March. There will be ad hoc...

Brian Freitas

CSI 500 Index Rebalance: 50 Changes a Side Leads to 12%+ One-Way Turnover

There are 50 adds/deletes for the index in Dec. One-way turnover is 12.6% leading to a one-way trade of CNY 9bn. There are 16 overlaps between the...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CSI All Share IB & Brokerage Index Rebalance: Northeast Replaces Harbin Hatou

Northeast Securities will be added and Harbin Hatou will be deleted. Both stocks have 2.6x ADV to trade. There could be further upside till...

Brian Freitas

Guotai Junan/Haitong Sec Merger: The Many Index Flows Around the Corner

Haitong Sec stops trading after 5 Feb. There will be passive flows for Guotai Junan in Feb and index inclusions in March. There will be ad hoc...

Brian Freitas

CSI Esoteric Index Rebals Jun 24: All Share Brokerage, China Internet, Medical, Defense, & Livestock

We expect the the CSI Medical Services ADDs to outperform the Medical Services DELs over the next few days. The Inclusion/Exclusion events could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI All Share IB & Brokerage Index Rebalance: Couple of Large Flow & Impact Names

Guosen Securities will be added to the index while Northeast Securities will be deleted. There is decent flow on both stocks and 4x ADV to trade...

Brian Freitas

CSI 500 Index Rebalance: 50 Changes a Side Leads to 12%+ One-Way Turnover

There are 50 adds/deletes for the index in Dec. One-way turnover is 12.6% leading to a one-way trade of CNY 9bn. There are 16 overlaps between the...

Brian Freitas