India focused: IPO, special situations, Stylus Holdings

Himanshu Dugar

India focused: IPO, special situations

Stylus Holdings

Stylus Holdings is a buy-side equity research firm. We offer bottom-up investment ideas as well as provide on demand equity research and portfolio tracking. 
At Stylus, our focus is to identify market dislocations that can generate 20+% IRR with a reasonable margin of safety. As part of our research process, we do a deep dive into the fundamentals of the company, evaluate their competitive positioning and assess their valuation.
Our investment team is led by Himanshu Dugar. Himanshu is a Chartered Accountant and a CFA charter holder. He has 10+ years of active experience in the stock market with stints at CRISIL Research, a S&P Global copmany and Miras Investments, a single family office based in Dubai.

Equity Research Firm

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Natco specializes in complex generics with a catalogue of 30 Para IV filings (14 approved), demonstrating strong R&amp;D expertise and a track record of successful high-value launches most prominently gRevlimid.</li>
<li>Its current pipeline include potential blockbuster drugs like generic versions of Evrysdi, Ozempic/Wegovy (GLP-1), Kyprolis, and Imbruvica, which could drive future growth and offset concerns about declining Revlimid revenues post-FY26.</li>
<li>We estimate Natco (ex-Revlimid) can generate ~2,500cr in revenues with profit of 320-350cr. Its 3,500cr cash-in-hand, Para IV optionalities and NCE investments (Gene therapy) make its current valuation attractive.</li>
</ul>


Natco specializes in complex generics with a catalogue of 30 Para IV filings (14 approved), demonstrating strong R&amp;D expertise and a track record of successful high-value launches most prominently gRevlimid.
Its current pipeline include potential blockbuster drugs like generic versions of Evrysdi, Ozempic/Wegovy (GLP-1), Kyprolis, and Imbruvica, which could drive future growth and offset concerns about declining Revlimid revenues post-FY26.
We estimate Natco (ex-Revlimid) can generate ~2,500cr in revenues with profit of 320-350cr. Its 3,500cr cash-in-hand, Para IV optionalities and NCE investments (Gene therapy) make its current valuation attractive.


Natco Pharma (NTCPH IN): Getting Ready for the Next Moonshot

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eli-lilly-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19419:1" rel="noopener">Eli Lilly &amp; Co (LLY US)</a> has recently announced positive topline Phase 3 results for orforglipron, the GLP 1 RA drug candidate they licensed from Chugai Pharma in 2018.</li>
<li>At the top dose, patients lost 7.3 kg of the 90.2 kg they weighed at the start of the trial, bettering Ozempic’s trial results.</li>
<li>Once approved and commercialized, orforglipron should provide a long-term revenue visibility for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chugai-pharmaceutical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4489:1" rel="noopener">Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP)</a> through milestone and royalty receipts from Lilly.</li>
</ul>



Eli Lilly &amp; Co (LLY US) has recently announced positive topline Phase 3 results for orforglipron, the GLP 1 RA drug candidate they licensed from Chugai Pharma in 2018.
At the top dose, patients lost 7.3 kg of the 90.2 kg they weighed at the start of the trial, bettering Ozempic’s trial results.
Once approved and commercialized, orforglipron should provide a long-term revenue visibility for Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP) through milestone and royalty receipts from Lilly.


Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP): Positive Phase 3 Results Of Orforglipron Augurs Well

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> has announced 2024 result, with total revenue increasing a whopping 52% YoY to RMB9,422M and net loss narrowing 91% YoY to RMB933M.</li>
<li>On adjusted basis, the company reported maiden net profit of RMB332M compared with loss of RMB515M in 2023. Innovent is expected to become profitable on reported basis this year.</li>
<li>Innovent aims to achieve RMB 20B product revenue in 2027, implying a CAGR of 34% and advance five pipeline assets to the global/multi-regional Phase 3 clinical trial stage by 2030. </li>
</ul>



Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) has announced 2024 result, with total revenue increasing a whopping 52% YoY to RMB9,422M and net loss narrowing 91% YoY to RMB933M.
On adjusted basis, the company reported maiden net profit of RMB332M compared with loss of RMB515M in 2023. Innovent is expected to become profitable on reported basis this year.
Innovent aims to achieve RMB 20B product revenue in 2027, implying a CAGR of 34% and advance five pipeline assets to the global/multi-regional Phase 3 clinical trial stage by 2030. 


Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK): 2024 Product Sales Jump 44% and Loss Narrows; Momentum to Continue

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sam-chun-dang-pharm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3912:1" rel="noopener">Sam Chun Dang Pharm (000250 KS)</a> has commenced bioequivalence study of oral semaglutide. Difference in technology should allow the drug to enter the market as early as 2026.</li>
<li>Last December, the company has partnered with Fresenius Kabi for the global commercialization of its Eylea biosimilar in the U.S. and several countries in Latin America.</li>
<li>Sam Chun Dang Pharma shares rallied 113% since its early December lows. With continued progress of high-value generics, we remain upbeat on the name.</li>
</ul>



Sam Chun Dang Pharm (000250 KS) has commenced bioequivalence study of oral semaglutide. Difference in technology should allow the drug to enter the market as early as 2026.
Last December, the company has partnered with Fresenius Kabi for the global commercialization of its Eylea biosimilar in the U.S. and several countries in Latin America.
Sam Chun Dang Pharma shares rallied 113% since its early December lows. With continued progress of high-value generics, we remain upbeat on the name.


Sam Chun Dang Pharm (000250 KS): Oral Semaglutide Trial Begins; Global Expansion of Eylea Biosimilar

US IPOs and Secondary Offerings, IPO Boutique

IPO Boutique

US IPOs and Secondary Offerings

For more than 20 years, we have been providing research, analysis, commentary and ratings on US Equity Capital Markets to institutional investors (US IPOs and Secondary Offerings). Our vast network of contacts across the Equity Capital Markets and attention-to-detail sets us apart from our competitors.

Since 2012, we have achieved a successful hit rating on 89% of Buy-rated IPOs. The collective “Buy” ratings averaged a first trade of 16.3% above issue.Our Neutral Rated Deals averaged just 2% above the issue price at first trade.

Our written research includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

In addition, we provide a high-touch premium desk access which includes analyst access, as well as real time insights on US IPOs as well as secondary offerings.

IPOs and Secondary Offerings

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Biotechnology company developing next-generation injectable and oral nutrient stimulated hormone, or NuSH, analog peptides to treat obesity, overweight and related conditions filed for Q1 IPO</li>
<li>Preliminary Phase 2 results in January suggested a durable pharmacodynamic, or PD, effect consistent with the observed half-life.</li>
<li>ARCH Ventures along with Fidelity are among the existing shareholders as this company enters begins its road to be a publicly traded company</li>
</ul>


Biotechnology company developing next-generation injectable and oral nutrient stimulated hormone, or NuSH, analog peptides to treat obesity, overweight and related conditions filed for Q1 IPO
Preliminary Phase 2 results in January suggested a durable pharmacodynamic, or PD, effect consistent with the observed half-life.
ARCH Ventures along with Fidelity are among the existing shareholders as this company enters begins its road to be a publicly traded company


Metsera, Inc. (MTSR): Peeking at the Prospectus for the Next Obesity and Metabolic Diseases Biotech

Denmark

Novo Nordisk A/S develops, produces, and markets pharmaceutical products. The Company focuses on diabetes care and offers insulin delivery systems and other diabetes products. Novo Nordisk also works in areas such as haemostatis management, growth disorders, and hormone replacement therapy. The Company offers educational and training materials. Novo Nordisk markets worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Novo Nordisk (NOVOB DC)

Natco Pharma (NTCPH IN): Getting Ready for the Next Moonshot

Natco excels in complex generics, with a strong R&D track record and potential blockbuster drugs in its pipeline, positioning it for future growth...

Himanshu Dugar

Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP): Positive Phase 3 Results Of Orforglipron Augurs Well

Eli Lilly announces positive Phase 3 results for orforglipron, a GLP-1 drug candidate licensed from Chugai, showing promising weight loss results...

Tina Banerjee

Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK): 2024 Product Sales Jump 44% and Loss Narrows; Momentum to Continue

Innovent Biologics reports impressive 2024 results with revenue up 52% and net loss narrowing by 91%. The company has set an ambitious growth...

Tina Banerjee

Sam Chun Dang Pharm (000250 KS): Oral Semaglutide Trial Begins; Global Expansion of Eylea Biosimilar

SCD Pharma commenced bioequivalence study of oral semaglutide. Difference in technology should avoid patent dispute. The company has got...

Tina Banerjee

Metsera, Inc. (MTSR): Peeking at the Prospectus for the Next Obesity and Metabolic Diseases Biotech

Biotech company developing NuSH peptides for obesity files for Q1 IPO with promising Phase 2 results and support from ARCH Ventures and Fidelity.

IPO Boutique

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Natco Pharma (NTCPH IN): Getting Ready for the Next Moonshot

​Natco excels in complex generics, with a strong R&D track record and potential blockbuster drugs in its pipeline, positioning it for future growth...

Himanshu Dugar

Chugai Pharmaceutical (4519 JP): Positive Phase 3 Results Of Orforglipron Augurs Well

​Eli Lilly announces positive Phase 3 results for orforglipron, a GLP-1 drug candidate licensed from Chugai, showing promising weight loss results...

Tina Banerjee

Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK): 2024 Product Sales Jump 44% and Loss Narrows; Momentum to Continue

​Innovent Biologics reports impressive 2024 results with revenue up 52% and net loss narrowing by 91%. The company has set an ambitious growth...

Tina Banerjee

Sam Chun Dang Pharm (000250 KS): Oral Semaglutide Trial Begins; Global Expansion of Eylea Biosimilar

SCD Pharma commenced bioequivalence study of oral semaglutide. Difference in technology should avoid patent dispute. The company has got...

Tina Banerjee

Metsera, Inc. (MTSR): Peeking at the Prospectus for the Next Obesity and Metabolic Diseases Biotech

​Biotech company developing NuSH peptides for obesity files for Q1 IPO with promising Phase 2 results and support from ARCH Ventures and Fidelity.

IPO Boutique

Natco excels in complex generics, with a strong R&D track record and potential blockbuster drugs in its pipeline, positioning it for future growth...

Eli Lilly announces positive Phase 3 results for orforglipron, a GLP-1 drug candidate licensed from Chugai, showing promising weight loss results...

Innovent Biologics reports impressive 2024 results with revenue up 52% and net loss narrowing by 91%. The company has set an ambitious growth...

Biotech company developing NuSH peptides for obesity files for Q1 IPO with promising Phase 2 results and support from ARCH Ventures and Fidelity.