IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (3931 HK)</a>'s weak debut. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/betagro-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36222:1" rel="noopener">Betagro (BTG TB)</a> will open its books for its THB17.4 billion (US$462 million) from 10 to 25 October.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maca-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11390:1" rel="noopener">MACA Ltd (MLD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tyro-payments-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28393:1" rel="noopener">Tyro Payments (TYR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eagle-cement-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31217:1" rel="noopener">Eagle Cement Corp (EAGLE PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/o2micro-international-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36418:1" rel="noopener">O2Micro International (OIIM US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/singapore-medical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7441:1" rel="noopener">Singapore Medical (SMG SP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - CALB (3931 HK)'s weak debut. Betagro (BTG TB) will open its books for its THB17.4 billion (US$462 million) from 10 to 25 October.
Event-Driven developments - Link Administration (LNK AU), MACA Ltd (MLD AU), Tyro Payments (TYR AU), Eagle Cement Corp (EAGLE PM), O2Micro International (OIIM US), Singapore Medical (SMG SP). 


Weekly Deals Digest (09 Oct) - Betagro, Link Admin, Tyro, MACA, Eagle Cement, O2Micro, SMG

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onewo-space-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36204:1" rel="noopener">Onetwo (2602 HK)</a> poor debuts. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/calb-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35985:1" rel="noopener">CALB (3931 HK)</a> prices at the low-end.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sats-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19962:1" rel="noopener">SATS (SATS SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evoc-intelligent-technology-company-limited-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2015:1" rel="noopener">EVOC Intelligent Technology Company Limited H (2308 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tassal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16234:1" rel="noopener">Tassal (TGR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maca-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11390:1" rel="noopener">MACA Ltd (MLD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nearmap-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5142:1" rel="noopener">Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Leapmotor (9863 HK) and Onetwo (2602 HK) poor debuts. CALB (3931 HK) prices at the low-end.
Event-Driven developments - SATS (SATS SP), Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK), EVOC Intelligent Technology Company Limited H (2308 HK), Tassal (TGR AU), MACA Ltd (MLD AU), Nearmap Ltd (NEA AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (02 Oct) - SATS, Jinke Smart, EVOC, Fengxiang, Tassal, MACA, Growatt, CALB

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Diversified contractor <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maca-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11390:1" rel="noopener">MACA Ltd (MLD AU)</a> announced a friendly off-market cash offer from fellow contractor Thiess on the 26 July, at A$1.025/share, a 28.1% premium to the undisturbed price.  </li>
<li>After MACA rejected <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nrw-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9271:1" rel="noopener">NRW Holdings (NWH AU)</a>'s non-binding proposal (with an implied consideration of $1.085/share), Thiess lifted its all-cash Offer to A$1.075/share. NRW subsequently <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02561122-6A1106889?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">walked</a>.</li>
<li>The Offer was conditional on Thiess having a relevant interest in more than 90% of MACA. That condition has been waived and the Offer is now Unconditional.</li>
</ul>


Diversified contractor MACA Ltd (MLD AU) announced a friendly off-market cash offer from fellow contractor Thiess on the 26 July, at A$1.025/share, a 28.1% premium to the undisturbed price.  
After MACA rejected NRW Holdings (NWH AU)'s non-binding proposal (with an implied consideration of $1.085/share), Thiess lifted its all-cash Offer to A$1.075/share. NRW subsequently walked.
The Offer was conditional on Thiess having a relevant interest in more than 90% of MACA. That condition has been waived and the Offer is now Unconditional.


MACA: Thiess Declares Offer Unconditional

<ul>
<li>Theiss’ offer of A$1.075 per share for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maca-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11390:1" rel="noopener">MACA Ltd (MLD AU)</a> has been declared unconditional despite acquiring 44.30% of outstanding shares, below the 50% threshold.</li>
<li>The offer has met with resistance from retail shareholders as it remains below NRW’s rejected offer, and there is a lack of clarity on franking credits. </li>
<li>Thiess can restart on-market purchases from 27 September. The offer closes on 7 October. The shares are trading in line with the offer.</li>
</ul>


Theiss’ offer of A$1.075 per share for MACA Ltd (MLD AU) has been declared unconditional despite acquiring 44.30% of outstanding shares, below the 50% threshold.
The offer has met with resistance from retail shareholders as it remains below NRW’s rejected offer, and there is a lack of clarity on franking credits. 
Thiess can restart on-market purchases from 27 September. The offer closes on 7 October. The shares are trading in line with the offer.


MACA’s A$1.075 Offer from Theiss Declared Unconditional

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>At the December rebalance, we expect changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>. Announcement is on 2 December with implementation on 16 December.</li>
<li>If added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a>, passive trackers will need to buy over 9 days of ADV on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/monadelphous-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:553:1" rel="noopener">Monadelphous (MND AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ioneer-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10264:1" rel="noopener">ioneer Ltd (INR AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Shorts have dropped on nearly all potential adds and deletes over the last couple of months. With shorts at low levels, short covering will have limited impact at the rebalance.</li>
</ul>


At the December rebalance, we expect changes to the S&amp;P/ASX 50 Index and S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX). Announcement is on 2 December with implementation on 16 December.
If added to the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX), passive trackers will need to buy over 9 days of ADV on Monadelphous (MND AU) and ioneer Ltd (INR AU).
Shorts have dropped on nearly all potential adds and deletes over the last couple of months. With shorts at low levels, short covering will have limited impact at the rebalance.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Few High Impact Adds

Australia

NRW Holdings Limited provides mining and civil construction services. The Company offers rail formation, bulk earthworks, mine development, road and tunnel construction, topsoil removal, and a range of contract mining services. NRW Holdings serves customers in Australia.

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NRW Holdings (NWH AU)

Weekly Deals Digest (09 Oct) - Betagro, Link Admin, Tyro, MACA, Eagle Cement, O2Micro, SMG

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Link Admin, Tyro, MACA, Eagle Cement, O2Micro, Singapore Medical) and ECM (Betagro, CALB).

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (02 Oct) - SATS, Jinke Smart, EVOC, Fengxiang, Tassal, MACA, Growatt, CALB

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (SATS, Jinke Smart, EVOC, Fengxiang, Tassal, MACA, Nearmap, Ramsay, Infomedia) and ECM...

Arun George

MACA: Thiess Declares Offer Unconditional

Trading at terms. This is unlikely to change. Unless you can take advantage of any franking credits - assuming such a dividend actually takes place...

David Blennerhassett

MACA’s A$1.075 Offer from Theiss Declared Unconditional

The offer declared unconditional is an inducement to get shareholders to accept. The offer closes on 7 October. The shares are trading in line with...

Arun George

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Few High Impact Adds

There could be two changes each for the ASX50 and ASX200 indices in December. There is a large impact expected on a couple of the adds while short...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Weekly Deals Digest (09 Oct) - Betagro, Link Admin, Tyro, MACA, Eagle Cement, O2Micro, SMG

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Link Admin, Tyro, MACA, Eagle Cement, O2Micro, Singapore Medical) and ECM (Betagro, CALB).

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (02 Oct) - SATS, Jinke Smart, EVOC, Fengxiang, Tassal, MACA, Growatt, CALB

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (SATS, Jinke Smart, EVOC, Fengxiang, Tassal, MACA, Nearmap, Ramsay, Infomedia) and ECM...

Arun George

MACA: Thiess Declares Offer Unconditional

Trading at terms. This is unlikely to change. Unless you can take advantage of any franking credits - assuming such a dividend actually takes place...

David Blennerhassett

MACA’s A$1.075 Offer from Theiss Declared Unconditional

The offer declared unconditional is an inducement to get shareholders to accept. The offer closes on 7 October. The shares are trading in line with...

Arun George

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Few High Impact Adds

There could be two changes each for the ASX50 and ASX200 indices in December. There is a large impact expected on a couple of the adds while short...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: A Few High Impact Adds