Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-financial-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40042:1" rel="noopener">Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN)</a> should replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-petroleum-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10222:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/britannia-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16495:1" rel="noopener">Britannia Industries (BRIT IN)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> in March.</li>
<li>Passive <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> trackers will need to trade at least 4.5x ADV and 8.8x delivery volume on the stocks. There is some opposite flow from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index </a>trackers.</li>
<li>There does not appear to be a lot of positioning in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-financial-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40042:1" rel="noopener">Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN)</a> and the stock could outperform its peers over the next few months.</li>
</ul>



Zomato (ZOMATO IN) and Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN) should replace Bharat Petroleum Corp (BPCL IN) and Britannia Industries (BRIT IN) in the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) in March.
Passive NIFTY Index trackers will need to trade at least 4.5x ADV and 8.8x delivery volume on the stocks. There is some opposite flow from Nifty Next 50 Index trackers.
There does not appear to be a lot of positioning in Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN) and the stock could outperform its peers over the next few months.


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Yuuge Flow & Impact; Positioning Mixed

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44148:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics India (123D IN)</a> is looking to list on the exchanges by selling 101.8m shares at a valuation of around US$12-13bn and raising around US$1.8bn in its IPO.</li>
<li>The draft RHP was filed on 6 December, so the IPO could complete in the first quarter of 2025.</li>
<li>The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances could commence in June/September next year depending on when the stock lists.</li>
</ul>



LG Electronics India (123D IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling 101.8m shares at a valuation of around US$12-13bn and raising around US$1.8bn in its IPO.
The draft RHP was filed on 6 December, so the IPO could complete in the first quarter of 2025.
The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances could commence in June/September next year depending on when the stock lists.


LG Electronics India: IPO Details & Index Entry Timing

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vishal-mega-mart" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44041:1" rel="noopener">Vishal Mega Mart (1620871D IN)</a> is looking to list on the exchanges by selling INR 80bn (US$943m) of stock at a valuation of INR 352bn (US$4.15bn).</li>
<li>Anchor allocations were completed on 10 December, the IPO opens today, and the stock is expected to start trading on 18 December. Grey market premium is around 25%.</li>
<li>The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances should take place in May and June 2025.</li>
</ul>



Vishal Mega Mart (1620871D IN) is looking to list on the exchanges by selling INR 80bn (US$943m) of stock at a valuation of INR 352bn (US$4.15bn).
Anchor allocations were completed on 10 December, the IPO opens today, and the stock is expected to start trading on 18 December. Grey market premium is around 25%.
The stock will not get Fast Entry to global indices. Inclusion at regular rebalances should take place in May and June 2025.


Vishal Mega Mart IPO: IPO Details & Index Entry Timing

CG Power and Industrial Solutions / Event-Driven

CG Power and Industrial Solutions (CGPOWER IN)

<ul>
<li>We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 4 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 11 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>From the new listings, 4 stocks are expected to be added to Large Cap, 3 stocks to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in March.</li>
</ul>


We see 7 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 4 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 11 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
From the new listings, 4 stocks are expected to be added to Large Cap, 3 stocks to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.
There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in March.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2024): Recent Large IPOs Lead to Big Downward Shift

<ul>
<li>Following the introduction of 45 stocks in the F&amp;O segment from 29 November, there will be big capping changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> in December.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 21.9% leading to a one-way trade of INR 75bn (US$881m). There are 25 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>There could be changes to the index methodology announced in the next few months and that could result in the deletion of a couple of constituents in March.</li>
</ul>


Following the introduction of 45 stocks in the F&amp;O segment from 29 November, there will be big capping changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) in December.
We estimate one-way turnover of 21.9% leading to a one-way trade of INR 75bn (US$881m). There are 25 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
There could be changes to the index methodology announced in the next few months and that could result in the deletion of a couple of constituents in March.


Nifty Next50 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Capping Flows in December; Methodology Change Coming?

India

The Nifty Junior Index is a free-float capitalization weighted index of the most liquid stocks excluded from the Nifty Index.

NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX EQUITY)

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NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX EQUITY)

NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Yuuge Flow & Impact; Positioning Mixed

There are 2 high probability changes for the NIFTY50 in March. Watch out for a change in the potential deletions. Impact is high at a minimum of...

Brian Freitas

LG Electronics India: IPO Details & Index Entry Timing

LG Electronics is looking to raise US$1.8bn via an OFS of 101.8m shs of LG Elec India, valuing the co at US$12bn. No Fast Entry in global indices;...

Brian Freitas

Vishal Mega Mart IPO: IPO Details & Index Entry Timing

Vishal Mega Mart is looking to list by selling INR 80bn of stock at a valuation of INR 352bn. No Fast Entry. Global index inclusion will take place...

Brian Freitas

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2024): Recent Large IPOs Lead to Big Downward Shift

There could be 33 migrations in January, 4 new listings in LargeCap, 3 in MidCap and multiple in SmallCap. Some of the AMFI changes will have...

Brian Freitas

Nifty Next50 Index Rebalance Preview: Big Capping Flows in December; Methodology Change Coming?

The introduction of new F&O contracts will result in an estimated 21.9% turnover and a one-way trade of INR 75bn (US$881m) for the Nifty Next50...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)