IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gcash" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40108:1" rel="noopener">GCash (Mynt) (GCASH PM)</a> is the No.1 finance super app in the Philippines. It is seeking to raise US$1.3 billion at PHP10.00 per share. Pricing is on 1 October.</li>
<li>I discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mynt-gcash-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:249615" rel="noopener">Mynt (GCash) IPO: The Investment Case</a>. I have updated my view and forecasts for the 2Q results.</li>
<li>My view is incrementally bearish due to escalating regulatory risk, declining sequential quarterly growth/margin, ongoing pressure in payment solutions, and stretched valuation. </li>
</ul>



GCash (Mynt) (GCASH PM) is the No.1 finance super app in the Philippines. It is seeking to raise US$1.3 billion at PHP10.00 per share. Pricing is on 1 October.
I discussed the IPO in Mynt (GCash) IPO: The Investment Case. I have updated my view and forecasts for the 2Q results.
My view is incrementally bearish due to escalating regulatory risk, declining sequential quarterly growth/margin, ongoing pressure in payment solutions, and stretched valuation. 


Mynt (GCash) IPO: 2Q and Valuation Update

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Inter, our “pain trade” in 2Q 2026, remains our sole buy in EM neobanks; Inter offers a balanced business model, with improving execution and controlled credit delinquency, alongside attractive valuations</li>
<li>Nubank delivers strong operational returns along with its high activity rate, yet we stay neutral due to challenging credit quality trends and valuations; we view PicPay and Agibank with caution</li>
<li>We include K Bank of South Korea and Superbank of Indonesia in our EM neobanks coverage; K Bank looks attractively valued, but we believe the business model is high risk</li>
</ul>


Inter, our “pain trade” in 2Q 2026, remains our sole buy in EM neobanks; Inter offers a balanced business model, with improving execution and controlled credit delinquency, alongside attractive valuations
Nubank delivers strong operational returns along with its high activity rate, yet we stay neutral due to challenging credit quality trends and valuations; we view PicPay and Agibank with caution
We include K Bank of South Korea and Superbank of Indonesia in our EM neobanks coverage; K Bank looks attractively valued, but we believe the business model is high risk


EM Neobanks – Stick with Inter (INTR US) As Our Sole Buy Rating

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>This report identifies stocks at the extremes of their positioning or momentum ranges within our active Global EM fund universe.</li>
<li>We have pinpointed eight stocks either at their historical positioning extremes or undergoing significant changes in fund ownership, providing detailed ownership profiles for each.</li>
<li>HDFC Bank loses steam after merger, Nu Holdings surges to new highs, POSCO plunges to new fund ownership lows.</li>
</ul>


This report identifies stocks at the extremes of their positioning or momentum ranges within our active Global EM fund universe.
We have pinpointed eight stocks either at their historical positioning extremes or undergoing significant changes in fund ownership, providing detailed ownership profiles for each.
HDFC Bank loses steam after merger, Nu Holdings surges to new highs, POSCO plunges to new fund ownership lows.


Active GEM Funds:  Extremes in Positioning & Momentum

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>Mynt, the digital payments and consumer finance platform behind GCash, has filed a registration statement for a PSE Main Board listing. MS, JPM, and UBS are the joint global coordinators.</li>
<li>We look at the company's core segments: Payment Solutions and Digital Financial Services, led by CreditTech.</li>
<li>We think the deal is worth following as it has profitability with scale and market dominance.</li>
</ul>


Mynt, the digital payments and consumer finance platform behind GCash, has filed a registration statement for a PSE Main Board listing. MS, JPM, and UBS are the joint global coordinators.
We look at the company's core segments: Payment Solutions and Digital Financial Services, led by CreditTech.
We think the deal is worth following as it has profitability with scale and market dominance.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gcash" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40108:1" rel="noopener">GCash (Mynt) (GCASH PM)</a> is the No.1 finance super app in the Philippines. It is seeking to raise US$1.3 billion.</li>
<li>I previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mynt-gcash-ipo-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:249615" rel="noopener">Mynt (GCash) IPO: The Investment Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is unattractive. The pricing date is 28 September.</li>
</ul>



GCash (Mynt) (GCASH PM) is the No.1 finance super app in the Philippines. It is seeking to raise US$1.3 billion.
I previously discussed the IPO in Mynt (GCash) IPO: The Investment Case. 
In this note, I present my forecasts and valuation. My analysis suggests that the IPO price is unattractive. The pricing date is 28 September.


Brazil

Nu Holdings Ltd. is a Brazilian financial technology firm that offers digital banking services, including credit and debit cards, mobile payment solutions, and investment platforms. The company provides spending, transactional, savings, investing, borrowing, and protection solutions for individuals and businesses across Brazil, Mexico, and Colombia. Nu Holdings Ltd. was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

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Nu Holdings (NU US)

Mynt (GCash) IPO: 2Q and Valuation Update

GCash (Mynt) is the No.1 finance super app in the Philippines. It is seeking to raise US$1.3 billion at PHP10.00 per share. In this note, I update...

Arun George

EM Neobanks – Stick with Inter (INTR US) As Our Sole Buy Rating

Inter is our buy in EM neobank, offering a balanced business model, with improving execution, controlled NPLs and attractive valuations; Nubank is...

Victor Galliano

Active GEM Funds: Extremes in Positioning & Momentum

GEM Extreme Stocks. HDFC Bank loses steam after merger, Nu Holdings surges to new highs, POSCO plunges to new fund ownership lows.

Steven Holden

Mynt (GCash) Pre-IPO: Early Thoughts

Mynt has filed for a PSE Main Board listing. We look at its business, industry, financials, peer valuation and shareholders, and whether the deal...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mynt (GCash) IPO: Valuation Insights

GCash (Mynt) is the No.1 finance super app in the Philippines. It is seeking to raise US$1.3 billion. In this note, I present my forecasts and...

Arun George

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