Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nufarm-ltd-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1128:1" rel="noopener">Nufarm (NUF AU)</a>, an agricultural chemical company , is down ~40% since it announced a 39.5% decline in 1H25 profit. The share price is at the lowest level since Covid. </li>
<li>Concurrent with this results, Nufarm announced a review of its seed technology ops. Reportedly Advanta, BP - amongst others- are vying for the est. A$900mn business.   </li>
<li>Elsewhere, it is being reported that key shareholders recommend the Nufarm board explore a full takeover. </li>
</ul>



Nufarm (NUF AU), an agricultural chemical company , is down ~40% since it announced a 39.5% decline in 1H25 profit. The share price is at the lowest level since Covid. 
Concurrent with this results, Nufarm announced a review of its seed technology ops. Reportedly Advanta, BP - amongst others- are vying for the est. A$900mn business.   
Elsewhere, it is being reported that key shareholders recommend the Nufarm board explore a full takeover. 


Nufarm (NUF AU): Seed Sale Or Full Takeover - Something May Have To Give

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There is 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX50 Index, 3 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 9 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and 17 adds/ 12 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.</li>
<li>Some of the index changes will also have same way flows from trackers of other global and sector indices on the same day.</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes across all indices and performance has been especially strong for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index and S&amp;P/ASX300 Index changes.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 change for the S&amp;P/ASX50 Index, 3 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index, 9 changes for the S&amp;P/ASX200 (AS51 INDEX) and 17 adds/ 12 deletes for the S&amp;P/ASX300 Index.
Some of the index changes will also have same way flows from trackers of other global and sector indices on the same day.
The adds have outperformed the deletes across all indices and performance has been especially strong for the S&amp;P/ASX100 Index and S&amp;P/ASX300 Index changes.


S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2025): New Methodology & The Many Changes

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>September brings heavy index rebalancing activity. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pop-mart-international-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29016:1" rel="noopener">Pop Mart (9992 HK)</a> will join both the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX)</a>.</li>
<li>
The Fed is widely expected to cut rates and Asia-Pac peers (BoJ, RBA, RBI) are also meeting.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.</li>
</ul>


September brings heavy index rebalancing activity. Pop Mart (9992 HK) will join both the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX).

The Fed is widely expected to cut rates and Asia-Pac peers (BoJ, RBA, RBI) are also meeting.

Why Read: Plan ahead and take into account known market events when making investment and trading decision.


Index Changes and Rate Cuts: Key Events in September 2025

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

<ul>
<li>A new selection methodology will be used for the ASX index family starting from the September 2025 index review. We first wrote about this a couple of months ago (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-asx-sep25-update-with-new-important-market-consultation-implications" target="_blank" rel="noopener">link</a>).</li>
<li>In this insight, we present our final expectations for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 for the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one change for ASX 50, three changes for ASX 100, and six changes for ASX 200. Separately, we see 14 ADDs and 11 DELs for ASX 300.</li>
</ul>


A new selection methodology will be used for the ASX index family starting from the September 2025 index review. We first wrote about this a couple of months ago (link).
In this insight, we present our final expectations for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 for the September 2025 index rebal event.
We expect one change for ASX 50, three changes for ASX 100, and six changes for ASX 200. Separately, we see 14 ADDs and 11 DELs for ASX 300.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep25: Methodology Change Confirmed; Good Performance; Final Expectations

<ul>
<li>S&amp;P DJI have proposed methodology changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to enhance representativeness and more quickly reflect changing market conditions. The consultation conclusions could be announced next week.</li>
<li>The updated methodology could lead to 51 changes across the family of indices with implementation on 19 September. There will be a large impact on a number of stocks.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last several months and near-term performance has been spectacular for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index changes.</li>
</ul>


S&amp;P DJI have proposed methodology changes to the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices to enhance representativeness and more quickly reflect changing market conditions. The consultation conclusions could be announced next week.
The updated methodology could lead to 51 changes across the family of indices with implementation on 19 September. There will be a large impact on a number of stocks.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last several months and near-term performance has been spectacular for the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index changes.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 25): Potential Changes if Methodology Is Updated

Australia

Nufarm Limited manufactures and supplies a range of agricultural chemicals used by farmers to protect crops from damage caused by weeds, pests and disease. The Company has worldwide operations.

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Nufarm Ltd (NUF AU)

Nufarm (NUF AU): Seed Sale Or Full Takeover - Something May Have To Give

Nufarm is not without issue. However on balance, the recent selldown has overshot to the downside. I'd be dipping my toe in around here.

David Blennerhassett

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2025): New Methodology & The Many Changes

There are 53 stocks that are adds/deletes across the ASX family of indices. There are some surprises and big flow/impact across the changes. Adds...

Brian Freitas

Index Changes and Rate Cuts: Key Events in September 2025

September packs in index rebalances, quarterly expiries, central bank calls, and Fed drama—keeping markets busy amid a light holiday calendar.

Gaudenz Schneider

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep25: Methodology Change Confirmed; Good Performance; Final Expectations

We have revised our final expectations for the September 2025 index review due to the deletion of Adriatic Metals which was one of our expected...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 25): Potential Changes if Methodology Is Updated

The review period for the September rebalance is done and the proposals in the market consultation will be implemented. That means a lot of change...

Brian Freitas

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Nufarm (NUF AU): Seed Sale Or Full Takeover - Something May Have To Give

Nufarm is not without issue. However on balance, the recent selldown has overshot to the downside. I'd be dipping my toe in around here.

David Blennerhassett

S&P/​​​​ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2025): New Methodology & The Many Changes

There are 53 stocks that are adds/deletes across the ASX family of indices. There are some surprises and big flow/impact across the changes. Adds...

Brian Freitas

Index Changes and Rate Cuts: Key Events in September 2025

September packs in index rebalances, quarterly expiries, central bank calls, and Fed drama—keeping markets busy amid a light holiday calendar.

Gaudenz Schneider

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep25: Methodology Change Confirmed; Good Performance; Final Expectations

We have revised our final expectations for the September 2025 index review due to the deletion of Adriatic Metals which was one of our expected...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 25): Potential Changes if Methodology Is Updated

The review period for the September rebalance is done and the proposals in the market consultation will be implemented. That means a lot of change...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance (Sep 2025): New Methodology & The Many Changes

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview (Sep 25): Potential Changes if Methodology Is Updated