HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

GigaDevice Semiconductor  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gigadevice-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46238:1" rel="noopener">GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)</a>'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. </li>
<li>The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/microchip-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8788:1" rel="noopener">Microchip Technology (MCHP US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texas-instruments-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18804:1" rel="noopener">Texas Instruments (TXN US)</a>. </li>
<li>Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.</li>
</ul>



GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)'s grey market price of HK$224.8 is 38.8% higher than the IPO price. This means a PER of 53.5x for FY26, simply too stretched for us. 
The grey market price represents a 68-77% FY26 PER premium to the most-expensive peers, namely Microchip Technology (MCHP US) and Texas Instruments (TXN US). 
Our fair value range is HK$204-238, based on the HA discount for 2025 IPOs and the current overall HA discount, implying limited upside potential.


GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>Today is the base date for the final ranks and we see four ADDs and four DELs for the December 2025 rebal.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way flow to be around US$2.2bn with many flow names having multiple days of volume to trade.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
Today is the base date for the final ranks and we see four ADDs and four DELs for the December 2025 rebal.
We estimate one-way flow to be around US$2.2bn with many flow names having multiple days of volume to trade.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: Final Expectations: Many Changes to Rankings; Final Expectations

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect at least six index changes for the TDIV index. On top of that, there will be capping flows too.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2025 index rebal event.
We expect at least six index changes for the TDIV index. On top of that, there will be capping flows too.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: ~US$3bn One-Way; Some Changes to Expectations; New Ideas

Tung Ho Steel Enterprise / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.</li>
<li>There were some key methodology changes announced for this index yesterday.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2025 index rebal event.</li>
</ul>


The TDIV index tracks the top 50 names in the Taiwan Stock Exchange with the highest dividend yields. It is a yield-weighted index with unique capping rules.
There were some key methodology changes announced for this index yesterday.
In this insight, we take look at Quiddity's expectations for index changes and capping flows for the TDIV Index for the December 2025 index rebal event.


Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: Key Methodology Changes; High-Impact Flows; US$3.6bn One-Way

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 12th. The aggregated short interest was USD26.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Lite-On Technology, MiTAC, Accton Technology, Elite Material, Wiwynn, Lite-On Technology, MiTAC, Accton Technology, Elite Material, Wiwynn.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Sep 12th. The aggregated short interest was USD26.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Lite-On Technology, MiTAC, Accton Technology, Elite Material, Wiwynn, Lite-On Technology, MiTAC, Accton Technology, Elite Material, Wiwynn.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 12th): Lite-On Technology, MiTAC, Accton Technology, Elite Material

Taiwan

Nuvoton Technology Corp. manudfactures a wide range of semiconductor products. The Company's products lines are Consumer Electronics integrated Circuits (IC) and Computer IC.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Nuvoton Technology (4919 TT)

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: Final Expectations: Many Changes to Rankings; Final Expectations

The top 5 inflow names have more than 9x ADV to trade and top 5 outflow names have more the 2x ADV to trade. The official index changes will be...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: ~US$3bn One-Way; Some Changes to Expectations; New Ideas

Based on our latest estimates, many names have very high-impact flow expectations. There have been some changes to our expected ADDs/DELs list...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: Key Methodology Changes; High-Impact Flows; US$3.6bn One-Way

We expect 6 ADDs and 6 DELs based on the latest index methodology. We expect US$3.6bn in one-way flows in December 2025 which is around 21%...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 12th): Lite-On Technology, MiTAC, Accton Technology, Elite Material

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Lite-On Technology (2301 TT), MiTAC (3706 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

GigaDevice (3986 HK): Its Just Too Demanding

​GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: Final Expectations: Many Changes to Rankings; Final Expectations

The top 5 inflow names have more than 9x ADV to trade and top 5 outflow names have more the 2x ADV to trade. The official index changes will be...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: ~US$3bn One-Way; Some Changes to Expectations; New Ideas

Based on our latest estimates, many names have very high-impact flow expectations. There have been some changes to our expected ADDs/DELs list...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard TDIV Dec25: Key Methodology Changes; High-Impact Flows; US$3.6bn One-Way

We expect 6 ADDs and 6 DELs based on the latest index methodology. We expect US$3.6bn in one-way flows in December 2025 which is around 21%...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Sep 12th): Lite-On Technology, MiTAC, Accton Technology, Elite Material

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Lite-On Technology (2301 TT), MiTAC (3706 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

GigaDevice's grey market price is 38.8% higher than IPO, leading to a FY26 PER of 53.5x, with limited upside potential compared to peers, even...