Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish following the S&amp;P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670, alongside healthy market dynamics which have continued to improve.</li>
<li>Two weeks ago, our election day report (11/5/24) was titled "Buy the Pullback," and with the SPX/QQQ/IWM pulling back to their 20-day MAs, it's time to buy the pullback <em>again</em>.</li>
<li>We continue to expect significant upside into year-end and early 2025, and we expect support at the 20-day MAs on the aforementioned indexes (though support at 50-day MAs is possible).</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish following the S&amp;P 500's multi-month base breakout above 5670, alongside healthy market dynamics which have continued to improve.
Two weeks ago, our election day report (11/5/24) was titled "Buy the Pullback," and with the SPX/QQQ/IWM pulling back to their 20-day MAs, it's time to buy the pullback again.
We continue to expect significant upside into year-end and early 2025, and we expect support at the 20-day MAs on the aforementioned indexes (though support at 50-day MAs is possible).


Buy the Pullback Again; S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 Testing Confluence of Support

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>NVIDIA, the undisputed leader in AI-driven GPUs, is currently navigating turbulent waters with its latest Blackwell architecture chips.</li><li>While the company has been riding high on record-breaking revenues and a surging demand for AI compute power, reports of overheating issues in Blackwell chips have cast a shadow over its otherwise stellar growth trajectory.</li><li>According to recent disclosures, these state-of-the-art GPUs face severe thermal management challenges when configured in server racks holding up to 72 units.</li></ul>

NVIDIA, the undisputed leader in AI-driven GPUs, is currently navigating turbulent waters with its latest Blackwell architecture chips.While the company has been riding high on record-breaking revenues and a surging demand for AI compute power, reports of overheating issues in Blackwell chips have cast a shadow over its otherwise stellar growth trajectory.According to recent disclosures, these state-of-the-art GPUs face severe thermal management challenges when configured in server racks holding up to 72 units.

NVIDIA's AI Revolution Stalls? What Blackwell's Overheating Issues Reveal!

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Happy Monday! Welcome to our “Week at a Glance” series, where we highlight the key events and trends to watch for the week ahead.</li><li>Monday:BOJ Ueda – Volatility IgnitedBank of Japan Governor Ueda’s remarks today set the stage for rising yen volatility, as he dodged giving markets a decisive signal on December’s rate hike prospects.</li><li>With Ueda emphasizing data-dependency and the challenge of gauging the weak yen’s impact, traders are left grappling with a coin toss for December – keeping uncertainty alive.</li></ul>

Happy Monday! Welcome to our “Week at a Glance” series, where we highlight the key events and trends to watch for the week ahead.Monday:BOJ Ueda – Volatility IgnitedBank of Japan Governor Ueda’s remarks today set the stage for rising yen volatility, as he dodged giving markets a decisive signal on December’s rate hike prospects.With Ueda emphasizing data-dependency and the challenge of gauging the weak yen’s impact, traders are left grappling with a coin toss for December – keeping uncertainty alive.

The Week at a Glance – The largest company about to report – fuel for the Nasdaq bet?

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Hon Hai, Pegatron, and Quanta Gear Up for Potential U.S. Investment Surge Amid Trump Policy Speculation</li>
<li>PC Monitor: Asustek &amp; Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process</li>
<li>Semiconductor Memory Q324 Revenue Close To Historic Highs Even As Decoupling Intensifies </li>
</ul>


Hon Hai, Pegatron, and Quanta Gear Up for Potential U.S. Investment Surge Amid Trump Policy Speculation
PC Monitor: Asustek &amp; Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process
Semiconductor Memory Q324 Revenue Close To Historic Highs Even As Decoupling Intensifies 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Taiwan Firms to Surge U.S. Investment Due to Trump?; AI PCs & Memory Expansion

<ul>
<li>Asustek Guides for 20%+ YoY PC Revenue Growth in 4Q24E;  Lenovo Delivers 17% YoY PC Revenue Growth in CY3Q24</li>
<li>AI PCs: A Multi-Year Upgrade Cycle with Rising Average Selling Prices; AI PCs 80% of the PC Market by 2027E</li>
<li>Maintain Structural Long View for AI PC Up-Cycle; Asustek, Acer, &amp; Lenovo Well-Positioned Through 2025E</li>
</ul>


Asustek Guides for 20%+ YoY PC Revenue Growth in 4Q24E;  Lenovo Delivers 17% YoY PC Revenue Growth in CY3Q24
AI PCs: A Multi-Year Upgrade Cycle with Rising Average Selling Prices; AI PCs 80% of the PC Market by 2027E
Maintain Structural Long View for AI PC Up-Cycle; Asustek, Acer, &amp; Lenovo Well-Positioned Through 2025E


PC Monitor: Asustek & Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Buy the Pullback Again; S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 Testing Confluence of Support

Buy the Pullback Again, Same as Our Election Day Report; S&P 500 $SPX, Nasdaq 100 $QQQ, Russell 2000 $IWM Testing Confluence of Support at 20-day...

Vermilion Research

NVIDIA's AI Revolution Stalls? What Blackwell's Overheating Issues Reveal!

NVIDIA, the undisputed leader in AI-driven GPUs, is currently navigating turbulent waters with its latest Blackwell architecture chips. While the...

Baptista Research

The Week at a Glance – The largest company about to report – fuel for the Nasdaq bet?

Happy Monday! Welcome to our “Week at a Glance” series, where we highlight the key events and trends to watch for the week ahead. Monday:BOJ Ueda...

Steno Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Taiwan Firms to Surge U.S. Investment Due to Trump?; AI PCs & Memory Expansion

Major tech companies like Hon Hai, Pegatron, and Quanta are preparing for increased U.S. investments. Asustek and Lenovo show strong growth in PC...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: Asustek & Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process

Asustek, Acer, and Lenovo well-positioned for AI PC market growth, with Asus guiding for 20%+ YoY PC revenue growth in 4Q24E. AI PCs expected to...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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Buy the Pullback Again; S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, Russell 2000 Testing Confluence of Support

Buy the Pullback Again, Same as Our Election Day Report; S&P 500 $SPX, Nasdaq 100 $QQQ, Russell 2000 $IWM Testing Confluence of Support at 20-day...

Vermilion Research

NVIDIA's AI Revolution Stalls? What Blackwell's Overheating Issues Reveal!

NVIDIA, the undisputed leader in AI-driven GPUs, is currently navigating turbulent waters with its latest Blackwell architecture chips. While the...

Baptista Research

The Week at a Glance – The largest company about to report – fuel for the Nasdaq bet?

Happy Monday! Welcome to our “Week at a Glance” series, where we highlight the key events and trends to watch for the week ahead. Monday:BOJ Ueda...

Steno Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Taiwan Firms to Surge U.S. Investment Due to Trump?; AI PCs & Memory Expansion

​Major tech companies like Hon Hai, Pegatron, and Quanta are preparing for increased U.S. investments. Asustek and Lenovo show strong growth in PC...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

PC Monitor: Asustek & Lenovo Signal Strong PC Growth, AI PC Expansion in Process

​Asustek, Acer, and Lenovo well-positioned for AI PC market growth, with Asus guiding for 20%+ YoY PC revenue growth in 4Q24E. AI PCs expected to...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Major tech companies like Hon Hai, Pegatron, and Quanta are preparing for increased U.S. investments. Asustek and Lenovo show strong growth in PC...

Asustek, Acer, and Lenovo well-positioned for AI PC market growth, with Asus guiding for 20%+ YoY PC revenue growth in 4Q24E. AI PCs expected to...