IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (ARM US)</a> has priced its IPO at US$51.00 per ADS, at the top end of the price range. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> will raise gross proceeds of US$4.9bn.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111238" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111471" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/arm-holdings-ipo-unattractive-price-range" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:112285" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings IPO: Unattractive Price Range</a>. </li>
<li>The ARM IPO is structurally set up for a first-day pop. Beyond the first-day euphoria, ARM will face the daunting task of delivering bullish estimates to justify the IPO price.</li>
</ul>



ARM Holdings (ARM US) has priced its IPO at US$51.00 per ADS, at the top end of the price range. Softbank Group (9984 JP) will raise gross proceeds of US$4.9bn.
We previously discussed the IPO in ARM Holdings IPO: The Bull Case, ARM Holdings IPO: The Bear Case and ARM Holdings IPO: Unattractive Price Range. 
The ARM IPO is structurally set up for a first-day pop. Beyond the first-day euphoria, ARM will face the daunting task of delivering bullish estimates to justify the IPO price.


ARM Holdings IPO Trading: Structurally Set up for a First-Day Pop, but Then What?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/softbank-group-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1" rel="noopener">Softbank Group (9984 JP)</a> raised around US$4.9bn via selling some of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arm-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21816:1" rel="noopener">ARM Holdings (ARM US)</a>' US IPO.</li>
<li>ARM develops and licences high-performance, low-cost, and energy-efficient CPU products and related technology, which is used by semiconductor companies and OEMs to develop their own products.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Softbank Group (9984 JP) raised around US$4.9bn via selling some of its stake in ARM Holdings (ARM US)' US IPO.
ARM develops and licences high-performance, low-cost, and energy-efficient CPU products and related technology, which is used by semiconductor companies and OEMs to develop their own products.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


ARM Holdings IPO Trading - Sold Hope, Now for Some Reality

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>India Supply Chain Rising -- Hon Hai is helping Apple launch with India-made iPhone 15's on Day 1. These days, Apple likely wants to diversify away from China even faster.</li>
<li>ARM IPO prices at high end of range, is backed by TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, Samsung, Intel.</li>
<li>We downgrade Mediatek: After rally, beware of Huawei/SMIC chip capabilities causing market to realize Mediatek could lose market share.</li>
</ul>


India Supply Chain Rising -- Hon Hai is helping Apple launch with India-made iPhone 15's on Day 1. These days, Apple likely wants to diversify away from China even faster.
ARM IPO prices at high end of range, is backed by TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, Samsung, Intel.
We downgrade Mediatek: After rally, beware of Huawei/SMIC chip capabilities causing market to realize Mediatek could lose market share.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Accelerating to India; ARM IPO; Huawei Mediatek Market Risk; Intel AI PCs

<ul>
<li>Mediatek shares rallied recently on high volume and are approaching their 52-week highs. We however warn investors to beware emerging news of Huawei/SMIC's chip capabilities.</li>
<li>Mediatek announced last week its flagship mobile phone chip was preparing for high volume manufacturing with TSMC's most advanced 3-nanometer process node.</li>
<li>However, we believe Huawei's recent Mate 60 chip development could pose a threat to Mediatek's market share outlook. We downgrade our rating from Structural Long to Neutral, target price NT$815.</li>
</ul>


Mediatek shares rallied recently on high volume and are approaching their 52-week highs. We however warn investors to beware emerging news of Huawei/SMIC's chip capabilities.
Mediatek announced last week its flagship mobile phone chip was preparing for high volume manufacturing with TSMC's most advanced 3-nanometer process node.
However, we believe Huawei's recent Mate 60 chip development could pose a threat to Mediatek's market share outlook. We downgrade our rating from Structural Long to Neutral, target price NT$815.


Mediatek Downgrade: After Rally, Beware Emerging News of Huawei/SMIC Chip Capability

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Semiconductor revenues have enjoyed month over month growth since April</li>
<li>This growth is higher than the industry's long-term average 3.9% growth</li>
<li>It looks as if the industry is starting another of its typical cycles.</li>
</ul>


Semiconductor revenues have enjoyed month over month growth since April
This growth is higher than the industry's long-term average 3.9% growth
It looks as if the industry is starting another of its typical cycles.


SIA: Semiconductors Up for Fourth Consecutive Month

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

ARM Holdings IPO Trading: Structurally Set up for a First-Day Pop, but Then What?

The ARM IPO is structurally set up for a first-day pop. Beyond the first-day euphoria, ARM will face the daunting task of delivering bullish...

Arun George

ARM Holdings IPO Trading - Sold Hope, Now for Some Reality

Softbank Group (9984 JP) raised around US$4.9bn via selling some of its stake in ARM Holdings (ARM US)' US IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Accelerating to India; ARM IPO; Huawei Mediatek Market Risk; Intel AI PCs

ARM IPO prices at high end of range, is backed by TSMC, Apple, Nvidia, Samsung, Intel. Apple is likely accelerating plans to shift its supply chain...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Mediatek Downgrade: After Rally, Beware Emerging News of Huawei/SMIC Chip Capability

We believe Huawei's recent Mate 60 chip development could pose a threat to Mediatek's market share outlook. We downgrade our rating from Structural...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

SIA: Semiconductors Up for Fourth Consecutive Month

The semiconductor industry seems to be starting another cycle, with revenues increasing for the past four months. This Insight compares past...

Jim Handy

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