Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nanya Tech Soared in February on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News</li>
<li>Nanya’s Custom HBM Strategy &amp; the Positive DRAM Market Outlook</li>
<li>Memory Monitor Universe: SK Hynix &amp; Micron Still Have Strong FY2025E Expected Growth; Nanya Tech Still Negative</li>
</ul>


Nanya Tech Soared in February on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News
Nanya’s Custom HBM Strategy &amp; the Positive DRAM Market Outlook
Memory Monitor Universe: SK Hynix &amp; Micron Still Have Strong FY2025E Expected Growth; Nanya Tech Still Negative


Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Soared on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Q425 revenues were a record $39.3 billion, up 78% YoY,  up 12% QoQ, handily beating the guided midpoint of $37.5 billion. It was NVIDIA's eight consecutive quarter of sequential growth.</li>
<li>After taking an overnight break to consider its options, the markets then positively vomited on NVIDIA, sending its share price down 8.5% on Thursday</li>
<li>Jensen presents a utopian, Lake Wobegon-esque vision of all pervasive AI but in reality the pace of AI adoption will ultimately be determined by the pace of AI revenue generation</li>
</ul>


Q425 revenues were a record $39.3 billion, up 78% YoY,  up 12% QoQ, handily beating the guided midpoint of $37.5 billion. It was NVIDIA's eight consecutive quarter of sequential growth.
After taking an overnight break to consider its options, the markets then positively vomited on NVIDIA, sending its share price down 8.5% on Thursday
Jensen presents a utopian, Lake Wobegon-esque vision of all pervasive AI but in reality the pace of AI adoption will ultimately be determined by the pace of AI revenue generation


NVIDIA Q425 Beats, Raises, Market Yawns, Then Vomits. A Lake Wobegon Moment Perhaps?

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

<ul>
<li>Despite the chip market's 19% overall 2024 Y/Y increase, the only real growth was in semiconductors for AI applications.  A turn in the AI business could cause a collapse.</li>
<li>Outside of AI, growth was significantly more modest at 4.8%, which is good compared to the industry's historical growth rate of 3.9%, but is nowhere near the 19% overall number.</li>
<li>The US' trade sanctions appear to be having some impact on chip shipments to China vs. the Americas, but this may be an illusion.</li>
</ul>


Despite the chip market's 19% overall 2024 Y/Y increase, the only real growth was in semiconductors for AI applications.  A turn in the AI business could cause a collapse.
Outside of AI, growth was significantly more modest at 4.8%, which is good compared to the industry's historical growth rate of 3.9%, but is nowhere near the 19% overall number.
The US' trade sanctions appear to be having some impact on chip shipments to China vs. the Americas, but this may be an illusion.


What Do Detailed 2024 Semi Stats Tell Us?

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors, The Circuit

The Circuit

Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors

A Podcast On the Business of Semiconductors. With Jay Goldberg and Ben Bajarin

<ul><li>iPhone 16e starting at $599, positioned as entry level but not bare bones</li><li>Apple targeting customers who hold onto phones for a long time with best battery life in any iPhone</li><li>Modem C1 upgrade seen as key contributor to improved battery life, but was not highlighted in launch, raising questions about performance quality</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

iPhone 16e starting at $599, positioned as entry level but not bare bonesApple targeting customers who hold onto phones for a long time with best battery life in any iPhoneModem C1 upgrade seen as key contributor to improved battery life, but was not highlighted in launch, raising questions about performance qualityThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Episode 106: Apple C1 Modem! More Intel Rumors (FUD!) Previewing Nvidia Earnings

<ul>
<li>Microsoft dominated the technology news cycle recently on the back of a report by a TD Cowen analyst that the company is cancelling data centre leases in the US</li>
<li>Dwarkesh Patel's podcast with Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella last week provided a fascinating insight into his thinking when it comes to AI compute build out, AI winners &amp; losers etc.</li>
<li>Mr Nadella's approach to AI compute build out has always been a pragmatic "show me the money and I'll build some more compute" approach. Now we better understand why.</li>
</ul>


Microsoft dominated the technology news cycle recently on the back of a report by a TD Cowen analyst that the company is cancelling data centre leases in the US
Dwarkesh Patel's podcast with Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella last week provided a fascinating insight into his thinking when it comes to AI compute build out, AI winners &amp; losers etc.
Mr Nadella's approach to AI compute build out has always been a pragmatic "show me the money and I'll build some more compute" approach. Now we better understand why.


Microsoft CEO On AI CapEx: Show Me The Money!

United States

NVIDIA Corporation designs, develops, and markets three dimensional (3D) graphics processors and related software.  The Company's products provide interactive 3D graphics to the mainstream personal computer market.

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NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)

Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Soared on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News

Nanya Tech sees growth in February from DRAM recovery and custom HBM strategy, but still lags behind SK Hynix and Micron in expected growth for 2025.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

NVIDIA Q425 Beats, Raises, Market Yawns, Then Vomits. A Lake Wobegon Moment Perhaps?

Jensen presents a utopian, Lake Wobegon-esque vision of an all pervasive AI but in reality the pace of AI adoption will ultimately be determined by...

William Keating

What Do Detailed 2024 Semi Stats Tell Us?

The chip market saw 19% 2024 growth driven by AI semiconductors, but growth outside AI is modest. This is cause for concern. Meanwhile US trade...

Jim Handy

Episode 106: Apple C1 Modem! More Intel Rumors (FUD!) Previewing Nvidia Earnings

Apple's focus on addressing key issues such as battery life and modem efficiency in their entry-level product, the iPhone 16e, to target price...

The Circuit

Microsoft CEO On AI CapEx: Show Me The Money!

Mr Nadella's approach to AI compute build out has always been a pragmatic "show me the money and I'll build some more compute" approach. After last...

William Keating

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Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Soared on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News

​Nanya Tech sees growth in February from DRAM recovery and custom HBM strategy, but still lags behind SK Hynix and Micron in expected growth for 2025.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

NVIDIA Q425 Beats, Raises, Market Yawns, Then Vomits. A Lake Wobegon Moment Perhaps?

Jensen presents a utopian, Lake Wobegon-esque vision of an all pervasive AI but in reality the pace of AI adoption will ultimately be determined by...

William Keating

What Do Detailed 2024 Semi Stats Tell Us?

​The chip market saw 19% 2024 growth driven by AI semiconductors, but growth outside AI is modest. This is cause for concern. Meanwhile US trade...

Jim Handy

Episode 106: Apple C1 Modem! More Intel Rumors (FUD!) Previewing Nvidia Earnings

Apple's focus on addressing key issues such as battery life and modem efficiency in their entry-level product, the iPhone 16e, to target price...

The Circuit

Microsoft CEO On AI CapEx: Show Me The Money!

Mr Nadella's approach to AI compute build out has always been a pragmatic "show me the money and I'll build some more compute" approach. After last...

William Keating

Nanya Tech sees growth in February from DRAM recovery and custom HBM strategy, but still lags behind SK Hynix and Micron in expected growth for 2025.

The chip market saw 19% 2024 growth driven by AI semiconductors, but growth outside AI is modest. This is cause for concern. Meanwhile US trade...