IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">ENM Holdings (128 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poly-culture-group-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4729:1" rel="noopener">Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/costa-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22632:1" rel="noopener">Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hailan-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39776:1" rel="noopener">Hailan Holdings (2278 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oishi-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17370:1" rel="noopener">Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yachiyo-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6299:1" rel="noopener">Yachiyo Industry (7298 JP)</a>, Penguin. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads  111 Inc (YI US), ENM Holdings (128 HK), Chindata Group (CD US), Estia Health (EHE AU), Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK), Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU).
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Hailan Holdings (2278 HK), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB), Yachiyo Industry (7298 JP), Penguin. 


Merger Arb Mondays (10 Jul) - JSR, Yachiyo, InvoCare, Costa, Musgrave, Metro Pacific, Healthway

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amman-mineral-internasional-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39838:1" rel="noopener">Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dali-foods-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1082:1" rel="noopener">Dali Foods Group (3799 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nws-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3350:1" rel="noopener">Nws Holdings (659 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poly-culture-group-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4729:1" rel="noopener">Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK)</a>, Yitai Coal, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ddh1-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36022:1" rel="noopener">DDH1 (DDH AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Tryt Inc (9164 JP), Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ), Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s Cainiao &amp; Cloud Intelligence Group, J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - JSR Corp (4185 JP), Dali Foods Group (3799 HK), Nws Holdings (659 HK), Poly Culture Group Corp H (3636 HK), Yitai Coal, DDH1 (DDH AU). 


Weekly Deals Digest (02 Jul) - JSR, Dali Foods, NWS, Poly Culture, Yitai, DDH1/Perenti, Tryt

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> circularity was too complex. Lots of people hated it. It was actually easier than most thought, but optically was difficult to reconcile. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/swire-pacific-ltd-cl-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10433:1" rel="noopener">Swire Pacific (19 HK)</a> was a clear buy: there is no justification for assigning a similar discount for cash from the US Coke ops as you would to unlisted ops</li>
<li>A residual <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (9432 JP)</a> individual small-holder shareholding tenure reward does not get split 25:1 when the stock gets split 25:1. It doesn't mean much, but it's an interesting artefact. </li>
</ul>


The Naspers (NPN SJ) / Prosus (PRX NA) circularity was too complex. Lots of people hated it. It was actually easier than most thought, but optically was difficult to reconcile. 

Swire Pacific (19 HK) was a clear buy: there is no justification for assigning a similar discount for cash from the US Coke ops as you would to unlisted ops
A residual NTT (9432 JP) individual small-holder shareholding tenure reward does not get split 25:1 when the stock gets split 25:1. It doesn't mean much, but it's an interesting artefact. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Naspers/Prosus, Swire Pacific, NTT, Aussie Tax-Loss Selling

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nws-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3350:1" rel="noopener">Nws Holdings (659 HK)</a> announced a pre-conditional voluntary general offer from the Cheng family at HK$9.15 or HK$9.47 per share (with a potential 2HFY2023 dividend of HK$0.32 per share).</li>
<li>The pre-condition related to regulatory approval from the Insurance Authority of Hong Kong and the Bermuda Monetary Authority is a formality due to the Cheng family's current sway over NWS.</li>
<li>The key condition is approval by independent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17 HK)</a> shareholders which is likely as the offer is attractive, reduces NWD’s gearing and results in a special dividend.  </li>
</ul>



Nws Holdings (659 HK) announced a pre-conditional voluntary general offer from the Cheng family at HK$9.15 or HK$9.47 per share (with a potential 2HFY2023 dividend of HK$0.32 per share).
The pre-condition related to regulatory approval from the Insurance Authority of Hong Kong and the Bermuda Monetary Authority is a formality due to the Cheng family's current sway over NWS.
The key condition is approval by independent New World Development (17 HK) shareholders which is likely as the offer is attractive, reduces NWD’s gearing and results in a special dividend.  


NWS Holding (659 HK): Pre-Conditional VGO from the Cheng Family

<ul>
<li>Chow Tai Fook (CTFE) has made a <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2023/0627/2023062700091.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">voluntary cash Offer</a> for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/new-world-development" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7037:1" rel="noopener">New World Development (17 HK)</a>'s (NWD) 60.88%-held <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nws-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3350:1" rel="noopener">NWS Holdings (659 HK)</a> at HK$9.15/share, a 22.2% premium to undisturbed. </li>
<li>CTFE and connected parties hold 45.24% of NWD, therefore the parent is effectively injecting ~US$2.75bn of cash into NWD for its NWS stake.</li>
<li>The Offer is subject to regulatory approvals in Hong Kong and Bermuda. These will not be an issue given CTFE is NWD's ultimate shareholder. </li>
</ul>


Chow Tai Fook (CTFE) has made a voluntary cash Offer for New World Development (17 HK)'s (NWD) 60.88%-held NWS Holdings (659 HK) at HK$9.15/share, a 22.2% premium to undisturbed. 
CTFE and connected parties hold 45.24% of NWD, therefore the parent is effectively injecting ~US$2.75bn of cash into NWD for its NWS stake.
The Offer is subject to regulatory approvals in Hong Kong and Bermuda. These will not be an issue given CTFE is NWD's ultimate shareholder. 


Chow Tai Fooks' Offer For NWS (659 HK). Buy NWD (17 HK)

Hong Kong

NWS Holdings Limited operates businesses under three main divisions: Service, Infrastructure, and Ports. Its Service division comprises facilities, contracting, transport, financial, and environmental. The Infrastructure portfolio includes roads and bridges, energy, and water treatment and waste management. Its port division includes container handling, logistics, and warehousing.

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Nws Holdings (659 HK)

Merger Arb Mondays (10 Jul) - JSR, Yachiyo, InvoCare, Costa, Musgrave, Metro Pacific, Healthway

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (38.6%), ENM (11.5%), Chindata (10.5%), Estia (9.2%), Poly Culture (8.2%), Costa (7.9%), Dali (7.8%),...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (02 Jul) - JSR, Dali Foods, NWS, Poly Culture, Yitai, DDH1/Perenti, Tryt

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Dali Foods, NWS, Poly Culture, Yitai, JSR, DDH1/Perenti, Silk Laser) and ECM (Tryt, J&T...

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: Naspers/Prosus, Swire Pacific, NTT, Aussie Tax-Loss Selling

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

NWS Holding (659 HK): Pre-Conditional VGO from the Cheng Family

The pre-condition (regulatory approvals) and key condition (NWD shareholder approval) pose a low risk. At the current price of HK$8.89, the spread...

Arun George

Chow Tai Fooks' Offer For NWS (659 HK). Buy NWD (17 HK)

Assuming the final divi of HK$0.31/share is added on top of the offer price; and payment around 7 months out, I'd be buying up to $8.95 or so (10%...

David Blennerhassett

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