External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>OCI undergoing solvent liquidation process, sparking interest in updating story and economics</li><li>Focus on latest updates on OCI and PF capital structure, equity thesis, credit thesis</li><li>Multiple disposal transactions in past 10 months, including sale of businesses and retaining European nitrogen business</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

OCI undergoing solvent liquidation process, sparking interest in updating story and economicsFocus on latest updates on OCI and PF capital structure, equity thesis, credit thesisMultiple disposal transactions in past 10 months, including sale of businesses and retaining European nitrogen businessThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Oci Nv (US67116NAA72 Corp) - Friday, Sep 13, 2024

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nufarm-ltd-australia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1128:1" rel="noopener">Nufarm (NUF AU)</a>, an agricultural chemical company , is down ~40% since it announced a 39.5% decline in 1H25 profit. The share price is at the lowest level since Covid. </li>
<li>Concurrent with this results, Nufarm announced a review of its seed technology ops. Reportedly Advanta, BP - amongst others- are vying for the est. A$900mn business.   </li>
<li>Elsewhere, it is being reported that key shareholders recommend the Nufarm board explore a full takeover. </li>
</ul>



Nufarm (NUF AU), an agricultural chemical company , is down ~40% since it announced a 39.5% decline in 1H25 profit. The share price is at the lowest level since Covid. 
Concurrent with this results, Nufarm announced a review of its seed technology ops. Reportedly Advanta, BP - amongst others- are vying for the est. A$900mn business.   
Elsewhere, it is being reported that key shareholders recommend the Nufarm board explore a full takeover. 


Nufarm (NUF AU): Seed Sale Or Full Takeover - Something May Have To Give

Providing investors with a balanced perspective, Massif Capital

Massif Capital Research

Providing investors with a balanced perspective

Massif Capital

Research focused on providing investors with a balanced perspective on the environmental and economic realities of achieving a carbon-neutral economy for businesses within the Energy, Basic Materials and Industrial industries.

The Massif Capital Real Asset Strategy is a global long/short equity strategy built around bottom-up stock picking. We are focused on creating a portfolio of businesses from within the Energy, Basic Materials and Industrial sectors that balance the environmental and economic realities of achieving a carbon-neutral economy.

Macroeconomics

<div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;"><li>Outperformance of Metals and Mining sector: The fund's gold, copper, and lithium investments outperformed their respective industry performance.</li><li>Interesting trends in the gold market: We examine gold prices and propose a shift from wealth-driven to fear-driven consumption patterns. We also identify several events that could reduce fear and slow gold price momentum.</li><li>The evolving situation at OCI: The fund holds a 6% position in OCI, a global fertilizer business that announced two significant asset sales in December 2023, from which we expect to receive a substantial capital return in 2024.</li></ul></div>

Outperformance of Metals and Mining sector: The fund's gold, copper, and lithium investments outperformed their respective industry performance.Interesting trends in the gold market: We examine gold prices and propose a shift from wealth-driven to fear-driven consumption patterns. We also identify several events that could reduce fear and slow gold price momentum.The evolving situation at OCI: The fund holds a 6% position in OCI, a global fertilizer business that announced two significant asset sales in December 2023, from which we expect to receive a substantial capital return in 2024.

<ul><li>OCI N.V. is selling off assets to focus on a more streamlined operation and benefit from energy transition trends</li><li>The sale of OCI's stake in Fertiglobe to ADNOC for $3.62 billion was a result of pressure from Inclusive Capital, led by Jeffrey Uben</li><li>The company will have a strong net cash position and is positioned to capitalize on future opportunities at a low multiple of normalized EBITDA</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

OCI N.V. is selling off assets to focus on a more streamlined operation and benefit from energy transition trendsThe sale of OCI's stake in Fertiglobe to ADNOC for $3.62 billion was a result of pressure from Inclusive Capital, led by Jeffrey UbenThe company will have a strong net cash position and is positioned to capitalize on future opportunities at a low multiple of normalized EBITDAThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Oci N.V. (OCI NA) - Tuesday, Jan 30, 2024

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In last week's Int'l Compass (Aug. 18) we discussed that global equities are going through a bottoming process, but that the real test will come during the eventual pullback.</li>
<li>We are getting the pullback now, but so far, there has yet to be any failed breakouts among the indexes discussed over the past month -- a positive sign.</li>
<li>Worth noting- further breakout attempts have failed on some of the leading market indexes, notably the Nasdaq 100 and India's SENSEX, but they remain well-above their breakout levels from July.</li>
</ul>


In last week's Int'l Compass (Aug. 18) we discussed that global equities are going through a bottoming process, but that the real test will come during the eventual pullback.
We are getting the pullback now, but so far, there has yet to be any failed breakouts among the indexes discussed over the past month -- a positive sign.
Worth noting- further breakout attempts have failed on some of the leading market indexes, notably the Nasdaq 100 and India's SENSEX, but they remain well-above their breakout levels from July.


Pullback Underway; Buy Ideas: Energy, Materials, Japan/India Motor Vehicles, Japan Health Care

Netherlands

OCI N.V. is a fertilizer producer with projects and investments in Europe, the Americas, the Middle East, and North Africa. The Company is also an engineering & construction contractor.

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OCI NV (OCI NA)

Oci Nv (US67116NAA72 Corp) - Friday, Sep 13, 2024

OCI undergoing solvent liquidation process, sparking interest in updating story and economics. Focus on latest updates on OCI and PF capital...

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Nufarm (NUF AU): Seed Sale Or Full Takeover - Something May Have To Give

Nufarm is not without issue. However on balance, the recent selldown has overshot to the downside. I'd be dipping my toe in around here.

David Blennerhassett

1st Quarter 2024 Letter to Investors

Outperformance of Metals and Mining sector: The fund's gold, copper, and lithium investments outperformed their respective industry...

Massif Capital Research

Oci N.V. (OCI NA) - Tuesday, Jan 30, 2024

The company will have a strong net cash position and is positioned to capitalize on future opportunities at a low multiple of normalized EBITDA

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Pullback Underway; Buy Ideas: Energy, Materials, Japan/India Motor Vehicles, Japan Health Care

Pullback Underway; Problem: U.S. Dollar $DXY, Global 10-Yr Sovereign Yields, and Commodities All on the Rise Again; Actionable Themes: Energy,...

Vermilion Research

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