Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, there could be two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX)</a> at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent Ltd (TRENT IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)</a> are high probability inclusions while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India (NEST IN)</a> are high probability deletions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> is also a potential <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> deletion in September and there will be continued pressure on the stock.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, there could be two changes for the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) at the June rebalance.

Trent Ltd (TRENT IN) and Bharat Electronics (BHE IN) are high probability inclusions while Indusind Bank (IIB IN) and Nestle India (NEST IN) are high probability deletions.

Indusind Bank (IIB IN) is also a potential NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) deletion in September and there will be continued pressure on the stock.


SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Trent, Bharat Electronics Could Replace IndusInd Bank, Nestle

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Crude oil prices have dropped sharply, with WTI and Brent falling 3-4% due to OPEC+'s decision to increase oil output to 960,000 bpd, representing a 44% unwinding .  </li>
<li>This decline in oil prices could benefit India’s Oil Marketing Companies, paint, tyre, and aviation sectors, while negatively impacting upstream oil explorers and refineries.</li>
<li>Despite OPEC+'s move to ramp up production, global demand remains uncertain due to trade tensions, and oil prices are forecasted to stay low, affecting various sectors.</li>
</ul>


Crude oil prices have dropped sharply, with WTI and Brent falling 3-4% due to OPEC+'s decision to increase oil output to 960,000 bpd, representing a 44% unwinding .  
This decline in oil prices could benefit India’s Oil Marketing Companies, paint, tyre, and aviation sectors, while negatively impacting upstream oil explorers and refineries.
Despite OPEC+'s move to ramp up production, global demand remains uncertain due to trade tensions, and oil prices are forecasted to stay low, affecting various sectors.


OPEC+ Pushes for Market Share, How India Can Benefit?

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>U.S. oil producers need prices between USD 61-70 per barrel to maintain profitability. With prices around USD 60 per barrel, drilling activity is likely to decrease.</li>
<li>Rising tariffs and trade uncertainty are increasing oilfield equipment costs and threatening production growth in the United States.</li>
<li>While Saudi Arabia faces fiscal pressures and OPEC supply constraints, Petrobras benefits from low breakeven costs, no OPEC restrictions, and strong investment.</li>
</ul>


U.S. oil producers need prices between USD 61-70 per barrel to maintain profitability. With prices around USD 60 per barrel, drilling activity is likely to decrease.
Rising tariffs and trade uncertainty are increasing oilfield equipment costs and threatening production growth in the United States.
While Saudi Arabia faces fiscal pressures and OPEC supply constraints, Petrobras benefits from low breakeven costs, no OPEC restrictions, and strong investment.


The Diverging Impact of Falling Crude Prices on Various Oil Producing Regions

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Dorf-Ketal Chemicals Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dorf-ketal-chemicals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44325:1" rel="noopener">Dorf-Ketal Chemicals Ltd (998552Z IN)</a> (DKCI) is looking to raise about US$579m in its upcoming India IPO.</li>
<li>DKCI is an R&amp;D and innovation-focused global manufacturer and supplier of specialty chemicals, catering to hydrocarbons and industrial supply chains, and customers with diverse applications across various industrial segments.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Dorf-Ketal Chemicals Ltd (998552Z IN) (DKCI) is looking to raise about US$579m in its upcoming India IPO.
DKCI is an R&amp;D and innovation-focused global manufacturer and supplier of specialty chemicals, catering to hydrocarbons and industrial supply chains, and customers with diverse applications across various industrial segments.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Dorf-Ketal Chemicals India Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Elevated Borrowings and Tariff Uncertainty

<ul>
<li>The RBI’s March 2025 surveys highlight a balanced recovery, with easing inflation expectations, strong rural sentiment, and sector-specific growth prospects across banking, manufacturing, and services.</li>
<li>With moderate credit growth and consumer confidence improving, sectors like agri-finance, retail, and infrastructure are poised for growth, while inflationary pressures and currency depreciation may impact import-dependent companies.</li>
<li>India's economic recovery is steady, with sector-specific positioning crucial. As rural confidence rises and inflation expectations moderate, growth opportunities are more identifiable, especially in rural finance and manufacturing.</li>
</ul>


The RBI’s March 2025 surveys highlight a balanced recovery, with easing inflation expectations, strong rural sentiment, and sector-specific growth prospects across banking, manufacturing, and services.
With moderate credit growth and consumer confidence improving, sectors like agri-finance, retail, and infrastructure are poised for growth, while inflationary pressures and currency depreciation may impact import-dependent companies.
India's economic recovery is steady, with sector-specific positioning crucial. As rural confidence rises and inflation expectations moderate, growth opportunities are more identifiable, especially in rural finance and manufacturing.


India

Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited specializes in the exploration and production of crude oil and gas. The Company has joint ventures in oil fields in Vietnam, Norway, Egypt, Tunisia, Iran and Australia. The Group's other activities include deep sea explorations on the east and west coasts of India, and the exploration of coal bed methane.

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Oil & Natural Gas Corp (ONGC IN)

SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Trent, Bharat Electronics Could Replace IndusInd Bank, Nestle

With the review period complete, Trent and Bharat Electronics could replace IndusInd Bank and Nestle in the Sensex in June. IndusInd Bank is also a...

Brian Freitas

The Diverging Impact of Falling Crude Prices on Various Oil Producing Regions

U.S. oil producers face profitability challenges with prices near USD 60/b, while trade uncertainty raises equipment costs. Saudi Arabia struggles...

Mint Finance

Dorf-Ketal Chemicals India Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Elevated Borrowings and Tariff Uncertainty

Dorf-Ketal Chemicals India is looking to raise about US$579m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of...

Akshat Shah

RBI Forward-Looking Survey Analysis

RBI surveys show balanced recovery in India, with rural sentiment strong and growth prospects in banking, manufacturing, and services. Sector...

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SENSEX Index Rebalance Preview: Trent, Bharat Electronics Could Replace IndusInd Bank, Nestle

With the review period complete, Trent and Bharat Electronics could replace IndusInd Bank and Nestle in the Sensex in June. IndusInd Bank is also a...

Brian Freitas

OPEC+ Pushes for Market Share, How India Can Benefit?

​OPEC+ decision to increase oil output leads to sharp drop in crude oil prices, benefiting some sectors in India but impacting others negatively,...

Nimish Maheshwari

The Diverging Impact of Falling Crude Prices on Various Oil Producing Regions

​U.S. oil producers face profitability challenges with prices near USD 60/b, while trade uncertainty raises equipment costs. Saudi Arabia struggles...

Mint Finance

Dorf-Ketal Chemicals India Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Elevated Borrowings and Tariff Uncertainty

Dorf-Ketal Chemicals India is looking to raise about US$579m in its upcoming India IPO. In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of...

Akshat Shah

RBI Forward-Looking Survey Analysis

​RBI surveys show balanced recovery in India, with rural sentiment strong and growth prospects in banking, manufacturing, and services. Sector...

Nimish Maheshwari

OPEC+ decision to increase oil output leads to sharp drop in crude oil prices, benefiting some sectors in India but impacting others negatively,...

U.S. oil producers face profitability challenges with prices near USD 60/b, while trade uncertainty raises equipment costs. Saudi Arabia struggles...

RBI surveys show balanced recovery in India, with rural sentiment strong and growth prospects in banking, manufacturing, and services. Sector...