Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There could be 2 changes to the ASX100 and ASX200 prior to the March rebalance due to the acquisitions of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ausnet-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10293:1" rel="noopener">Ausnet Services (AST AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sydney-airport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19063:1" rel="noopener">Sydney Airport (SYD AU)</a>. </li>
<li>There will also be the large <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group (BHP AU)</a> upweight and funding trade following unification, and possibly the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afterpay-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26940:1" rel="noopener">Afterpay Touch (APT AU)</a> acquisition by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/square-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23755:1" rel="noopener">Square Inc (SQ US)</a>. </li>
<li>Then there will be more changes to the ASX200 and ASX300 at the March rebalance. There could be a lot of new listings included in the ASX300.</li>
</ul>


There could be 2 changes to the ASX100 and ASX200 prior to the March rebalance due to the acquisitions of Ausnet Services (AST AU) and Sydney Airport (SYD AU). 
There will also be the large BHP Group (BHP AU) upweight and funding trade following unification, and possibly the Afterpay Touch (APT AU) acquisition by Square Inc (SQ US). 
Then there will be more changes to the ASX200 and ASX300 at the March rebalance. There could be a lot of new listings included in the ASX300.


ASX100/​200/300 Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): A Lot Happening From Now to March

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>For the month of December, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$4bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in December was ~41%, with a year-to-date average of ~33% (165 deals &amp; total deal size of US$282bn).</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2020 (158 deals) and 2019 (145 deals) of 31% and 31.5% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of December, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$4bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in December was ~41%, with a year-to-date average of ~33% (165 deals &amp; total deal size of US$282bn).
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2020 (158 deals) and 2019 (145 deals) of 31% and 31.5% respectively.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/senex-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18390:1" rel="noopener">Senex Energy (SXY AU)</a> has <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02465599-2A1345453?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">entered</a> into a Scheme of Arrangement with Posco at A$4.60/share, in cash. In addition, Senex intends to pay an interim dividend of up to A$0.05/share.</li>
<li>Senex's board unanimously recommends that shareholders vote in favour of the Scheme. Key conditions of the Scheme include Senex shareholder approval and FIRB approval.</li>
<li>Senex expects a Scheme Meeting to occur in March 2022 and, if approved, the transaction is expected to complete in late March 2022.</li>
</ul>



Senex Energy (SXY AU) has entered into a Scheme of Arrangement with Posco at A$4.60/share, in cash. In addition, Senex intends to pay an interim dividend of up to A$0.05/share.
Senex's board unanimously recommends that shareholders vote in favour of the Scheme. Key conditions of the Scheme include Senex shareholder approval and FIRB approval.
Senex expects a Scheme Meeting to occur in March 2022 and, if approved, the transaction is expected to complete in late March 2022.


Senex Energy Enters Into Scheme With Posco

<ul>
<li>Cashed-Up <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a> doubles its buyback program. Separately, the appraisal rights proceedings for dissenting shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-strategic-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15081" rel="noopener">Jardine Strategic (JS SP)</a> are now underway in Bermuda's Supreme Court. </li>
<li>The PBOC, CBIRC, and CSRC appear to have thrown <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande (3333 HK)</a> management under the bus with simultaneous statements that Evergrande's case is an individual one due to "reckless expansion."</li>
<li>The ACCC approval, a key condition to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sydney-airport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19063" rel="noopener">Sydney Airport (SYD AU)</a> proposal completing, has been obtained.</li>
</ul>


Cashed-Up Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) doubles its buyback program. Separately, the appraisal rights proceedings for dissenting shareholders of Jardine Strategic (JS SP) are now underway in Bermuda's Supreme Court. 
The PBOC, CBIRC, and CSRC appear to have thrown Evergrande (3333 HK) management under the bus with simultaneous statements that Evergrande's case is an individual one due to "reckless expansion."
The ACCC approval, a key condition to the Sydney Airport (SYD AU) proposal completing, has been obtained.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Jardine Matheson, Evergrande, Sydney Airports, Shinsei Bank, Kansai Super

<ul>
<li>There are currently 45  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>One new deal this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3:1" rel="noopener">Aeon (8267 JP)</a>-controlled supermarket companies <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fuji-co-ltd-ehime" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11419:1" rel="noopener">Fuji (8278 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maxvalu-nishinihon-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13743:1" rel="noopener">Maxvalu Nishinihon (8287 JP)</a> announced the Exchange Ratio for the first stage of their integration process.</li>
<li>Keys updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinsei-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16897:1" rel="noopener">Shinsei Bank (8303 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sydney-airport" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19063:1" rel="noopener">Sydney Airport (SYD AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-super-market-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15519:1" rel="noopener">Kansai Super Market (9919 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-jin-jiang-capital-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15781:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Company Limited (2006 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 45  - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
One new deal this week: Aeon (8267 JP)-controlled supermarket companies Fuji (8278 JP) and Maxvalu Nishinihon (8287 JP) announced the Exchange Ratio for the first stage of their integration process.
Keys updates took place for: Shinsei Bank (8303 JP), Sydney Airport (SYD AU), Kansai Super Market (9919 JP), and Shanghai Jin Jiang Capital Company Limited (2006 HK).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Shinsei Bank, Sydney Airports, Kansi Super, Shanghai Jin Jiang

Australia

Oil Search Limited explores for and produces gas and oil through operations in Papua New Guinea.  The Company's activities are located in the Papuan Highlands which include the Kutubu, Hides, and Gobe oil and gas projects.

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Oil Search Ltd (OSH AU)

ASX100/200/300 Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): A Lot Happening From Now to March

There will be many changes to the ASX100/200/300 indices from now to March due to M&A activity & price moves. Plus a large funding trade following...

Brian Freitas

(Mostly) Asia M&A: December 2021 Roundup

For the month of December, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$4bn. The...

David Blennerhassett

Senex Energy Enters Into Scheme With Posco

The Offer price is full. Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 1.9%/6.8%, including the A$0.05/share dividend. This is a done deal. Play the...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Jardine Matheson, Evergrande, Sydney Airports, Shinsei Bank, Kansai Super

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Shinsei Bank, Sydney Airports, Kansi Super, Shanghai Jin Jiang

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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ASX100/​200/300 Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): A Lot Happening From Now to March

There will be many changes to the ASX100/200/300 indices from now to March due to M&A activity & price moves. Plus a large funding trade following...

Brian Freitas

(Mostly) Asia M&A: December 2021 Roundup

For the month of December, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$4bn. The...

David Blennerhassett

Senex Energy Enters Into Scheme With Posco

The Offer price is full. Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 1.9%/6.8%, including the A$0.05/share dividend. This is a done deal. Play the...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Jardine Matheson, Evergrande, Sydney Airports, Shinsei Bank, Kansai Super

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Shinsei Bank, Sydney Airports, Kansi Super, Shanghai Jin Jiang

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

ASX100/200/300 Index Rebalance Preview (March 2022): A Lot Happening From Now to March