Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Korean Financial Services Commission and the Financial Supervisory Service held a press briefing, unveiling the comprehensive prohibition of short selling from the 6th November, until June 30th next year.</li>
<li>Recco or Ascendant for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys (HOLI US)</a>? Ascendant could easily get &gt;50% of shares out, and spill the board. Recco, with no shares held, looks to have a weaker hand. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sankyo-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12385:1" rel="noopener">Sankyo (6417 JP)</a> is cheap. It will never trade at 20x expected PER because of the nature of the business; right now, on an ex-cash basis, it trades 1.6x ex-cash PER.</li>
</ul>


The Korean Financial Services Commission and the Financial Supervisory Service held a press briefing, unveiling the comprehensive prohibition of short selling from the 6th November, until June 30th next year.
Recco or Ascendant for Hollysys (HOLI US)? Ascendant could easily get &gt;50% of shares out, and spill the board. Recco, with no shares held, looks to have a weaker hand. 

Sankyo (6417 JP) is cheap. It will never trade at 20x expected PER because of the nature of the business; right now, on an ex-cash basis, it trades 1.6x ex-cash PER.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Korea's Short Selling, Hollysys, Sankyo, Descente

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shidax-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7754:1" rel="noopener">Shidax Corp (4837 JP)</a> has recommended an MBO tender offer of JPY800 per share, a 10.3% premium to the undisturbed price (9 November).</li>
<li>After the settlement of the tender offer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oisix-ra-daichi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10145:1" rel="noopener">Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP)</a> will acquire a 66.0% stake in the offeror by way of third-party allotment at the tender offer price.</li>
<li>Despite the skinny premium, the offer is just shy of the ten-year share price high. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 12.5% minority acceptance rate.</li>
</ul>



Shidax Corp (4837 JP) has recommended an MBO tender offer of JPY800 per share, a 10.3% premium to the undisturbed price (9 November).
After the settlement of the tender offer, Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP) will acquire a 66.0% stake in the offeror by way of third-party allotment at the tender offer price.
Despite the skinny premium, the offer is just shy of the ten-year share price high. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 12.5% minority acceptance rate.


Shidax Corporation (4837 JP): MBO Tender Offer at JPY800

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>13mos ago I wrote about <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shidax-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7754:1" rel="noopener">Shidax Corp (4837 JP)</a> which an interesting restructuring past and a refreshing governance outlook going forward in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/shidax-outlook-may-change-better-governance-matters" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:81697" rel="noopener">Shidax Outlook May Change - Better Governance Matters</a>. </li>
<li>The stock was up 25% in that period to yesterday. Today, a Nikkei article mid-day suggests the Shida family will launch an MBO. Stock popped. Earnings out after the close.</li>
<li>The article suggests a take-private MBO with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oisix-ra-daichi-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10145:1" rel="noopener">Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP)</a> again supporting the deal. 30 minutes ago Shidax responded saying an offer was put forth at ¥800/share.</li>
</ul>


13mos ago I wrote about Shidax Corp (4837 JP) which an interesting restructuring past and a refreshing governance outlook going forward in Shidax Outlook May Change - Better Governance Matters. 
The stock was up 25% in that period to yesterday. Today, a Nikkei article mid-day suggests the Shida family will launch an MBO. Stock popped. Earnings out after the close.
The article suggests a take-private MBO with Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP) again supporting the deal. 30 minutes ago Shidax responded saying an offer was put forth at ¥800/share.


Shidax (4837) - Nikkei Scoops MBO (Anncmt Post-Close), Family Wants to Buy at ¥800 Which Is Too Low

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The so-called 2024 problem will cause significant disruption to logistics in Japan, including potentially higher costs for major firms like Yamato and Sagawa.</li>
<li>Already, companies that move product by road, and particularly those working in e-commerce, are working hard to come up with solutions to reduce the impact of the new rules.</li>
<li>For the better-resourced businesses, this could lead to more efficient supply-chains in the long run, creating more efficiencies within Japanese consumer markets.</li>
</ul>


The so-called 2024 problem will cause significant disruption to logistics in Japan, including potentially higher costs for major firms like Yamato and Sagawa.
Already, companies that move product by road, and particularly those working in e-commerce, are working hard to come up with solutions to reduce the impact of the new rules.
For the better-resourced businesses, this could lead to more efficient supply-chains in the long run, creating more efficiencies within Japanese consumer markets.


Solving the 2024 Logistics Problem Key to Japan Consumer Market Efficiency

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Oisix is Japan’s largest online food retailer but sales were flat in 1Q-3Q2022 as people returned to work and cooked less, and profits suffered as inflation brought increases in costs. </li>
<li>The company’s US operation also shrank as fewer people bought food online now that many Japanese are back to normal working patterns again.</li>
<li>But other international subsidiaries and its expanded wholesale businesses at home all grew strongly.</li>
</ul>


Oisix is Japan’s largest online food retailer but sales were flat in 1Q-3Q2022 as people returned to work and cooked less, and profits suffered as inflation brought increases in costs. 
The company’s US operation also shrank as fewer people bought food online now that many Japanese are back to normal working patterns again.
But other international subsidiaries and its expanded wholesale businesses at home all grew strongly.


Japan

Oisix ra daichi Inc. sells various food products online. Among other products, the company sells vegetables, fruits, fish, meat, milk, and ready-made food.

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Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Korea's Short Selling, Hollysys, Sankyo, Descente

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Shidax Corporation (4837 JP): MBO Tender Offer at JPY800

Despite the skinny premium, the offer is just shy of the ten-year share price high. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 12.5% minority...

Arun George

Shidax (4837) - Nikkei Scoops MBO (Anncmt Post-Close), Family Wants to Buy at ¥800 Which Is Too Low

The Nikkei wrote mid-day that the Shida family had proposed an MBO on Shidax with Oisix support. Shidax confirmed ¥800/share, deliberations today....

Travis Lundy

Solving the 2024 Logistics Problem Key to Japan Consumer Market Efficiency

The 2024 problem in Japan will disrupt logistics, increasing costs for major firms but they are finding solutions to minimize the impact and...

Michael Causton

Oisix Hit as People Return to Work

Oisix is Japan's best known online food retailer. It boomed in the pandemic so a correction was inevitable. Now this is done, we can look forward...

Michael Causton

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Last Week in Event SPACE: Korea's Short Selling, Hollysys, Sankyo, Descente

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Shidax Corporation (4837 JP): MBO Tender Offer at JPY800

Despite the skinny premium, the offer is just shy of the ten-year share price high. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 12.5% minority...

Arun George

Shidax (4837) - Nikkei Scoops MBO (Anncmt Post-Close), Family Wants to Buy at ¥800 Which Is Too Low

The Nikkei wrote mid-day that the Shida family had proposed an MBO on Shidax with Oisix support. Shidax confirmed ¥800/share, deliberations today....

Travis Lundy

Solving the 2024 Logistics Problem Key to Japan Consumer Market Efficiency

​The 2024 problem in Japan will disrupt logistics, increasing costs for major firms but they are finding solutions to minimize the impact and...

Michael Causton

Oisix Hit as People Return to Work

Oisix is Japan's best known online food retailer. It boomed in the pandemic so a correction was inevitable. Now this is done, we can look forward...

Michael Causton

The 2024 problem in Japan will disrupt logistics, increasing costs for major firms but they are finding solutions to minimize the impact and...