Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ather-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43903:1" rel="noopener">Ather Energy (1207922D IN)</a> lists on Indian stock exchanges today with expectations of a subdued debut.</li>
<li>Following its IPO, and early VC investors gradually reducing their stakes, the ownership and influence dynamics may begin to tilt more toward <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hero-motocorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2391:1" rel="noopener">Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN)</a> that now owns 30%.</li>
<li>Is this shift a threat to Ather’s innovation-driven DNA, or should investors support a stronger collaboration with Hero Motocorp to unlock accelerated growth and take on competition from ICE incumbents?</li>
</ul>



Ather Energy (1207922D IN) lists on Indian stock exchanges today with expectations of a subdued debut.
Following its IPO, and early VC investors gradually reducing their stakes, the ownership and influence dynamics may begin to tilt more toward Hero Motocorp (HMCL IN) that now owns 30%.
Is this shift a threat to Ather’s innovation-driven DNA, or should investors support a stronger collaboration with Hero Motocorp to unlock accelerated growth and take on competition from ICE incumbents?


Ather Energy IPO: Likely Muted Debut.  Promoter Dynamics Shift—Potential Upside or Risk?

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Ather Energy is launching an IPO to raise INR 2,626 crore for capacity expansion, R&amp;D, and marketing, and OFS of INR 350 Crore.</li>
<li>Despite strong technological positioning, Ather faces rising competitive pressure, high cash burn, low capacity utilization, and growing risks from policy and supplier dependencies.</li>
<li>While Ather’s innovation strength is intact, its financial instability and fierce competition make the IPO a high-risk, cautious-watch opportunity rather than a straightforward growth bet.</li>
</ul>


Ather Energy is launching an IPO to raise INR 2,626 crore for capacity expansion, R&amp;D, and marketing, and OFS of INR 350 Crore.
Despite strong technological positioning, Ather faces rising competitive pressure, high cash burn, low capacity utilization, and growing risks from policy and supplier dependencies.
While Ather’s innovation strength is intact, its financial instability and fierce competition make the IPO a high-risk, cautious-watch opportunity rather than a straightforward growth bet.


Ather Energy IPO: A High-Risk Ride in a Crowded E2W Market

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ather-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43903:1" rel="noopener">Ather Energy (1207922D IN)</a> IPO opened today (April 28, 2025) with a price band of Rs 304-321 per share, and will remain open until April 30, 2025. </li>
<li>This insight focuses on our takeaways from visiting various Ather Showroom and Service Centers across the Country. </li>
<li>The product quality, service feedback and product positioning is relatively better than competition. <strong>The product is good, business probably not. </strong>
</li>
</ul>



Ather Energy (1207922D IN) IPO opened today (April 28, 2025) with a price band of Rs 304-321 per share, and will remain open until April 30, 2025. 
This insight focuses on our takeaways from visiting various Ather Showroom and Service Centers across the Country. 
The product quality, service feedback and product positioning is relatively better than competition. The product is good, business probably not. 



Ather Energy IPO | Showroom and Service Center Visits

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ather-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43903:1" rel="noopener">Ather Energy</a> is looking to raise INR 30bn (US$349m) in its IPO, valuing the company at INR 120bn (US$1.4bn). The company appears to be expensive compared to peers.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ather-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43903:1" rel="noopener">Ather Energy</a> could be added to one global smallcap index in August/November and to another in December/March. Small Cap classification for AMFI and no major local index inclusion.</li>
<li>The continued selloff in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric</a> will give investors pause, especially given <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ather-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43903:1" rel="noopener">Ather Energy</a>'s stagnant market share and continued losses. There is supply in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric</a> with PE/VC investors selling. </li>
</ul>



Ather Energy is looking to raise INR 30bn (US$349m) in its IPO, valuing the company at INR 120bn (US$1.4bn). The company appears to be expensive compared to peers.

Ather Energy could be added to one global smallcap index in August/November and to another in December/March. Small Cap classification for AMFI and no major local index inclusion.
The continued selloff in Ola Electric will give investors pause, especially given Ather Energy's stagnant market share and continued losses. There is supply in Ola Electric with PE/VC investors selling. 


Ather Energy IPO: Expensive and No Immediate Index Inclusion

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ather-energy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43903:1" rel="noopener">Ather Energy</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dn-solutions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44474:1" rel="noopener">DN Solutions (298440 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lotte-global-logistics-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45000:1" rel="noopener">Lotte Global Logistics</a> were live this week, with few other gearing up for launches in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>On the placements front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15002:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Corp (035720 KS)</a> was the only sizable placement over the past week. We did look at a few more IPO linked lockup expiries.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, Ather Energy, DN Solutions (298440 KS) and Lotte Global Logistics were live this week, with few other gearing up for launches in Hong Kong.
On the placements front, Kakao Corp (035720 KS) was the only sizable placement over the past week. We did look at a few more IPO linked lockup expiries.


ECM Weekly (28 Apr 2025) - Ather, DN Solutions, Lotte, BenQ, Dorf-Ketal, Hi-Think, Kakao, Waaree

India

Ola Electric is an Indian electric vehicle manufacturer that designs and manufactures electric two-wheelers, including the Ola S1 series, and produces battery cells. The company also offers charging solutions and energy storage products. Ola Electric is headquartered in Bengaluru, India, and was founded in 2017.

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Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)

Ather Energy IPO: Likely Muted Debut. Promoter Dynamics Shift—Potential Upside or Risk?

If Hero MotoCorp (HMCL IN), that holds 30% stake as co-promoter, takes a more active role, Ather could scale faster and compete more effectively...

Devi Subhakesan

Ather Energy IPO: A High-Risk Ride in a Crowded E2W Market

Ather Energy's IPO aims to raise funds for expansion, but faces challenges like competition, cash burn, and policy risks, making it a high-risk...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Ather Energy IPO | Showroom and Service Center Visits

Ather Energy IPO opens with promising product quality but uncertain business outlook. #AtherEnergy #IPO #ProductQuality

Pranav Bhavsar

Ather Energy IPO: Expensive and No Immediate Index Inclusion

Ather Energy is looking to raise US$349m valuing the company at US$1.4bn. No near-term index inclusion expected. The continued selloff in Ola...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (28 Apr 2025) - Ather, DN Solutions, Lotte, BenQ, Dorf-Ketal, Hi-Think, Kakao, Waaree

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

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Ather Energy IPO: Likely Muted Debut. Promoter Dynamics Shift—Potential Upside or Risk?

If Hero MotoCorp (HMCL IN), that holds 30% stake as co-promoter, takes a more active role, Ather could scale faster and compete more effectively...

Devi Subhakesan

Ather Energy IPO: A High-Risk Ride in a Crowded E2W Market

​Ather Energy's IPO aims to raise funds for expansion, but faces challenges like competition, cash burn, and policy risks, making it a high-risk...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Ather Energy IPO | Showroom and Service Center Visits

​Ather Energy IPO opens with promising product quality but uncertain business outlook. #AtherEnergy #IPO #ProductQuality

Pranav Bhavsar

Ather Energy IPO: Expensive and No Immediate Index Inclusion

Ather Energy is looking to raise US$349m valuing the company at US$1.4bn. No near-term index inclusion expected. The continued selloff in Ola...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (28 Apr 2025) - Ather, DN Solutions, Lotte, BenQ, Dorf-Ketal, Hi-Think, Kakao, Waaree

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Ather Energy's IPO aims to raise funds for expansion, but faces challenges like competition, cash burn, and policy risks, making it a high-risk...

Ather Energy IPO opens with promising product quality but uncertain business outlook. #AtherEnergy #IPO #ProductQuality