Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We continue our earnings coverage highlighting key earnings and what catches our attention in the conference calls.</li>
<li>Names in this auto-focused edition include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mahindra-mahindra-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16441:1" rel="noopener">Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maruti-suzuki-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:733:1" rel="noopener">Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> .</li>
<li>Bearish names include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-motors-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:216:1" rel="noopener">Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/escorts-kubota-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6773:1" rel="noopener">Escorts Kubota Limited (ESCORTS IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a> as a potential name to be bullish on.</li>
</ul>


We continue our earnings coverage highlighting key earnings and what catches our attention in the conference calls.
Names in this auto-focused edition include Mahindra &amp; Mahindra (MM IN), Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN), Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN), Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) .
Bearish names include Tata Motors Ltd (TTMT IN) , Escorts Kubota Limited (ESCORTS IN) and Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) as a potential name to be bullish on.


Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Autos

Equity Analyst, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

<ul>
<li>After two challenging months, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a> ’s October sales rebounded strongly, driven by strong festive demand and deep discounts.</li>
<li>The company appears to have effectively managed its after-sales complaints crisis, easing  investor concerns ahead its 90-day lock-up expiry on November 5th.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a>'s upside and path to profitability relies on increasing electric bike adoption, improving margins through in-house cell manufacturing, and leveraging PLI incentives.</li>
</ul>


After two challenging months, Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) ’s October sales rebounded strongly, driven by strong festive demand and deep discounts.
The company appears to have effectively managed its after-sales complaints crisis, easing  investor concerns ahead its 90-day lock-up expiry on November 5th.

Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)'s upside and path to profitability relies on increasing electric bike adoption, improving margins through in-house cell manufacturing, and leveraging PLI incentives.


Ola Electric's Volume Recovery: Eases Investor Concerns Ahead of Lock up Expiry on Nov 5th

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a>'s  aggressive price cuts on its S1 scooter aim to fend off competition and boost sales but risk alienating existing customers and damaging brand perception.</li>
<li>Ola Electric’s mishandling of online criticism—capped by its CEO’s heated spat with a well-known comedian—has tarnished the brand’s image.</li>
<li>With market share and stock prices dropping, concerns loom over how the company will fare after lock-up expiry in November/February and whether it will qualify for global index inclusion.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)'s  aggressive price cuts on its S1 scooter aim to fend off competition and boost sales but risk alienating existing customers and damaging brand perception.
Ola Electric’s mishandling of online criticism—capped by its CEO’s heated spat with a well-known comedian—has tarnished the brand’s image.
With market share and stock prices dropping, concerns loom over how the company will fare after lock-up expiry in November/February and whether it will qualify for global index inclusion.


Ola Electric: Price-Cut Gamble, Social Media Blunders, Slipping Sales – Is the Spark Fading?

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a> reportedly faces challenges with poor product service, leading to dissatisfied customers. This underscores the urgency to improve its service infrastructure and restore brand trust.</li>
<li>The Indian electric two-wheeler sector saw weak sales in August, following a robust July, with Ola experiencing a sharp decline in monthly volumes and a loss of market share.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maruti-suzuki-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:733:1" rel="noopener">Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)</a>  is gearing up for a January 2025 EV launch and is preparing to establish a 25,000-unit charging infrastructure in advance.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) reportedly faces challenges with poor product service, leading to dissatisfied customers. This underscores the urgency to improve its service infrastructure and restore brand trust.
The Indian electric two-wheeler sector saw weak sales in August, following a robust July, with Ola experiencing a sharp decline in monthly volumes and a loss of market share.
Meanwhile, Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)  is gearing up for a January 2025 EV launch and is preparing to establish a 25,000-unit charging infrastructure in advance.


Ola Electric's Negative Noise. Maruti Suzuki's Electric Plans: India EV Update

<ul>
<li>Investors seem concerned about poor visibility on Ola Electric's profitability given its aggressive pricing strategy.</li>
<li>Expect increasing production volumes and the resulting benefits of operating leverage to lead to operating profits, likely by next quarter.</li>
<li>Integrating in-house manufactured Lithium-ion cells into its two-wheeler EVs from FY2026 and higher Government incentive pay out in FY2025 to drive profit margins further.</li>
</ul>


Investors seem concerned about poor visibility on Ola Electric's profitability given its aggressive pricing strategy.
Expect increasing production volumes and the resulting benefits of operating leverage to lead to operating profits, likely by next quarter.
Integrating in-house manufactured Lithium-ion cells into its two-wheeler EVs from FY2026 and higher Government incentive pay out in FY2025 to drive profit margins further.


Ola Electric's Path to Profitability: Volumes, Cells and PLI

India

OLA Electric Mobility Limited manufactures electric vehicles. The Company focuses on designing, engineering, and manufacturing of electric scooters and bikes, as well as components like battery packs, motors, and vehicle frames. OLA Electric Mobility serves customers worldwide.

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Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)

Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Autos

We highlight key earnings and call takeaways from companies like Mahindra & Mahindra, Maruti Suzuki India, Ola Electric, and Tata Motors.

Pranav Bhavsar

Ola Electric's Volume Recovery: Eases Investor Concerns Ahead of Lock up Expiry on Nov 5th

Expect the stock to stay range bound with near term valuations in line with well-established two wheeler peers TVS Motors and Bajaj Auto.

Devi Subhakesan

Ola Electric's Negative Noise. Maruti Suzuki's Electric Plans: India EV Update

Reports of rising customer complaints highlight the need for faster ramp up in service infrastructure - a weak point for Ola Electric.

Devi Subhakesan

Ola Electric's Path to Profitability: Volumes, Cells and PLI

Ola electric has enough levers to drive up profitability. Its strategy to pursue growth can work to its advantage given upsides from operating...

Devi Subhakesan

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Autos

We highlight key earnings and call takeaways from companies like Mahindra & Mahindra, Maruti Suzuki India, Ola Electric, and Tata Motors.

Pranav Bhavsar

Ola Electric's Volume Recovery: Eases Investor Concerns Ahead of Lock up Expiry on Nov 5th

Expect the stock to stay range bound with near term valuations in line with well-established two wheeler peers TVS Motors and Bajaj Auto.

Devi Subhakesan

Ola Electric: Price-Cut Gamble, Social Media Blunders, Slipping Sales – Is the Spark Fading?

Ola's poor handling of customer issues and brand image is hurting sales. Stock performance hinges on market share recovery, likely impacting its...

Devi Subhakesan

Ola Electric's Negative Noise. Maruti Suzuki's Electric Plans: India EV Update

Reports of rising customer complaints highlight the need for faster ramp up in service infrastructure - a weak point for Ola Electric.

Devi Subhakesan

Ola Electric's Path to Profitability: Volumes, Cells and PLI

Ola electric has enough levers to drive up profitability. Its strategy to pursue growth can work to its advantage given upsides from operating...

Devi Subhakesan