Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Favorable Fx contributed positively in 9MFY25. On a Fx neutral basis, revenue growth is only 3% YoY, while adjusted operating profit growth is flat YoY.</li>
<li>Quality related expenses mar amidst another round of recall by FDA. China drags the profitability. </li>
<li>Olympus revised FY25 revenue guidance from ¥1,009B to ¥997.5B. Downward revision in profits too.</li>
</ul>


Favorable Fx contributed positively in 9MFY25. On a Fx neutral basis, revenue growth is only 3% YoY, while adjusted operating profit growth is flat YoY.
Quality related expenses mar amidst another round of recall by FDA. China drags the profitability. 
Olympus revised FY25 revenue guidance from ¥1,009B to ¥997.5B. Downward revision in profits too.


Olympus Corp (7733 JP): Fx Holds Turf in 9MFY25 Amid Subdued China; FY25 Guidance Revised Downward

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/olympus-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:356:1" rel="noopener">Olympus Corp (7733 JP)</a> shares retreated 17% over the last one month, dragged by resignation of the CEO and weak H1FY25 result. No definite time for CEO succession is announced.</li>
<li>Favorable Fx inflated H1FY25 result. On a Fx neutral basis, revenue growth is only 3% YoY, while adjusted operating profit growth is just 4% YoY.</li>
<li>Olympus has guided for 9% YoY revenue growth to ¥1,009B in FY25, indicating H2FY25 revenue of ¥535B (-9% YoY). ESD revenue guidance seems to be aggressive amid current macro backdrop.</li>
</ul>



Olympus Corp (7733 JP) shares retreated 17% over the last one month, dragged by resignation of the CEO and weak H1FY25 result. No definite time for CEO succession is announced.
Favorable Fx inflated H1FY25 result. On a Fx neutral basis, revenue growth is only 3% YoY, while adjusted operating profit growth is just 4% YoY.
Olympus has guided for 9% YoY revenue growth to ¥1,009B in FY25, indicating H2FY25 revenue of ¥535B (-9% YoY). ESD revenue guidance seems to be aggressive amid current macro backdrop.


Olympus Corp (7733 JP): One-Off Events Boost H1FY25 Result; Not Optimistic About FY25 Guidance

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/olympus-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:356:1" rel="noopener">Olympus Corp (7733 JP)</a> has announced a buyback plan for up to 60M shares, representing 5.15% of outstanding shares, by spending ¥100B from May 13 to December 31, 2024.</li>
<li>The company has posted mixed FY24 results, with revenue beating and operating and net profits missing guidance. Olympus has guided for just 9% revenue growth for FY25.</li>
<li>Overall business outlook of the company seems to be bleak. With limited upside potential expected, it will be wise to tender shares through the company’s buyback offer.</li>
</ul>



Olympus Corp (7733 JP) has announced a buyback plan for up to 60M shares, representing 5.15% of outstanding shares, by spending ¥100B from May 13 to December 31, 2024.
The company has posted mixed FY24 results, with revenue beating and operating and net profits missing guidance. Olympus has guided for just 9% revenue growth for FY25.
Overall business outlook of the company seems to be bleak. With limited upside potential expected, it will be wise to tender shares through the company’s buyback offer.


Olympus Corp (7733 JP): ¥100B Buyback Plan Offers an Attractive Exit Opportunity Amid Bleak Outlook

Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-intecc-co-ltd" target="_blank" rel="noopener">7747 Asahi Intec</a> announced FY06/25 OP guidance of Y25.2bn, close to street expectations, pointing to substantial upside. GPM guidance has increased and continuation of strong 4Q YoY sales is expected.</li>
<li>Seven days of short interest outstanding could lead to a short squeeze; Earnings briefing tomorrow reinforcing these trends should be a further catalyst for upside.</li>
<li>With short interest now low and limited potential for further gains after the recent rebound, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/olympus-corp" target="_blank" rel="noopener">7733 Olympus</a> appears to be losing momentum, especially with China sales continuing to flag.</li>
</ul>



7747 Asahi Intec announced FY06/25 OP guidance of Y25.2bn, close to street expectations, pointing to substantial upside. GPM guidance has increased and continuation of strong 4Q YoY sales is expected.
Seven days of short interest outstanding could lead to a short squeeze; Earnings briefing tomorrow reinforcing these trends should be a further catalyst for upside.
With short interest now low and limited potential for further gains after the recent rebound, 7733 Olympus appears to be losing momentum, especially with China sales continuing to flag.


Long 7747 Asahi Intec | Short 7733 Olympus

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/robosense-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39903:1" rel="noopener">Robosense Technology (2498 HK)</a> raised around US$126m in its Hong Kong IPO in Jan 2024. The lockup on its shareholders will expire soon.</li>
<li>The company provides LiDAR and perception solutions to its customers. As of March 2024, it had design wins for mass production of LiDAR products with 22 automotive OEMs and suppliers.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Robosense Technology (2498 HK) raised around US$126m in its Hong Kong IPO in Jan 2024. The lockup on its shareholders will expire soon.
The company provides LiDAR and perception solutions to its customers. As of March 2024, it had design wins for mass production of LiDAR products with 22 automotive OEMs and suppliers.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


Robosense IPO Lock-Up Expiry - US$2.8bn Lockup Expiry for 99% of the Stock, CCASS Movement

Japan

OLYMPUS CORPORATION manufactures optoelectronic products.  The Company's products include cameras, video sets, endoscopes for medicine and industrial use, microscopes, analytical equipment, office communication systems, laseroptical scanners, and ionic printers.

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Olympus Corp (7733 JP)