Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We currently see 1 change for the ASX20 Index, 2 changes for the ASX100 Index, 4 changes for the ASX200 Index, 10 adds/7 deletes for the ASX300 Index in March.</li>
<li>On average, the potential adds to each of the indices have outperformed the potential deletes with the largest outperformance for the ASX300 Index.</li>
<li>Shorts have continued to increase positions on the potential deletes while covering their positions on the potential adds. We expect there are large pre-positions on some of the stocks now.</li>
</ul>


We currently see 1 change for the ASX20 Index, 2 changes for the ASX100 Index, 4 changes for the ASX200 Index, 10 adds/7 deletes for the ASX300 Index in March.
On average, the potential adds to each of the indices have outperformed the potential deletes with the largest outperformance for the ASX300 Index.
Shorts have continued to increase positions on the potential deletes while covering their positions on the potential adds. We expect there are large pre-positions on some of the stocks now.


S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period (Nearly) Complete

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 3rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Coles, Bhp, Northern Star, Macquarie, Xero.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Feb 3rd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD16.3bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Coles, Bhp, Northern Star, Macquarie, Xero.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 3rd): Coles, Bhp, Northern Star, Macquarie, Xero

Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for S&amp;P ASX 20, 50, 100, 200, 300 in the run up to the March 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>There could be one change for ASX 20 and one change for ASX 100 while ASX 200 could see four ADDs/DELs.</li>
<li>For ASX 300, there could be 15 ADDs and 12 DELs in the March 2023 Rebalance including some high impact names based on days-to-trade.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for S&amp;P ASX 20, 50, 100, 200, 300 in the run up to the March 2023 Rebalance.
There could be one change for ASX 20 and one change for ASX 100 while ASX 200 could see four ADDs/DELs.
For ASX 300, there could be 15 ADDs and 12 DELs in the March 2023 Rebalance including some high impact names based on days-to-trade.


Quiddity Leaderboard-S&P/​​​​​​​​​​ASX Mar 23: Time to Be Bullish ASX 200 & 300 Potential ADDs

<ul>
<li>We currently see 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX100, 4 changes for the ASX 200 and 9 adds/ 6 deletes for the ASX300 Index in March.</li>
<li>Passive trackers will need to trade over 3 days of ADV on 13 stocks, over 5 days of ADV on 9 stocks and over 10x ADV on 4 stocks. </li>
<li>Shorts have been covering positions on stocks where there are expected to be passive inflows and increasing positions on stocks that are expected to have passive outflows.</li>
</ul>


We currently see 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX100, 4 changes for the ASX 200 and 9 adds/ 6 deletes for the ASX300 Index in March.
Passive trackers will need to trade over 3 days of ADV on 13 stocks, over 5 days of ADV on 9 stocks and over 10x ADV on 4 stocks. 
Shorts have been covering positions on stocks where there are expected to be passive inflows and increasing positions on stocks that are expected to have passive outflows.


S&P/​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: High Impact Changes in March

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> at the close of trading on 12 January.</li>
<li>Passive <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> trackers will receive <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pexa-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34716:1" rel="noopener">PEXA Group (PXA AU)</a> shares from their <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> holdings and will have to buy the rest from the market.</li>
<li>There will be selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pendal-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15795:1" rel="noopener">Pendal Group (PDL AU)</a> from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index trackers as well as from global trackers.</li>
</ul>



PEXA Group (PXA AU) will replace Pendal Group (PDL AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) at the close of trading on 12 January.
Passive S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) trackers will receive PEXA Group (PXA AU) shares from their Link Administration (LNK AU) holdings and will have to buy the rest from the market.
There will be selling in Pendal Group (PDL AU) from S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and S&amp;P/ASX 300 Index trackers as well as from global trackers.


ASX200 Index Rebalance: PEXA to Replace Pendal

Australia

Omni Bridgeway Limited provides investment management services. The Company offers claims securitization, litigation, funding, legal recovery, trading, and other related solutions. Omni Bridgeway serves customer worldwide.

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Omni Bridgeway (OBL AU)

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period (Nearly) Complete

We forecast 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX100, 4 for the ASX 200 & 10 adds/7 deletes for the ASX300 in March. Adds have outperformed deletes...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 3rd): Coles, Bhp, Northern Star, Macquarie, Xero

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Coles, Bhp, Northern Star, Macquarie, Xero.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard-S&P/ASX Mar 23: Time to Be Bullish ASX 200 & 300 Potential ADDs

The Potential ASX 200 & 300 ADDs basket has recently dipped against the ASX 200 index quite sharply and with roughly 6 weeks to Implementation, I...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: High Impact Changes in March

We currently see 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX100, 4 changes for the ASX 200 and 9 adds/ 6 deletes for the ASX300 Index in March. Lots of...

Brian Freitas

ASX200 Index Rebalance: PEXA to Replace Pendal

PEXA will replace Pendal in the ASX200 at the close on 12 January. We then expect another 4 index changes in March with impacts ranging from 2.5...

Brian Freitas

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

S&P/​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period (Nearly) Complete

We forecast 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX100, 4 for the ASX 200 & 10 adds/7 deletes for the ASX300 in March. Adds have outperformed deletes...

Brian Freitas

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Feb 3rd): Coles, Bhp, Northern Star, Macquarie, Xero

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Coles, Bhp, Northern Star, Macquarie, Xero.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard-S&P/​​​​​​​​​​ASX Mar 23: Time to Be Bullish ASX 200 & 300 Potential ADDs

The Potential ASX 200 & 300 ADDs basket has recently dipped against the ASX 200 index quite sharply and with roughly 6 weeks to Implementation, I...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: High Impact Changes in March

We currently see 1 change for the ASX20, 2 for the ASX100, 4 changes for the ASX 200 and 9 adds/ 6 deletes for the ASX300 Index in March. Lots of...

Brian Freitas

ASX200 Index Rebalance: PEXA to Replace Pendal

PEXA will replace Pendal in the ASX200 at the close on 12 January. We then expect another 4 index changes in March with impacts ranging from 2.5...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Review Period (Nearly) Complete

Quiddity Leaderboard-S&P/ASX Mar 23: Time to Be Bullish ASX 200 & 300 Potential ADDs

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: High Impact Changes in March