Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Disco numbers point to a dip in 2Q, although 3Q and beyond looks strong with new drivers emerging...buy excessive weakness.</li>
<li>TSMC maintained its capex targets commenting it wont be declining anytime soon.</li>
<li>Abbott Labs down on tariff impact although its CGM business remains robust and likely an opportunity for Omron.</li>
</ul>


Disco numbers point to a dip in 2Q, although 3Q and beyond looks strong with new drivers emerging...buy excessive weakness.
TSMC maintained its capex targets commenting it wont be declining anytime soon.
Abbott Labs down on tariff impact although its CGM business remains robust and likely an opportunity for Omron.


Japan Morning Connection: TSMC Raises the Bar Even Further, Although Follow Through Limited

<ul>
<li>Trump extending the implementation deadline leaves plenty of wiggle room for further negotiation.</li>
<li>Renesas should be helped by the Wolf's new restructuring hire and TPX FFW buying this month.</li>
<li>Samsung numbers weak with failed NVDA accreditation weighing on outlook.</li>
</ul>


Trump extending the implementation deadline leaves plenty of wiggle room for further negotiation.
Renesas should be helped by the Wolf's new restructuring hire and TPX FFW buying this month.
Samsung numbers weak with failed NVDA accreditation weighing on outlook.


Japan Morning Connection: Trumps Latest 25% Tariff Salvo on JP Unlikely to Be Final

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujikura-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10768:1" rel="noopener">Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP)</a> could be added to a global index at the end of November and there will be a lot of buying in the stock.</li>
<li>Following the rally in the stock, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujikura-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10768:1" rel="noopener">Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP)</a> trades expensive to the average and median of its peers on most valuation metrics.</li>
<li>The increase in cumulative excess volume in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujikura-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10768:1" rel="noopener">Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP)</a> over the last 3 months far outpaces the increase in its peers.</li>
</ul>



Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP) could be added to a global index at the end of November and there will be a lot of buying in the stock.
Following the rally in the stock, Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP) trades expensive to the average and median of its peers on most valuation metrics.
The increase in cumulative excess volume in Fujikura Ltd (5803 JP) over the last 3 months far outpaces the increase in its peers.


Fujikura (5803 JP): Positioning & Potential Passive Buying

<ul>
<li>Japan to follow US higher on the much better-than-expected jobs report and the yen back to 148.9</li>
<li>Exporters including the Autos with high US exposures as well as Inbound related laggards such as Isetan Mitsukoshi and Shiseido/Kose should see sentiment improve</li>
<li>The strong US data should also help the JP Shippers rebound after dropping -8.2% on Fri on the end of the US port workers strike</li>
</ul>


Japan to follow US higher on the much better-than-expected jobs report and the yen back to 148.9
Exporters including the Autos with high US exposures as well as Inbound related laggards such as Isetan Mitsukoshi and Shiseido/Kose should see sentiment improve
The strong US data should also help the JP Shippers rebound after dropping -8.2% on Fri on the end of the US port workers strike


Japan Morning Connection: Expect Rebound After Strong US Job Data

<ul>
<li>Sony price hikes in Japan to have a mild positive impact. The stock still looks attractive after positives from recent earnings seem to have been lost in the recent volatility.</li>
<li>PPIH continues to look attractive as a continued laggard as the market rotates out of the big retail/inbound winners such as Isetan Mitsukoshi.</li>
<li>7&amp;I clearly showing how anti-takeover they are effectively asking for Govt protection to ward off Canada’s Alimentation Couche-Tard takeover approach.</li>
</ul>


Sony price hikes in Japan to have a mild positive impact. The stock still looks attractive after positives from recent earnings seem to have been lost in the recent volatility.
PPIH continues to look attractive as a continued laggard as the market rotates out of the big retail/inbound winners such as Isetan Mitsukoshi.
7&amp;I clearly showing how anti-takeover they are effectively asking for Govt protection to ward off Canada’s Alimentation Couche-Tard takeover approach.


Japan Morning Connection: Sony, PPIH, 7&I

Japan

OMRON Corporation manufactures electronic components, equipment and systems used for factory automation. The Company provides products and services in a variety of fields including industrial automation, electronic components, automotive electronics, social systems such as ticket gate machines and traffic control, and healthcare.

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Omron Corp (6645 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: TSMC Raises the Bar Even Further, Although Follow Through Limited

Positive numbers from TMC had mixed follow through, any excessive weakness for Disco can be an opportunity to buy, Abbott Labs down on tarrif costs.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trumps Latest 25% Tariff Salvo on JP Unlikely to Be Final

Risk off for Tech and AI in the US. Fallout for Tesla after Musk announced forming a new political party. Samsung struggles with weak numbers due...

Andrew Jackson

Fujikura (5803 JP): Positioning & Potential Passive Buying

The increased market cap could lead to Fujikura being added to passive portfolios at the end of Nov. Positioning in the stock is larger than in...

Brian Freitas

Japan Morning Connection: Expect Rebound After Strong US Job Data

Japan's market is expected to rise following the US jobs report, benefiting exporters and shippers after a recent drop.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Sony, PPIH, 7&I

Sony's stock remains attractive as a long, PPIH is a laggard worth considering, and 7&I seeks government protection against takeover.

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: TSMC Raises the Bar Even Further, Although Follow Through Limited

Positive numbers from TMC had mixed follow through, any excessive weakness for Disco can be an opportunity to buy, Abbott Labs down on tarrif costs.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Trumps Latest 25% Tariff Salvo on JP Unlikely to Be Final

Risk off for Tech and AI in the US. Fallout for Tesla after Musk announced forming a new political party. Samsung struggles with weak numbers due...

Andrew Jackson

Fujikura (5803 JP): Positioning & Potential Passive Buying

The increased market cap could lead to Fujikura being added to passive portfolios at the end of Nov. Positioning in the stock is larger than in...

Brian Freitas

Japan Morning Connection: Expect Rebound After Strong US Job Data

​Japan's market is expected to rise following the US jobs report, benefiting exporters and shippers after a recent drop.

Andrew Jackson

Japan Morning Connection: Sony, PPIH, 7&I

​Sony's stock remains attractive as a long, PPIH is a laggard worth considering, and 7&I seeks government protection against takeover.

Andrew Jackson

Japan's market is expected to rise following the US jobs report, benefiting exporters and shippers after a recent drop.

Sony's stock remains attractive as a long, PPIH is a laggard worth considering, and 7&I seeks government protection against takeover.