Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).</li>
<li>We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
We will maintain our bullish view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 5700-5785 and $120-$121 (up from 5500 and $115).
We are upgrading Korea(KOSPI) to overweight; we discussed May 30 several Financials and other stocks to buy. KOSPI has exploded higher since, and is now reversing its 2-year RS downtrend.


Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We currently forecast 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 10 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 11 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>From the new listings, 2 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX)</a> and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in September.</li>
</ul>


We currently forecast 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 10 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 11 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
From the new listings, 2 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.
There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for the NSE Nifty Next 50 Index (NIFTYJR INDEX) and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in September.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Plenty of Change With More Likely

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The start of 2025 has been particularly turbulent for Indian equities as broader market sentiment soured due to elevated valuations, foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows, and global macro uncertainty. </li>
<li>However, amid this volatility, one signal stood out: insider trading activity.</li>
<li>In this report, we deep-dive into insider buying and selling trends from January 1 to March 3, 2025, to uncover where company promoters and top executives are placing their bets</li>
</ul>


The start of 2025 has been particularly turbulent for Indian equities as broader market sentiment soured due to elevated valuations, foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows, and global macro uncertainty. 
However, amid this volatility, one signal stood out: insider trading activity.
In this report, we deep-dive into insider buying and selling trends from January 1 to March 3, 2025, to uncover where company promoters and top executives are placing their bets


Insiders' Playbook: Who’s Buying and Selling Amid Market Turbulence?

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India's pharma landscape is gearing up for a seismic shift as <strong>Semaglutide</strong>, used in diabetes and obesity, faces patent expiry in India by March 2026.</li>
<li>With the global Semaglutide market expected to hit $56.75 billion by 2030, India’s low obesity drug penetration and cost-sensitive population make it a high-potential, underpenetrated market. </li>
<li>The Semaglutide opportunity could rival Revlimid for Indian players. Natco, with FTF in the US. Expect multi-year growth runway, but execution, supply chain complexity, and regulatory hurdles remain key monitorables.</li>
</ul>


India's pharma landscape is gearing up for a seismic shift as Semaglutide, used in diabetes and obesity, faces patent expiry in India by March 2026.
With the global Semaglutide market expected to hit $56.75 billion by 2030, India’s low obesity drug penetration and cost-sensitive population make it a high-potential, underpenetrated market. 
The Semaglutide opportunity could rival Revlimid for Indian players. Natco, with FTF in the US. Expect multi-year growth runway, but execution, supply chain complexity, and regulatory hurdles remain key monitorables.


Semaglutide Patent Expiry: The Next Big Unlock in Global Pharma

<ul>
<li>OneSource is riding the surging demand for GLP-1 drugs, a market projected to reach $30 Billion by 2030, with its expertise in Drug-Device Combination (DDC) solutions.</li>
<li>OneSource is projected to achieve revenue of $350-$400 million over the next 3-4 years from $145 million in 2024 , with an impressive EBITDA margin approaching 40% from 25% in 2024.</li>
<li>OneSource is expected to receive Listing Approval from the Stock Exchanges during Q4 FY25</li>
</ul>


OneSource is riding the surging demand for GLP-1 drugs, a market projected to reach $30 Billion by 2030, with its expertise in Drug-Device Combination (DDC) solutions.
OneSource is projected to achieve revenue of $350-$400 million over the next 3-4 years from $145 million in 2024 , with an impressive EBITDA margin approaching 40% from 25% in 2024.
OneSource is expected to receive Listing Approval from the Stock Exchanges during Q4 FY25


Event Driven: Demerger of OneSource: A Multi-Modality CDMO

India

Onesource Specialty Pharma Limited operates as a pharmaceutical company. The Company offers end-to-end development and manufacturing of drug-device combinations and drug substances, soft gelatin capsules, complex injectables, and oral technologies. Onesource Specialty Pharma serves customers in India.

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Onesource Specialty Pharma (ONESOURC IN)

Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

MSCI $ACWI and Emerging Market $EEM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea $EWY to Overweight; Downgrading Broad Europe, but staying Overweight Germany,...

Vermilion Research

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Plenty of Change With More Likely

We currently forecast 40 migrations for the AMFI July reclassification. There are 2 new listings that could be added to MidCap. The forecast upward...

Brian Freitas

Insiders' Playbook: Who’s Buying and Selling Amid Market Turbulence?

Indian equities face turbulence in early 2025 due to various factors, but insider trading activity provides a signal amid the volatility.

Nimish Maheshwari

Semaglutide Patent Expiry: The Next Big Unlock in Global Pharma

India's pharma industry prepares for Semaglutide patent expiry in 2026, offering a high-potential market opportunity for Indian players like Natco...

Nimish Maheshwari

Event Driven: Demerger of OneSource: A Multi-Modality CDMO

OneSource poised for growth in the booming GLP-1 drug market, projecting revenue of $350-$400 million by 2024 with strong EBITDA margin and...

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Upgrading Korea to Overweight; MSCI ACWI and Emerging Market Breakouts

MSCI $ACWI and Emerging Market $EEM Breakouts; Upgrading Korea $EWY to Overweight; Downgrading Broad Europe, but staying Overweight Germany,...

Vermilion Research

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Plenty of Change With More Likely

We currently forecast 40 migrations for the AMFI July reclassification. There are 2 new listings that could be added to MidCap. The forecast upward...

Brian Freitas

Insiders' Playbook: Who’s Buying and Selling Amid Market Turbulence?

​Indian equities face turbulence in early 2025 due to various factors, but insider trading activity provides a signal amid the volatility.

Nimish Maheshwari

Semaglutide Patent Expiry: The Next Big Unlock in Global Pharma

​India's pharma industry prepares for Semaglutide patent expiry in 2026, offering a high-potential market opportunity for Indian players like Natco...

Nimish Maheshwari

Event Driven: Demerger of OneSource: A Multi-Modality CDMO

​OneSource poised for growth in the booming GLP-1 drug market, projecting revenue of $350-$400 million by 2024 with strong EBITDA margin and...

Nimish Maheshwari

Indian equities face turbulence in early 2025 due to various factors, but insider trading activity provides a signal amid the volatility.

India's pharma industry prepares for Semaglutide patent expiry in 2026, offering a high-potential market opportunity for Indian players like Natco...

OneSource poised for growth in the booming GLP-1 drug market, projecting revenue of $350-$400 million by 2024 with strong EBITDA margin and...