Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onewo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36204:1" rel="noopener">Onewo (2602 HK)</a> has announced the full conversion of 1.05bn Domestic Shares and Unlisted Foreign Shares to H-shares. The increased market cap will help in HSCI inclusion.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onewo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36204:1" rel="noopener">Onewo (2602 HK)</a> should be added to the HSCI in March and will be added to Southbound Stock Connect soon after index inclusion.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onewo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36204:1" rel="noopener">Onewo (2602 HK)</a> has drastically underperformed its peers since listing and the HSCI inclusion could mark a turning point for the stock.</li>
</ul>



Onewo (2602 HK) has announced the full conversion of 1.05bn Domestic Shares and Unlisted Foreign Shares to H-shares. The increased market cap will help in HSCI inclusion.

Onewo (2602 HK) should be added to the HSCI in March and will be added to Southbound Stock Connect soon after index inclusion.

Onewo (2602 HK) has drastically underperformed its peers since listing and the HSCI inclusion could mark a turning point for the stock.


Onewo (2602 HK) - Full Circulation & HSCI Inclusion

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onewo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36204:1" rel="noopener">Onewo (2602 HK)</a> (OST) had raised around US$730m in its Hong Kong IPO in Sep 2022. Its one-year lockup is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>OST is a property management service provider in China, primarily owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vanke-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18368:1" rel="noopener">China Vanke (H) (2202 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Onewo (2602 HK) (OST) had raised around US$730m in its Hong Kong IPO in Sep 2022. Its one-year lockup is set to expire soon.
OST is a property management service provider in China, primarily owned by China Vanke (H) (2202 HK).
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Onewo IPO Lock-Up - US$1bn+ Lockup Release, Parent Could Still Sell

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Onewo’s 1H23 results missed the market expectation but declared an interim dividend for the first time after IPO.</li><li>The Company’s Onewo Town strategy is becoming more convincing evidenced by better margin.</li><li>We think the controversial topic of bidding contract with capital investment is actually a good strategy given the reasons explained below. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Onewo’s 1H23 results missed the market expectation but declared an interim dividend for the first time after IPO.The Company’s Onewo Town strategy is becoming more convincing evidenced by better margin.We think the controversial topic of bidding contract with capital investment is actually a good strategy given the reasons explained below. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Onewo (2602 HK) – 1H23 Earnings Missed.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest number of IPOs and placements.</li>
<li>We ended 2022 with an accuracy rate of 74.6% across 55 IPOs that we covered and 70.5% across 78 placements. </li>
<li>For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.</li>
</ul>


2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest number of IPOs and placements.
We ended 2022 with an accuracy rate of 74.6% across 55 IPOs that we covered and 70.5% across 78 placements. 
For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.


Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We had a channel check on property agencies in Beijing during the Labour Day holiday and found that 1) the number of visits increased but has been partly translated to increase in transactions.</li><li>2) Main reasons that kept potential buyers on the side-line are falling house price and bigger discount in new home project with higher proportion of completed house available.</li><li>High-frequency data showed that daily avg. new home transactions in 30 major cities during the Labour Day holiday of 2024 only recovered to 39% of 2023’s level, mainly dragged by Tier-3 cities. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We had a channel check on property agencies in Beijing during the Labour Day holiday and found that 1) the number of visits increased but has been partly translated to increase in transactions.2) Main reasons that kept potential buyers on the side-line are falling house price and bigger discount in new home project with higher proportion of completed house available.High-frequency data showed that daily avg. new home transactions in 30 major cities during the Labour Day holiday of 2024 only recovered to 39% of 2023’s level, mainly dragged by Tier-3 cities. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - Weekly highlight: Holiday sales update and takeaway from channel check in Beijing

China

Onewo Inc. operates as a property management service provider. The Company operates and manages residential communities, workspaces, public premises, and others. Onewo provides its services throughout Hong Kong.

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Onewo (2602 HK)

Onewo (2602 HK) - Full Circulation & HSCI Inclusion

Onewo has announced full circulation of H-shares. That should result in HSCI and Stock Connect inclusion in March. Onewo has underperformed its...

Brian Freitas

Onewo IPO Lock-Up - US$1bn+ Lockup Release, Parent Could Still Sell

Onewo (2602 HK) (OST) had raised around US$730m in its Hong Kong IPO in Sep 2022. Its one-year lockup is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Onewo (2602 HK) – 1H23 Earnings Missed.

We think the controversial topic of bidding contract with capital investment is actually a good strategy given the reasons explained below.

CMB International

Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest...

Sumeet Singh

Property - Weekly highlight: Holiday sales update and takeaway from channel check in Beijing

We had a channel check on property agencies in Beijing during the Labour Day holiday and found that 1) the number of visits increased but has been...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)