IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Midea Real Estate Holding  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 25 June, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-real-estate-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27450:1" rel="noopener">Midea Real Estate Holding (3990 HK)</a> disclosed an in-specie distribution of its PD&amp;S business through a scrip or cash (HK$5.90 per share, 57.33% premium to undisturbed price).</li>
<li>The key condition will be approval of the distribution by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection).</li>
<li>Midea RE will remain listed with an asset-light retained business, which is estimated to be worth HK$1.93. The Group's estimated value is HK$7.83, a 17.6% upside to the last close.</li>
</ul>


On 25 June, Midea Real Estate Holding (3990 HK) disclosed an in-specie distribution of its PD&amp;S business through a scrip or cash (HK$5.90 per share, 57.33% premium to undisturbed price).
The key condition will be approval of the distribution by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of all disinterested shareholders rejection).
Midea RE will remain listed with an asset-light retained business, which is estimated to be worth HK$1.93. The Group's estimated value is HK$7.83, a 17.6% upside to the last close.


Midea Real Estate (3990 HK): An In-Specie Distribution to Unlock Value

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>NBS data in 5M24 weakened as market expected.</li><li>The REI decline widened to -10.1% from -9.8% in 4M24 given stagnant land purchases and new starts.</li><li>The GFA completion decline narrowed on a low base but the scale was still the lowest since Jun-22 given less funding support for “home delivery”. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS data in 5M24 weakened as market expected.The REI decline widened to -10.1% from -9.8% in 4M24 given stagnant land purchases and new starts.The GFA completion decline narrowed on a low base but the scale was still the lowest since Jun-22 given less funding support for “home delivery”. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - NBS 5M24: REI continued weakening, sales structure remained skewed to higher-tier cities

Analyst

Steve

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/onewo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36204:1" rel="noopener">Onewo (2602 HK)</a>, a leading China property management company with the controlling shareholder being <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-vanke-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18368:1" rel="noopener">China Vanke (H) (2202 HK)</a>, announced a major share repurchase mandate last night.</li>
<li>The company intends to repurchase its shares in the open market up to HKD5.8bn, which is around 20% of the current market cap. </li>
<li>The company is trading at 13x 2024E PE on around 15% net profit growth in 2024E, and at 5% forward dividend yield. </li>
</ul>



Onewo (2602 HK), a leading China property management company with the controlling shareholder being China Vanke (H) (2202 HK), announced a major share repurchase mandate last night.
The company intends to repurchase its shares in the open market up to HKD5.8bn, which is around 20% of the current market cap. 
The company is trading at 13x 2024E PE on around 15% net profit growth in 2024E, and at 5% forward dividend yield. 


Onewo (2602 HK):  Major Share Repurchase Mandate Announced (Up To HKD5.8bn, 20% Of Current MKT CAP)

<ul><li>Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen have stepped up their policy relaxation efforts on two dimensions including purchase restrictions and the mortgage loan.</li><li>By analysing the policy timeline and specifics in four cities, we think Beijing still has room for policy relaxation in both dimensions.</li><li>We believe that 1) policy easing may provide a marginal stimulus to property sales as it has indeed unlocked the eligibility of a certain range of potential buyers. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen have stepped up their policy relaxation efforts on two dimensions including purchase restrictions and the mortgage loan.By analysing the policy timeline and specifics in four cities, we think Beijing still has room for policy relaxation in both dimensions.We believe that 1) policy easing may provide a marginal stimulus to property sales as it has indeed unlocked the eligibility of a certain range of potential buyers. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - Weekly highlight: Awaiting more positive signs on property sales

<ul><li>Relaxation of demand-related policies continued in high-tier cities and financing related policy saw tangible progress.</li><li>High-frequency data showed that both primary and secondary home sales have narrowed 1ppt on its YTD decline to -41%/-14% as of 21 May.</li><li>It seems that the full removal of purchase restrictions is showing a positive impact. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Relaxation of demand-related policies continued in high-tier cities and financing related policy saw tangible progress.High-frequency data showed that both primary and secondary home sales have narrowed 1ppt on its YTD decline to -41%/-14% as of 21 May.It seems that the full removal of purchase restrictions is showing a positive impact. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - Chengdu & Hangzhou Show Initial Improvement After Removal of Purchase Restrictions

China

Onewo Inc. operates as a property management service provider. The Company operates and manages residential communities, workspaces, public premises, and others. Onewo provides its services throughout Hong Kong.

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Onewo (2602 HK)

Midea Real Estate (3990 HK): An In-Specie Distribution to Unlock Value

After the distribution of the asset-heavy business, Midea RE will remain listed as an asset-light business, estimated to be worth HK$1.93. The...

Arun George

Property - NBS 5M24: REI continued weakening, sales structure remained skewed to higher-tier cities

NBS data in 5M24 weakened as market expected. The REI decline widened to -10.1% from -9.8% in 4M24 given stagnant land purchases and new starts.

CMB International

Property - Weekly highlight: Awaiting more positive signs on property sales

Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen have stepped up their policy relaxation efforts on two dimensions including purchase restrictions and the mortgage...

CMB International

Property - Chengdu & Hangzhou Show Initial Improvement After Removal of Purchase Restrictions

High-frequency data showed that both primary and secondary home sales have narrowed 1ppt on its YTD decline to -41%/-14% as of 21 May.

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Midea Real Estate (3990 HK): An In-Specie Distribution to Unlock Value

After the distribution of the asset-heavy business, Midea RE will remain listed as an asset-light business, estimated to be worth HK$1.93. The...

Arun George

Property - NBS 5M24: REI continued weakening, sales structure remained skewed to higher-tier cities

NBS data in 5M24 weakened as market expected. The REI decline widened to -10.1% from -9.8% in 4M24 given stagnant land purchases and new starts.

CMB International

Onewo (2602 HK): Major Share Repurchase Mandate Announced (Up To HKD5.8bn, 20% Of Current MKT CAP)

Onewo (2602 HK), a leading China property management company, announced a major share repurchase mandate last night. The company intends to...

Steve

Property - Weekly highlight: Awaiting more positive signs on property sales

Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen have stepped up their policy relaxation efforts on two dimensions including purchase restrictions and the mortgage...

CMB International

Property - Chengdu & Hangzhou Show Initial Improvement After Removal of Purchase Restrictions

High-frequency data showed that both primary and secondary home sales have narrowed 1ppt on its YTD decline to -41%/-14% as of 21 May.

CMB International