Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Quantitative Analysis

<div><p>The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.</p></div><div><p>There was no report from the SFC this week since Friday was a holiday. The report should be published on Wednesday when markets reopen. For the week from 29 March - 1 April, the highest shorts in notional terms were on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent Holdings (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tracker-fund-of-hong-kong-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29257:1" rel="noopener">Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc-a55ca720-5968-48f0-8194-ac94390d065c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32212:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (9888 HK)</a>. </p></div><div><p>In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/base-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28353:1" rel="noopener">BASE Inc (4477 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gmo-payment-gateway-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1492:1" rel="noopener">GMO Payment Gateway (3769 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/freee-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28424:1" rel="noopener">freee (4478 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sanken-electric-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6073:1" rel="noopener">Sanken Electric (6707 JP)</a> while shorts decreased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eneos-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:638:1" rel="noopener">ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-airport-terminal-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18034:1" rel="noopener">Japan Airport Terminal Co (9706 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsubishi-ufj-lease-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1467:1" rel="noopener">Mitsubishi UFJ Lease &amp; Finance (8593 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/change-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27414:1" rel="noopener">Change Inc (3962 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benext-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17685:1" rel="noopener">BeNEXT Group (2154 JP)</a>. Shorts increased in the Information Technology and Indsutrials sectors, and decreased in the the Energy sector.</p></div><div><p>In Korea, short increased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naver-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16029:1" rel="noopener">Naver Corp (035420 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:155:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS)</a> while shorts decreased on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-biologics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22932:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Biologics Co., (207940 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netmarble-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22839:1" rel="noopener">Netmarble Corporation (251270 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/posco-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12421:1" rel="noopener">Posco Chemical Co Ltd (003670 KS)</a>. </p></div><div><p>Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/inventec-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20856:1" rel="noopener">Inventec Corp (2356 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yageo-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13212:1" rel="noopener">Yageo Corporation (2327 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/richwave-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18629:1" rel="noopener">Richwave Technology (4968 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15350:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement (1102 TT)</a> while shorts were covered on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">TSMC (2330 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6450:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/au-optronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6704:1" rel="noopener">AU Optronics (2409 TT)</a>. </p></div>

The Asia Short Interest weekly looks at moves in market wide short interest and highlights movements in stock specific short interest across Hong Kong, Japan, Korea and Taiwan using the last available data published by the relevant authorities.There was no report from the SFC this week since Friday was a holiday. The report should be published on Wednesday when markets reopen. For the week from 29 March - 1 April, the highest shorts in notional terms were on Tencent Holdings (700 HK), Tracker Fund of Hong Kong Ltd (2800 HK), Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK), Meituan (3690 HK) and Baidu (9888 HK). In Japan, stocks that saw the most shorts were BASE Inc (4477 JP), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), GMO Payment Gateway (3769 JP), freee (4478 JP) and Sanken Electric (6707 JP) while shorts decreased on ENEOS Holdings (5020 JP), Japan Airport Terminal Co (9706 JP), Mitsubishi UFJ Lease &amp; Finance (8593 JP), Change Inc (3962 JP) and BeNEXT Group (2154 JP). Shorts increased in the Information Technology and Indsutrials sectors, and decreased in the the Energy sector.In Korea, short increased on Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), SK Hynix (000660 KS), Naver Corp (035420 KS) and Hyundai Motor Co (005380 KS) while shorts decreased on Celltrion Inc (068270 KS), Samsung Biologics Co., (207940 KS), Netmarble Corporation (251270 KS) and Posco Chemical Co Ltd (003670 KS). Stocks in Taiwan that saw the highest increase in shorts were Inventec Corp (2356 TT), Yageo Corporation (2327 TT), Richwave Technology (4968 TT) and Asia Cement (1102 TT) while shorts were covered on TSMC (2330 TT), Mediatek Inc (2454 TT), United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT) and AU Optronics (2409 TT). 

Asia Short Interest: Tencent, Ping An, Baidu, BASE, Toshiba, GMO Payment, BeNext, Inventec, Mediatek

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<p>In January and February we saw a large wave of TSE1 Section Transfers as many small cap names rushed to get promoted before the new (and more stringent) Section Transfer Requirements were implemented. In contrast, not a single TSE1 Section Transfer was announced in the month of March 2021. </p>
<p>However, this is only the calm before the storm.</p>
<p>In April 2021, we are expecting dozens of companies to enjoy TOPIX Index upweights as a result of the annual liquidity factor review (and this will mean dozens of downweights too). On the other hand, although fewer companies will qualify under the new rules, small-cap companies could use M&amp;A as an alternative route to Section Transfers to meet criteria as discussed below in this insight.</p>
<p>Furthermore, I have discussed the changes to Quiddity's pre-events watchlist and provided performance updates for one "Live" event stock which is expected to have its Inclusion event at the end of April 2021 and 9 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of January 2021 and February 2021. </p>

In January and February we saw a large wave of TSE1 Section Transfers as many small cap names rushed to get promoted before the new (and more stringent) Section Transfer Requirements were implemented. In contrast, not a single TSE1 Section Transfer was announced in the month of March 2021. 
However, this is only the calm before the storm.
In April 2021, we are expecting dozens of companies to enjoy TOPIX Index upweights as a result of the annual liquidity factor review (and this will mean dozens of downweights too). On the other hand, although fewer companies will qualify under the new rules, small-cap companies could use M&amp;A as an alternative route to Section Transfers to meet criteria as discussed below in this insight.
Furthermore, I have discussed the changes to Quiddity's pre-events watchlist and provided performance updates for one "Live" event stock which is expected to have its Inclusion event at the end of April 2021 and 9 "Post" event stocks that completed their Inclusion Events at the end of January 2021 and February 2021. 

<div class="content-highlight"><p><em>In late-January, we witnessed the announcement of a merger between temporary staffing companies <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trust-tech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17685:1" rel="noopener">BeNEXT Group (2154 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yumeshin-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12939:1" rel="noopener">Yumeshin Holdings (2362 JP)</a>.</strong> I discussed this Deal in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/benext-yumeshin-merger-interesting-fundamentals-and-a-topix-index-event" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:47566" rel="noopener">BeNEXT - Yumeshin Merger: Interesting Fundamentals and a TOPIX Index Event</a> explaining why I was BULLISH. Shares in both companies have rallied 25%+ in less than 2 months.  </em></p></div><p><strong>Now we have a similar situation again. </strong></p><p>Japan-based waste water management company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/takeei-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7936:1" rel="noopener">Takeei Corp (2151 JP)</a> and metal recycling company <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rever-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32218:1" rel="noopener">Rever Holdings Corp (5690 JP)</a> announced after market-close on 18th March 2021 (<a href="https://ssl4.eir-parts.net/doc/2151/tdnet/1945449/00.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">J-only</a>) that they had agreed to merge in a transaction that will see both companies joined under a new combined holding company. </p><p>According to their announcement, the merger is expected to be effective on 1st October 2021 which will also be the listing date for the new combined entity.  </p><p>This too is an interesting small cap situation.</p>

In late-January, we witnessed the announcement of a merger between temporary staffing companies BeNEXT Group (2154 JP) and Yumeshin Holdings (2362 JP). I discussed this Deal in BeNEXT - Yumeshin Merger: Interesting Fundamentals and a TOPIX Index Event explaining why I was BULLISH. Shares in both companies have rallied 25%+ in less than 2 months.  Now we have a similar situation again. Japan-based waste water management company Takeei Corp (2151 JP) and metal recycling company Rever Holdings Corp (5690 JP) announced after market-close on 18th March 2021 (J-only) that they had agreed to merge in a transaction that will see both companies joined under a new combined holding company. According to their announcement, the merger is expected to be effective on 1st October 2021 which will also be the listing date for the new combined entity.  This too is an interesting small cap situation.

Takeei (2151 JP) - Rever (5690 JP) Merger: TOPIX Event to Be Triggered

<p>Japan based temporary staffing companies <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trust-tech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17685:1" rel="noopener">BeNEXT Group (2154 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yumeshin-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12939:1" rel="noopener">Yumeshin Holdings (2362 JP)</a> announced on Friday (after close) that they had agreed to merge.</p><p>Following the completion of this transaction <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trust-tech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17685:1" rel="noopener">BeNEXT Group (2154 JP)</a> will be the surviving entity and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yumeshin-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12939:1" rel="noopener">Yumeshin Holdings (2362 JP)</a> will be the extinct entity. </p><p>The exchange ratio is 0.63 shares of BeNEXT Group for each share of Yumeshin Holdings. </p><p>The Merger is expected to be Effective on 1st April 2021. </p><p>In this insight we take a look at the likelihood of Deal completion, the fundamentals of these companies, and the TOPIX Index Event which accompanies the deal.</p>

Japan based temporary staffing companies BeNEXT Group (2154 JP) and Yumeshin Holdings (2362 JP) announced on Friday (after close) that they had agreed to merge.Following the completion of this transaction BeNEXT Group (2154 JP) will be the surviving entity and Yumeshin Holdings (2362 JP) will be the extinct entity. The exchange ratio is 0.63 shares of BeNEXT Group for each share of Yumeshin Holdings. The Merger is expected to be Effective on 1st April 2021. In this insight we take a look at the likelihood of Deal completion, the fundamentals of these companies, and the TOPIX Index Event which accompanies the deal.

BeNEXT - Yumeshin Merger: Interesting Fundamentals and a TOPIX Index Event

Japan

Open Up Group Inc. provides temporary help services. The Company provides personnel staffing services, technician staffing services, overseas staffing services, and other services. Open Up Group also provides office building leasing, restaurants management, vocational training, and other services.

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Open Up Group (2154 JP)

Asia Short Interest: Tencent, Ping An, Baidu, BASE, Toshiba, GMO Payment, BeNext, Inventec, Mediatek

The Insight looks at large short interest movements across HK, Japan, Korea and Taiwan stocks and highlights large increases/decreases in shorts to...

Brian Freitas

TOPIX Inclusion Trade Summary: Mar 2021

The March 2021 TOPIX Index Inclusion Event and Pre-Event Summary, with links to all the greatest hits. The model performed as expected. The best...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Takeei (2151 JP) - Rever (5690 JP) Merger: TOPIX Event to Be Triggered

Takeei and Rever Holdings have announced a scrip merger and formation of a Holding Company for October 1st. The deal should pass the AGM/EGMs....

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

BeNEXT - Yumeshin Merger: Interesting Fundamentals and a TOPIX Index Event

A merger between two similar companies, announced and effective in a hurry. The EGMs are end-March for Merger Effective Date April 1. This is more...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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