Leading International Investment Research, Edison Investment Research

Edison Investment Research

Leading International Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

Equity Bottom-Up

Following the 2017 commercial launch of partner Novartis’s Kymriah (a CD19-targeting CAR-T that is approved for pALL and DLBCL), Oxford Biomedica (OXB) is the only FDA-approved lentiviral vector manufacturer worldwide. Validation of its capabilities continues with the recent licence and clinical supply agreement (LSA) with Juno Therapeutics (part of BMS group), a pioneer in cell and gene therapy research. The LSA grants Juno a non-exclusive licence to OXB’s LentiVector platform for its application in a number of novel CAR-T and TCR-T programmes. This is a significant deal, albeit early stage, in terms of multiple programmes and further diversifies OXB’s revenue streams. As these assets move towards approval, commercial manufacturing supply provides further upside. Our valuation of OXB increases to £718m.

Following the 2017 commercial launch of partner Novartis’s Kymriah (a CD19-targeting CAR-T that is approved for pALL and DLBCL), Oxford Biomedica (OXB) is the only FDA-approved lentiviral vector manufacturer worldwide. Validation of its capabilities continues with the recent licence and clinical supply agreement (LSA) with Juno Therapeutics (part of BMS group), a pioneer in cell and gene therapy research. The LSA grants Juno a non-exclusive licence to OXB’s LentiVector platform for its application in a number of novel CAR-T and TCR-T programmes. This is a significant deal, albeit early stage, in terms of multiple programmes and further diversifies OXB’s revenue streams. As these assets move towards approval, commercial manufacturing supply provides further upside. Our valuation of OXB increases to £718m.

Oxford Biomedica - Juno deal expands CAR-T revenue streams

Oxford Biomedica (OXB) is a pioneer and global leader in the development and manufacture of commercial-scale lentiviral vectors (LVV), a critical component of cell and gene therapies. Ongoing investment in manufacturing capacity and R&D is imperative to reap economic returns in this highly innovative and potentially lucrative therapy area, which has witnessed a step up in investment globally. Multiple deals in 2019 included an expansion of its commercial supply agreement with Novartis by five years and R&D partnerships with Santen and Microsoft. We expect further platform deals to be announced in 2020, as OXB exploits its position as the only FDA-approved commercial-scale LVV manufacturer. In the long term, much value resides in OXB’s ability to develop and monetise its own gene therapies. We value OXB at £692m.

Oxford Biomedica (OXB) is a pioneer and global leader in the development and manufacture of commercial-scale lentiviral vectors (LVV), a critical component of cell and gene therapies. Ongoing investment in manufacturing capacity and R&D is imperative to reap economic returns in this highly innovative and potentially lucrative therapy area, which has witnessed a step up in investment globally. Multiple deals in 2019 included an expansion of its commercial supply agreement with Novartis by five years and R&D partnerships with Santen and Microsoft. We expect further platform deals to be announced in 2020, as OXB exploits its position as the only FDA-approved commercial-scale LVV manufacturer. In the long term, much value resides in OXB’s ability to develop and monetise its own gene therapies. We value OXB at £692m.

Oxford Biomedica - OxBox investment to aid future growth

Oxford Biomedica (OXB) has announced the expansion of its commercial supply agreement with Novartis by five years. While expected, this removes any uncertainty around the future of the partnership and is a validation of OXB’s investment in new manufacturing facilities. Novartis is now committed to paying OXB a minimum of $75m (for vector batches) in manufacturing revenue over the five-year extension. Additionally, OXB will be paid a mid-single digit £m facility reservation fee. As part of this, OXB will dedicate some of its new 7,800m2 manufacturing facility (OxBox) to Novartis while also ensuring that at least two of its GMP facilities are capable of commercial supply, essentially ensuring a dual-sourced supply if the need arose. We value OXB at £692m vs £673m previously.

Oxford Biomedica (OXB) has announced the expansion of its commercial supply agreement with Novartis by five years. While expected, this removes any uncertainty around the future of the partnership and is a validation of OXB’s investment in new manufacturing facilities. Novartis is now committed to paying OXB a minimum of $75m (for vector batches) in manufacturing revenue over the five-year extension. Additionally, OXB will be paid a mid-single digit £m facility reservation fee. As part of this, OXB will dedicate some of its new 7,800m2 manufacturing facility (OxBox) to Novartis while also ensuring that at least two of its GMP facilities are capable of commercial supply, essentially ensuring a dual-sourced supply if the need arose. We value OXB at £692m vs £673m previously.

Oxford Biomedica  - Novartis extends commercial supply agreement

Oxford Biomedica’s (OXB) interim results highlight strong operational and financial momentum to date. The Novo Holdings equity investment (£53.5m) in May has enabled OXB to fully repay the debt facility, effectively strengthening the balance sheet. It is investing ahead of increasing demand for its lentiviral vector manufacturing capacity with the build-out of OxBox. The new facility will more than double capacity and is expected to be ready for commercial vector production in H120. Top-line growth continues to benefit from the near-term ramp-up of Kymriah and rapid advancement of partnered asset AXO-Lenti-PD (Axovant), crystallising in a $15m development milestone payment. We value OXB at £673m.

Oxford Biomedica’s (OXB) interim results highlight strong operational and financial momentum to date. The Novo Holdings equity investment (£53.5m) in May has enabled OXB to fully repay the debt facility, effectively strengthening the balance sheet. It is investing ahead of increasing demand for its lentiviral vector manufacturing capacity with the build-out of OxBox. The new facility will more than double capacity and is expected to be ready for commercial vector production in H120. Top-line growth continues to benefit from the near-term ramp-up of Kymriah and rapid advancement of partnered asset AXO-Lenti-PD (Axovant), crystallising in a $15m development milestone payment. We value OXB at £673m.

Oxford Biomedica  - Investing for future growth

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

The U.S. has continued to separate itself from broad emerging market and developed international indexes. One positive is that MSCI EM and MSCI EAFE have been able to stabilize from a price perspective in recent weeks despite relative strength weakness vs. MSCI ACWI.  In today’s report we scour the globe for attractive investments, ex-U.S., in an environment where selectivity is key.

The U.S. has continued to separate itself from broad emerging market and developed international indexes. One positive is that MSCI EM and MSCI EAFE have been able to stabilize from a price perspective in recent weeks despite relative strength weakness vs. MSCI ACWI.  In today’s report we scour the globe for attractive investments, ex-U.S., in an environment where selectivity is key.  

Global Equity Strategy: Where to Hide Outside the U.S.

United Kingdom

Oxford Biomedica is a gene and cell therapy group focused on developing treatments for serious diseases based around its FDA approved lentiviral vector delivery platform. The Company leverages this platform to develop in vivo and ex vivo products in-house and with global Pharmaceutical and Biotech partners and has created it's own portfolio of gene and cell therapy product candidates.

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Oxford Biomedica PLC (OXB LN)

Oxford Biomedica - Juno deal expands CAR-T revenue streams

Following the 2017 commercial launch of partner Novartis’s Kymriah (a CD19-targeting CAR-T that is approved for pALL and DLBCL), Oxford Biomedica...

Edison Investment Research

Oxford Biomedica - OxBox investment to aid future growth

Oxford Biomedica (OXB) is a pioneer and global leader in the development and manufacture of commercial-scale lentiviral vectors (LVV), a critical...

Edison Investment Research

Oxford Biomedica - Novartis extends commercial supply agreement

Oxford Biomedica (OXB) has announced the expansion of its commercial supply agreement with Novartis by five years. While expected, this removes any...

Edison Investment Research

Oxford Biomedica - Investing for future growth

Oxford Biomedica’s (OXB) interim results highlight strong operational and financial momentum to date. The Novo Holdings equity investment (£53.5m)...

Edison Investment Research

Global Equity Strategy: Where to Hide Outside the U.S.

The U.S. has continued to separate itself from broad emerging market and developed international indexes. One positive is that MSCI EM and MSCI...

Vermilion Research

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