Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>Jul 21 new private home sales surge 82% MoM; On track for a record year (since 2013)</h3><ul><li>Sales of new private homes surged in Jul21 with developers selling 1,589 units, up 82% MoM from 872 units in Jun21. On a YoY basis, sales were up 47% from 1,080 units in Jul20. Including ECs sold, developers moved 1,744 new homes last month, 81% higher MoM and 53% higher YoY</li><li>Developers launched 1,104 units in Jul21, up 36% MoM and 27% YoY higher. There were no new ECs launched in Jun21. Jul21 take-up rate was robust at 144% (from 107% in Jun21 and 124% in Jul20). Pasir Ris 8 was the top seller last month, moving 418 units, or 86% of its 487 units, with median price of S$1,624psf</li><li>Sales in Jul21 were driven by Pasir Ris 8, followed by Normanton Park, which sold 125 units, Midwood, which sold 91 units and Sengkang Grand Residences, which sold 89 units. Excluding EC, sales volume in Jul21 was highest in OCR followed by RCR and CCR, respectively. The sales volume was 1,012 (64%), 438 (28%) and 139 (9%) units, respectively</li><li>Almost 50% of sales last month were priced below S$1.5m, 29% were between S$1.5-2m, and 21.5% were above S$2m. The average price paid for a unit last month was S$1.7m. In the first seven months of 2021, developers have sold an estimated 8,004 units. Barring new cooling measures, total new private home sales is on course to exceed 11,000 units (excluding ECs) by the end of 2021, locking in the highest annual new sales figure since 2013, which saw 14,948 new sales.</li></ul>

SingaporeJul 21 new private home sales surge 82% MoM; On track for a record year (since 2013)Sales of new private homes surged in Jul21 with developers selling 1,589 units, up 82% MoM from 872 units in Jun21. On a YoY basis, sales were up 47% from 1,080 units in Jul20. Including ECs sold, developers moved 1,744 new homes last month, 81% higher MoM and 53% higher YoYDevelopers launched 1,104 units in Jul21, up 36% MoM and 27% YoY higher. There were no new ECs launched in Jun21. Jul21 take-up rate was robust at 144% (from 107% in Jun21 and 124% in Jul20). Pasir Ris 8 was the top seller last month, moving 418 units, or 86% of its 487 units, with median price of S$1,624psfSales in Jul21 were driven by Pasir Ris 8, followed by Normanton Park, which sold 125 units, Midwood, which sold 91 units and Sengkang Grand Residences, which sold 89 units. Excluding EC, sales volume in Jul21 was highest in OCR followed by RCR and CCR, respectively. The sales volume was 1,012 (64%), 438 (28%) and 139 (9%) units, respectivelyAlmost 50% of sales last month were priced below S$1.5m, 29% were between S$1.5-2m, and 21.5% were above S$2m. The average price paid for a unit last month was S$1.7m. In the first seven months of 2021, developers have sold an estimated 8,004 units. Barring new cooling measures, total new private home sales is on course to exceed 11,000 units (excluding ECs) by the end of 2021, locking in the highest annual new sales figure since 2013, which saw 14,948 new sales.

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3><table class="table table-striped"><tbody><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;"> </td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;">ELITE (GBP)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;">Period</td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;">1H21</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;">Gross Revenue (S$ m)</td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;">15.9 (+37.7% vs forecast)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;">NPI (S$ m)</td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;">15.4 (+37% vs forecast)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;">DPU (S$ c)</td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;">2.63 (+8.7% vs forecast)</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;">NAV per Unit (S$)</td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;">0.62</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;">P/B (x)</td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;">1.08</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;">Occupancy (%)</td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;">100</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 7px;">Reversion (%)</td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 7px;">Not Disclosed</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;">Gearing (%)</td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;">42.1</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;">Cost of Debt (%)</td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;">1.9</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;">1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)</td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;">7.41</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;">Debt Hedged (%)</td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;">63</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;">Target Price</td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;">N/A</td></tr><tr><td style="width: 363.047px; height: 14px;">Rating</td><td style="width: 362.953px; height: 14px;">N/A</td></tr></tbody></table>

SingaporeSREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached) ELITE (GBP)Period1H21Gross Revenue (S$ m)15.9 (+37.7% vs forecast)NPI (S$ m)15.4 (+37% vs forecast)DPU (S$ c)2.63 (+8.7% vs forecast)NAV per Unit (S$)0.62P/B (x)1.08Occupancy (%)100Reversion (%)Not DisclosedGearing (%)42.1Cost of Debt (%)1.91 Yr Fwd Yield (%)7.41Debt Hedged (%)63Target PriceN/ARatingN/A

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (02Jul21) - ELITE >7% GBP Yield with Min Collection Risks

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3>
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
 
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
AAREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
CICT
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
KREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
MINT
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Period
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1Q22
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1Q22
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Gross Revenue (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
31.8 (+16.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
645.7 (+102.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
105.8 (+40.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
128.1 (29.2% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
NPI (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
23.1 (+23.9% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
472.2 (+118% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
84.4 (+43.1% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
104.7 (33.1% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
DPU (S$ c)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
2.25 (+12.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
5.18 (+75% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
2.94 (+5.0% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
3.35 (+16.7% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
NAV per Unit (S$)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1.35
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
2.05
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1.29
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.75
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
P/B (x)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1.15
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
1.02
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
0.93
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.65
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Occupancy (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
95.7
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
94.9
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
96.7
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
94.3 (Overall)
97.8 (North American Portfolio)
93.4 (Singapore Portfolio)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Reversion (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Not disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
-9.1 (retail)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
6.91
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Gearing (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
34.3
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
40.5
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
38.9
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
31.0
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Cost of Debt (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
2.8
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
2.4
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1.97
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
2.7
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
6.1
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
5.19
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
4.92
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.51
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Debt Hedged (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
77.2
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
85
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
68
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
95.8
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Target Price
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Rating
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Singapore
SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)




 


AAREIT


CICT


KREIT


MINT




Period


1Q22


1H21


1H21


1Q22




Gross Revenue (S$ m)


31.8 (+16.8% YoY)


645.7 (+102.8% YoY)


105.8 (+40.2% YoY)


128.1 (29.2% YoY)




NPI (S$ m)


23.1 (+23.9% YoY)


472.2 (+118% YoY)


84.4 (+43.1% YoY)


104.7 (33.1% YoY)




DPU (S$ c)


2.25 (+12.5% YoY)


5.18 (+75% YoY)


2.94 (+5.0% YoY)


3.35 (+16.7% YoY)




NAV per Unit (S$)


1.35


2.05


1.29


1.75




P/B (x)


1.15


1.02


0.93


1.65




Occupancy (%)


95.7


94.9


96.7


94.3 (Overall)
97.8 (North American Portfolio)
93.4 (Singapore Portfolio)




Reversion (%)


Not disclosed


-9.1 (retail)


6.91


Not Disclosed




Gearing (%)


34.3


40.5


38.9


31.0




Cost of Debt (%)


2.8


2.4


1.97


2.7




1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)


6.1


5.19


4.92


1.51




Debt Hedged (%)


77.2


85


68


95.8




Target Price


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A




Rating


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A





ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Jul21) - AAREIT Stable Performance

<h2>Singapore </h2><h3>Commercial properties set for big change; Long-term reduction in supply likely</h3><ul><li>Offices in the CBD, especially older buildings, need to evolve. Both the Central Business District Incentive (CBDI) Scheme and Strategic Development Incentive (SDI) Scheme were introduced to incentivise the redevelopment of older buildings to more productive mixed-use developments. Under the CBDI scheme, qualifying properties are allowed to intensify their GFA by 25-30%, depending on the proposed land use. Meanwhile, the SDI is intended to redevelop precincts in strategic areas across Singapore, such as Orchard Road, the CBD and Marina Centre</li><li>Since the circuit-breaker period, URA has received nine outline applications under the CBDI Scheme, of which six have been given in-principle approval. Three outline applications under the SDI Scheme were also given in-principle approval. The take-up of these schemes are also likely to result in the long-term reduction of office stock in the CBD, which plays a part in the government's decentralisation strategy to have more offices located outside the city centre, CBRE said.</li></ul><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/216/388/original/image018.png?1625188834" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="216388"></figure></section>

Singapore Commercial properties set for big change; Long-term reduction in supply likelyOffices in the CBD, especially older buildings, need to evolve. Both the Central Business District Incentive (CBDI) Scheme and Strategic Development Incentive (SDI) Scheme were introduced to incentivise the redevelopment of older buildings to more productive mixed-use developments. Under the CBDI scheme, qualifying properties are allowed to intensify their GFA by 25-30%, depending on the proposed land use. Meanwhile, the SDI is intended to redevelop precincts in strategic areas across Singapore, such as Orchard Road, the CBD and Marina CentreSince the circuit-breaker period, URA has received nine outline applications under the CBDI Scheme, of which six have been given in-principle approval. Three outline applications under the SDI Scheme were also given in-principle approval. The take-up of these schemes are also likely to result in the long-term reduction of office stock in the CBD, which plays a part in the government's decentralisation strategy to have more offices located outside the city centre, CBRE said.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (2Jul21) - CBD Office Reduction in LT Supply

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suntec-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:151" rel="noopener">Suntec REIT (SUN SP)</a> to divest office strata units for S$197m; Acquire London building for GBP353m (S$667.2m)</h3><ul><li>SUN is divesting a portfolio of strata units at Suntec City Office for S$197m and acquiring a Grade-A office building located in the heart of city of London for GBP353m (S$667.2m). The Suntec City Office units are being divested at an 8.9% premium over the independent valuation of S$180.9m for the 78,491sqft of space, with a net gain on divestment of S$13.9m. The net property income yield was 3.1%</li><li>The London property is the Minster Building, an 11-storey Grade-A office development with ancillary retail built in 1990 and refurbished in 2018. It has a NPI yield of 4.5% (based on passing income as at 31Mar21 divided by the total acquisition outlay) and a long WALE of 12.3 years. The building has a committed occupancy of 96.7% with the office component being 96.2% leased to quality office tenants from diversified sectors, and WALE of 11.3 years. The retail component has a committed occupancy of 100% and a WALE of 19.6 years. The property has a two-year income guarantee for vacant spaces and retail leases, and an approximately one-year income guarantee for the co-working lease</li><li>Post these transactions, AUM will grow from S$11.5bn to S$11.7bn across 10 properties in Singapore (70.7% of AUM), Australia (16.8% of AUM) and the United Kingdom (12.5% of AUM). SUN continues to be anchored by office sector, which will contribute more than 85% of total income. The office portfolio WALE will be lengthened to 5.55 years, while the retail portfolio WALE will be extended to 3.18 years</li><li>On a FY20 pro-forma basis, after considering the proceeds from divestments of ~S$280.0m (9 Penang Road and SC Office strata units), GBP175.0m (~S$330.8m) of GBP-denominated loan at an indicative interest rate of 2.7% pa, and ~ S$70.0m perpetual securities at fixed rate coupon of 4.25% pa, this transaction is expected to be +3.6% DPU accretive and +0.7% NAV accretive to unitholders. Gearing will decrease to 43.8% from 44.3% as at 31Dec20 on a pro-forma basis. <section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/216/078/original/image003+%282%29.png?1625017360" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="216078"></figure><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/216/081/original/image004.png?1625017400" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="216081"></figure></section></section></li></ul>

SingaporeSuntec REIT (SUN SP) to divest office strata units for S$197m; Acquire London building for GBP353m (S$667.2m)SUN is divesting a portfolio of strata units at Suntec City Office for S$197m and acquiring a Grade-A office building located in the heart of city of London for GBP353m (S$667.2m). The Suntec City Office units are being divested at an 8.9% premium over the independent valuation of S$180.9m for the 78,491sqft of space, with a net gain on divestment of S$13.9m. The net property income yield was 3.1%The London property is the Minster Building, an 11-storey Grade-A office development with ancillary retail built in 1990 and refurbished in 2018. It has a NPI yield of 4.5% (based on passing income as at 31Mar21 divided by the total acquisition outlay) and a long WALE of 12.3 years. The building has a committed occupancy of 96.7% with the office component being 96.2% leased to quality office tenants from diversified sectors, and WALE of 11.3 years. The retail component has a committed occupancy of 100% and a WALE of 19.6 years. The property has a two-year income guarantee for vacant spaces and retail leases, and an approximately one-year income guarantee for the co-working leasePost these transactions, AUM will grow from S$11.5bn to S$11.7bn across 10 properties in Singapore (70.7% of AUM), Australia (16.8% of AUM) and the United Kingdom (12.5% of AUM). SUN continues to be anchored by office sector, which will contribute more than 85% of total income. The office portfolio WALE will be lengthened to 5.55 years, while the retail portfolio WALE will be extended to 3.18 yearsOn a FY20 pro-forma basis, after considering the proceeds from divestments of ~S$280.0m (9 Penang Road and SC Office strata units), GBP175.0m (~S$330.8m) of GBP-denominated loan at an indicative interest rate of 2.7% pa, and ~ S$70.0m perpetual securities at fixed rate coupon of 4.25% pa, this transaction is expected to be +3.6% DPU accretive and +0.7% NAV accretive to unitholders. Gearing will decrease to 43.8% from 44.3% as at 31Dec20 on a pro-forma basis. 

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (30Jun21) - SUN Busy Year with +3.6% DPU Accretion Deals

Singapore

Oxley Holdings Limited is a Singapore-based property development company with a diversified portfolio that includes property development, property investment, and project management. The company specializes in residential, commercial, industrial, and hospitality projects across Singapore, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Cambodia, Malaysia, and China. Oxley Holdings Limited was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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Oxley (OHL SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (17Aug21)

SG new home sales on track for a record year; OHL SG resi >90% sold; FLI supported by resi recovery; FILRT focuses on BPO tenants; NOBLE shifts...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (02Jul21) - ELITE >7% GBP Yield with Min Collection Risks

ELITE >7% GBP yield with min collection risks; EAGLEHT Dalls hotel sold at lower price; GLP sees frothy valuations in most markets; DILD 1H21 mktg...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Jul21) - AAREIT Stable Performance

AAREIT stable performance; CICT office outshines retail; KREIT cautiously optimistic; MINT acq-driven growth; KORE expands with 2 new US acq; CPG...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (2Jul21) - CBD Office Reduction in LT Supply

GCB deals YTD surpassed 2020; HDB prices 2.1% shy of 2Q13 peak; Indo shuts down malls; SIRI begins accepting cryptos; Phils tourist arrivals sanked

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (30Jun21) - SUN Busy Year with +3.6% DPU Accretion Deals

SUN busy year with +3.6% DPU accretion deals; QC exemptions rule refined; The Working Capitol debt restructuring; Manila 1Q21 office demand muted;...

SCCM Asia Research

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