Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Back in June 2017, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toray-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:625:1" rel="noopener">Toray Industries (3402 JP)</a> acquired a 28.03% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-textiles-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12638:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Textiles (1382 HK)</a> (@ HK$10/share). Rumours that Toray would take this stake to 50% never unfolded.</li>
<li>Pacific Textiles is currently trading at HK$1.30/share, its lowest level outside of the GFC. </li>
<li>Relatively inexpensive, high digit yield and M&amp;A angle, Pacific Textiles remains attractive. This is supported by the recent Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weiqiao-textile-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3690:1" rel="noopener">Weiqiao (2698 HK)</a> and David Webb taking a 5% stake. </li>
</ul>


Back in June 2017, Toray Industries (3402 JP) acquired a 28.03% stake in Pacific Textiles (1382 HK) (@ HK$10/share). Rumours that Toray would take this stake to 50% never unfolded.
Pacific Textiles is currently trading at HK$1.30/share, its lowest level outside of the GFC. 
Relatively inexpensive, high digit yield and M&amp;A angle, Pacific Textiles remains attractive. This is supported by the recent Offer for Weiqiao (2698 HK) and David Webb taking a 5% stake. 


Pacific Textiles (1382 HK): Material Benefits

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weiqiao-textile-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3690:1" rel="noopener">Weiqiao Textile Co (2698 HK)</a>’s IFA opines that Weiqiao Chuangye’s privatisation offer of HK$3.50 per H Share, a 104.7% premium to the undisturbed price, is fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>Despite amassing a blocking stake, Prudence's ongoing buying supports the view that it intends to play the spread rather than block the deal.</li>
<li>Despite the offer being below net cash, this is a done deal. At the last close and for the 28 March payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.7%/10.2%. </li>
</ul>



Weiqiao Textile Co (2698 HK)’s IFA opines that Weiqiao Chuangye’s privatisation offer of HK$3.50 per H Share, a 104.7% premium to the undisturbed price, is fair and reasonable. 
Despite amassing a blocking stake, Prudence's ongoing buying supports the view that it intends to play the spread rather than block the deal.
Despite the offer being below net cash, this is a done deal. At the last close and for the 28 March payment, the gross/annualised spread is 1.7%/10.2%. 


Weiqiao Textile (2698 HK): Vote on 8 March

<ul>
<li>Following the recent Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weiqiao-textile-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3690:1" rel="noopener">Weiqiao Textile Co (2698 HK)</a>, I flagged <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-textiles-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12638:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Textiles (1382 HK)</a> in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/125112/%20https:/skr.ma/uqE4L" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Pacific Textiles (1382 HK): Material Benefits</a> as a potential M&amp;A play.</li>
<li>Also in this space is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texwinca-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16983:1" rel="noopener">Texwinca Holdings (321 HK)</a> which is trading down towards its Covid-affected lows.</li>
<li>Both Pacific Textiles and Texwinca are pursuing a Vietnamese expansion. Texwinca is trading cheaper to Pacific Textiles, is net cash, and has a superior yield.. </li>
</ul>


Following the recent Offer for Weiqiao Textile Co (2698 HK), I flagged Pacific Textiles (1382 HK) in Pacific Textiles (1382 HK): Material Benefits as a potential M&amp;A play.
Also in this space is Texwinca Holdings (321 HK) which is trading down towards its Covid-affected lows.
Both Pacific Textiles and Texwinca are pursuing a Vietnamese expansion. Texwinca is trading cheaper to Pacific Textiles, is net cash, and has a superior yield.. 


Texwinca (321 HK): Even Cheaper Than Pacific Textiles (1382 HK)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/furuya-metal-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5196:1" rel="noopener">Furuya Metal (7826 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visional-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32977:1" rel="noopener">Visional (4194 JP)</a> are expected to be included in the TOPIX index at the end of January 2024. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wilmar-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:172:1" rel="noopener">Wilmar International (WIL SP)</a>'s current implied stub and simple ratio (Wilmar/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yihai-kerry-arawana-holdings-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33230:1" rel="noopener">Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings (300999 CH)</a>) are both at all-time highs.</li>
<li>Reportedly, the mother and two sisters of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> Chairman Jay Y. Lee plan to sell shares in a block deal worth ~₩2.8tn ($2.1bn billion.</li>
</ul>



Furuya Metal (7826 JP) and Visional (4194 JP) are expected to be included in the TOPIX index at the end of January 2024. 

Wilmar International (WIL SP)'s current implied stub and simple ratio (Wilmar/ Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings (300999 CH)) are both at all-time highs.
Reportedly, the mother and two sisters of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Chairman Jay Y. Lee plan to sell shares in a block deal worth ~₩2.8tn ($2.1bn billion.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Furuya Metal, Visional, Wilmar, Samsung Electronics, ViinFast/Vingroup

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There are 22 adds and 27 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents down to 518.</li>
<li>We expect all 22 inclusions to the HSCI will be added to Stock Connect, while 24 of the 27 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>Since the end of June, shares held though Southbound Connect have increased on 20 of the 27 HSCI deletions and there could be some unwinding in the next two weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 22 adds and 27 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents down to 518.
We expect all 22 inclusions to the HSCI will be added to Stock Connect, while 24 of the 27 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.
Since the end of June, shares held though Southbound Connect have increased on 20 of the 27 HSCI deletions and there could be some unwinding in the next two weeks.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 22 Adds, 27 Deletes & Changes to Southbound Stock Connect

Hong Kong

Pacific Textiles Holdings Limited manufactures customized knitted fabrics. The Company's fabrics are used in a broad range of fabrics, including men's, women's, and children's clothing, sportswear, swimwear, and inner-wear.

Pacific Textiles (1382 HK)