Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back in September, plastic products manufacturer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a> announced - and subsequently rejected - an unconditional off-market takeover of A$0.68/share from its major shareholder, Raphael Geminder.</li>
<li>After a couple of Offer extensions, Geminder has now bumped its bid to A$0.84/share (a 24.4% premium to undisturbed), and declared terms final. Pacts is supportive of the revised offer. </li>
<li>This is done and will trade at terms through to the Offer completion. </li>
</ul>


Back in September, plastic products manufacturer Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU) announced - and subsequently rejected - an unconditional off-market takeover of A$0.68/share from its major shareholder, Raphael Geminder.
After a couple of Offer extensions, Geminder has now bumped its bid to A$0.84/share (a 24.4% premium to undisturbed), and declared terms final. Pacts is supportive of the revised offer. 
This is done and will trade at terms through to the Offer completion. 


<ul>
<li>Plastic products manufacturer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a> has <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02711138-3A626039?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an unconditional off-market takeover from its major shareholder, Raphael Geminder.</li>
<li>Geminder, with a current stake of 50%, is offering - via wholly-owned entity Kin Group - A$0.68/share, a paltry 0.07% premium to last close. Shares recently touched an all-time low.</li>
<li>The Offer is (should be) open for a month. As the bid is unconditional, there's nothing to stop Geminder from buying shares higher, then simply lifting his Offer price. </li>
</ul>


Plastic products manufacturer Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU) has announced an unconditional off-market takeover from its major shareholder, Raphael Geminder.
Geminder, with a current stake of 50%, is offering - via wholly-owned entity Kin Group - A$0.68/share, a paltry 0.07% premium to last close. Shares recently touched an all-time low.
The Offer is (should be) open for a month. As the bid is unconditional, there's nothing to stop Geminder from buying shares higher, then simply lifting his Offer price. 


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a> has disclosed an unconditional takeover proposal from Raphael Geminder at A$0.68 per share, a 0.7% premium to the undisturbed price (12 September).</li>
<li>Mr. Geminder's justification for a little-to-no premium offer is based on the premise that minorities are clambering for a liquidity event to exit a no-hope situation. </li>
<li>The offer price is unattractive on any reasonable metric. A successful privatisation would require a bump. The shares closed 6.6% higher than the offer. </li>
</ul>



Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU) has disclosed an unconditional takeover proposal from Raphael Geminder at A$0.68 per share, a 0.7% premium to the undisturbed price (12 September).
Mr. Geminder's justification for a little-to-no premium offer is based on the premise that minorities are clambering for a liquidity event to exit a no-hope situation. 
The offer price is unattractive on any reasonable metric. A successful privatisation would require a bump. The shares closed 6.6% higher than the offer. 


Pact Group (PGH AU): Raphael Geminder’s Opportunistic Proposal

<ul>
<li>For the month of April 2024, 7 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$4bn. </li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in April was ~55%. The average premium YTD is ~42%. </li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of April 2024, 7 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$4bn. 
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in April was ~55%. The average premium YTD is ~42%. 
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, April 2024: Austal, L'Occitane, Langham Hosp., Jastec, Mimasu, Best World, Isetan

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qantm-intellectual-property" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24317:1" rel="noopener">Qantm Intellectual Property (QIP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/probiotec-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12047:1" rel="noopener">Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-cross-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10374:1" rel="noopener">Southern Cross Media (SXL AU)</a>, China TCM.
</li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chilled-frozen-logistics-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40987:1" rel="noopener">Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/roland-dg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10653:1" rel="noopener">Roland DG Corp (6789 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mma-offshore-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:594:1" rel="noopener">Mma Offshore (MRM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmark-property-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40696:1" rel="noopener">Newmark Property REIT (NPR AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Qantm Intellectual Property (QIP AU), Azure Minerals (AZS AU), Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU), Southern Cross Media (SXL AU), China TCM.

Lowest spreads: Chilled &amp; Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP), Roland DG Corp (6789 JP), Mma Offshore (MRM AU), Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), Newmark Property REIT (NPR AU).


Merger Arb Mondays (29 Apr) - Azure, Silver Lake, Roland DG, CF Logistics, China TCM, Hollysys

Australia

Pact Group Holdings Ltd manufactures packaging and other related products. The Company, through its subsidiaries, manufactures packaging and other products that service customers in the food, dairy, beverage, chemical, agricultural, industrial and other sectors throughout Australia, New Zealand and Asia.

Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)

Geminder Bumps. Pact Group Accepts

I previously thought. on balance. the risk/reward was attractive for a bump. If you got in, shortly after the initial Offer, tender here. You'll...

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Geminder's Opening Salvo For Pact?

You have a hard floor of A$0.68 or a downside of ~5.5%. The risk/reward is attractive on the back of a bump, but it's not a super liquid arb...

David Blennerhassett

Pact Group (PGH AU): Raphael Geminder’s Opportunistic Proposal

The offer price is unattractive on any reasonable metric. A successful privatisation would require a bump. The shares closed 6.6% higher than the...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia M&A, April 2024: Austal, L'Occitane, Langham Hosp., Jastec, Mimasu, Best World, Isetan

For the month of April, 7 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of just ~US$4bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (29 Apr) - Azure, Silver Lake, Roland DG, CF Logistics, China TCM, Hollysys

This week, the highest gross spreads are Qantm IP (18.4%), Azure (8.8%), Hollysys (7.9%), Probiotec (7.4%), Southern Cross (7.2%), China TCM...

Arun George