Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The current slowdown in volume can be attributed to both the broader macroeconomic slowdown &amp; the pausing of the inventory system during the COVID, which has resulted in some mismanagement.</li>
<li>However, the slowdown is not due to a loss of market share, product quality, or adverse distributor policies, indicating a cyclical issue rather than a structural one.</li>
<li>In case of a gradual recovery of the macroeconomic situation and appropriate measures taken by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/page-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4940:1" rel="noopener">Page Industries (PAG IN)</a> , volume growth may pick up in the future.</li>
</ul>


The current slowdown in volume can be attributed to both the broader macroeconomic slowdown &amp; the pausing of the inventory system during the COVID, which has resulted in some mismanagement.
However, the slowdown is not due to a loss of market share, product quality, or adverse distributor policies, indicating a cyclical issue rather than a structural one.
In case of a gradual recovery of the macroeconomic situation and appropriate measures taken by Page Industries (PAG IN) , volume growth may pick up in the future.


Page Industries (PAG IN) | Cyclical and Not Structural Volume Dip

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Nexus Select Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexus-select-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36566:1" rel="noopener">Nexus Select Trust (NST IN)</a>  is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>NST is a REIT with a portfolio of 17 Grade A urban consumption centers. It is backed by Blackstone.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Nexus Select Trust (NST IN)  is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. 
NST is a REIT with a portfolio of 17 Grade A urban consumption centers. It is backed by Blackstone.
In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Nexus Select Trust Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Some Assets Were Recently Acquired, Not All Doing Well

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexus-select-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36566:1" rel="noopener">Nexus Select Trust (NST IN)</a>  is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. </li>
<li>NST is a REIT with a portfolio of 17 Grade A urban consumption centers. It is backed by Blackstone.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Nexus Select Trust (NST IN)  is looking to raise up to US$500m in its upcoming India IPO. 
NST is a REIT with a portfolio of 17 Grade A urban consumption centers. It is backed by Blackstone.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Nexus Select Trust Pre-IPO - The Positives - Forecasting Robust Growth

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The March 2023 Rebalance results for the NIFTY broad market Indices were announced after the close on Friday 17th February 2023.</li>
<li>In my previous insights, I highlighted <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pidilite-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20573:1" rel="noopener">Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN)</a> as a potential ADD for NIFTY 50 but it will not be added in March 2023. There are no changes.</li>
<li>However, for NIFTY 100 (&amp; NIFTY Next 50), 4/5 Expected ADDs and 5/5 Expected DELs were predicted correctly.</li>
</ul>


The March 2023 Rebalance results for the NIFTY broad market Indices were announced after the close on Friday 17th February 2023.
In my previous insights, I highlighted Pidilite Industries (PIDI IN) as a potential ADD for NIFTY 50 but it will not be added in March 2023. There are no changes.
However, for NIFTY 100 (&amp; NIFTY Next 50), 4/5 Expected ADDs and 5/5 Expected DELs were predicted correctly.


NIFTY Mar 23 Rebal: Quiddity Flow Expectations

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>PAGE Q3FY23 results were below our estimates. Revenue grew a mere 3% YoY as volume declined ~11% YoY to 5.28 Cr pieces owing to weak demand, increased competitive intensity and implementation of the Auto Replenishment Shipment (ARS) which impacted primary sales.</li><li>It further reiterated that as the economy has opened up and consumers’ preferences are shifting towards formal and other categories.</li><li>EBITDA margins at 15.8% were down 532bps YoY owing to gross margin pressure (high-cost inventory) and an increase in marketing spends.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

PAGE Q3FY23 results were below our estimates. Revenue grew a mere 3% YoY as volume declined ~11% YoY to 5.28 Cr pieces owing to weak demand, increased competitive intensity and implementation of the Auto Replenishment Shipment (ARS) which impacted primary sales.It further reiterated that as the economy has opened up and consumers’ preferences are shifting towards formal and other categories.EBITDA margins at 15.8% were down 532bps YoY owing to gross margin pressure (high-cost inventory) and an increase in marketing spends.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Page Industries Ltd - Subdued Performance; Maintain HOLD

India

Page Industries Limited develops, produces, and distributes branded underwear for men, women, and children in India and Sri Lanka.

Price Gauge
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Page Industries (PAG IN)